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IDST

Idaho State 41 at Liberty 48

LIB
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:31 · Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Tanner Conner, broken up by Malik Matthews
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 190Pregame prior+2.9Home team on offense+17.9Garbage-time factor+5.6Score differential+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:01: Tanner Gueller pass complete to Michael Dean for 57 yds for a TD (Campbell Sheidow KICK) — IDST win probability +14.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:21: Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 37 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +13.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:52: Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +11.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:37: Ty Flanagan run for 51 yds for a TD (Campbell Sheidow KICK) — IDST win probability +18.9 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 7:35: Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +15.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 6IDST made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00LIB 4th & 2 at IDST 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:54LIB 4th & 13 at IDST 31, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:50IDST 4th & 10 at LIB 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:02LIB 4th & 18 at LIB 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−1.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:07IDST 4th & 14 at LIB 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:55IDST 4th & 10 at IDST 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:53LIB 4th & 5 at IDST 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%−2.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:21IDST 4th & 8 at IDST 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:30LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00IDST 4th & 7 at LIB 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−1.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:31IDST 4th & 18 at LIB 29, down 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:40LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:37IDST 4th & 9 at LIB 9, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%−1.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7IDST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:24LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:25LIB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:09IDST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:51LIB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:16IDST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:01IDST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:21LIB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:52LIB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:37IDST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:35LIB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:27LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:24IDST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
17 plays · 78 yds · 6:3673% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
72.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 7 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+6
72.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 6 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
72.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 9 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+8
72.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 8 yds to the IdaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
72.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+11
72.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Frankie Hickson for 11 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
72.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 6 yds to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
72.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Mitchell Lewis for no gain to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+8
72.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 8 yds to the IdaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
72.8%
CALVERT, S. sideline pass incomplete to MCCONNELL, L., PENALTY LIBERTY holding (ISAACSON, S.) 10 yards to the ISU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+4
72.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+8
72.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+6
72.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 6 yds to the IdaSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+4
72.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
72.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 6Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
74.2%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 2INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.5%
James Madison run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
73.5%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to James Madison for 12 yds to the IdaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
73.3%
James Madison run for 11 yds to the IdaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
73.0%
James Madison run for 6 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
72.9%
Tanner Gueller pass intercepted Corbin Jackson return for no gain to the Liber 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+44
73.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 44 yds to the IdaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
74.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 3 yds to the IdaSt 36Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
74.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Khaleb ColemanSimilar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
74.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 8 yds to the IdaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
74.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Khaleb ColemanSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-3
74.4%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 31Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
73.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Anthony RicksSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 13
OPP 31
0
73.5%
Aidan Alves punt for 30 yds, downed at the IdaSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 4FG
16 plays · 86 yds · 4:4326% → 29%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
74.0%
Tanner Gueller run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 3Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
74.0%
Ty Flanagan run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 5Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+8
74.3%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Nate Shubert for 8 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
73.9%
Ty Flanagan run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 12Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 11
OWN 12
-5
74.0%
IDAHO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IdaSt 7Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+2
74.0%
Ty Flanagan run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 9Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+5
74.3%
GUELLER, Tanner deep pass incomplete to GUELLER, Mitch, PENALTY LIBERTY offside defense (AJAYI, S.) 5 yards to the ISU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+11
74.3%
Tanner Gueller run for 11 yds to the IdaSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.9%
Ty Flanagan run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 27Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+40
73.8%
James Madison run for 40 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
72.6%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+20
72.6%
James Madison run for 20 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
72.5%
James Madison run for 1 yd to the Liber 12Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-1
72.5%
Tanner Gueller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
72.8%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+31
70.7%
Campbell Sheidow 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2571% → 77%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
71.2%
Frankie Hickson run for 9 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
71.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 5 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
71.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+15
71.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 15 yds to the IdaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
72.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
72.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 8 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
72.2%
HICKSON, F. rush up middle for 2 yards to the ISU35 (FUIAVA, Kainoa), PENALTY ISU offside defense (BROWN, Caleb) 5 yards to the ISU32, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
72.7%
Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
76.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 29 yds for a TD (Alex Probert PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:0924% → 32%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+59
75.6%
Ty Flanagan run for 59 yds to the Liber 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
73.7%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 12 yds to the Liber 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.7%
James Madison run for no gain to the Liber 2Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.7%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Austin Campbell for 2 yds for a TD (Campbell Sheidow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
70.0%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Liber 25Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+10
69.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 10 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
70.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-11
70.9%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Anthony Ricks for a loss of 11 yards to the Liber 27Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 18
OWN 27
0
69.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Khaleb ColemanSimilar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
68.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 73 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:0230% → 29%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
70.0%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 14 yds to the IdaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
69.6%
James Madison run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 38Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
68.6%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+39
69.4%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Michael Dean for 39 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
67.0%
James Madison run for 1 yd to the Liber 22Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 9
OPP 22
-5
68.1%
IDAHO ST Penalty, false start (Dallen Collins) to the Liber 27Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 14
OPP 27
0
69.2%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Michael Dean, broken up by Corbin JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
67.0%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch Gueller, broken up by Bejour WilsonSimilar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+45
71.2%
Campbell Sheidow 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0071% → 72%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
71.3%
Stephen Calvert run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 25 Stephen Calvert fumbled, recovered by Liber Stephen CalvertSimilar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+19
70.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 19 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
72.7%
Frankie Hickson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
71.7%
Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Caleb Brown return for no gain to the IdaSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
70.1%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Michael DeanSimilar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-8
70.5%
James Madison run for a loss of 8 yards to the IdaSt 23Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 18
OWN 23
-7
71.4%
Tanner Gueller sacked by Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 7 yards to the IdaSt 16 Tanner Gueller fumbled, recovered by Liber Solomon Ajayi , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:1374% → 81%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
73.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 10Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+7
73.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
73.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 2Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
73.9%
Frankie Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 3Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 12TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 1:2722% → 33%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
77.6%
Ty Flanagan run for no gain to the Liber 46Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
78.1%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Tanner ConnerSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
78.8%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 15 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
76.7%
Ty Flanagan run for 6 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
76.5%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+4
77.4%
Tanner Gueller run for 4 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
66.8%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 21 yds for a TD (Campbell Sheidow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0971% → 72%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
71.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for 10 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
72.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Khaleb Coleman, broken up by Koby LoweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
68.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Tanner ConnerSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
69.3%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
70.2%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+8
71.2%
Kevin Ryan punt for 43 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for 8 yds to the Liber 35 LIBERTY Penalty, illegal block (Amarii Jenkins) to the Liber 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0071% → 73%
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
70.7%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+13
70.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 13 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
72.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
71.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 6 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q3 14:28
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
71.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 6 yds to the IdaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
73.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 41 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive holding (Sam Isaacson) to the Liber 49Similar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 16
OWN 49
+8
71.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 8 yds to the IdaSt 43Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+26
72.9%
Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Adkin Aguirre return for 26 yds to the IdaSt 26 Adkin Aguirre fumbled, forced by Khaleb Coleman,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:5331% → 47%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
68.6%
Tanner Gueller run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+11
68.0%
Ty Flanagan run for 11 yds to the IdaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
66.7%
Ty Flanagan run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
67.7%
Tanner Gueller run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 43Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+57
52.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Michael Dean for 57 yds for a TD (Campbell Sheidow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 57%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
59.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 5 yds to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
59.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Khaleb ColemanSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
59.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Peytton PickettSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
57.2%
Aidan Alves punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trey Bell at the IdaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 18INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
54.3%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
54.7%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Michael DeanSimilar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-3
55.9%
Tanner Gueller pass intercepted Isaac Steele return for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:3459% → 73%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
59.4%
Frank Boyd run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+37
73.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 37 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0033% → 30%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
67.4%
Ty Flanagan run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 36Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
67.2%
Ty Flanagan run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-7
66.5%
Tanner Gueller sacked by Tolen Avery for a loss of 7 yards to the IdaSt 37 Tanner Gueller fumbled, recovered by IdaSt Brian Fineanganofo , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
70.0%
Kevin Ryan punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:3170% → 86%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
69.7%
Frank Boyd run for 15 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
70.2%
Frank Boyd run for 13 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
72.5%
CALVERT, S. sideline pass incomplete to GANDY-GOLDEN,A., PENALTY ISU pass interference (LOWE, Koby) 9 yards to the ISU43, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.1%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
72.8%
Frank Boyd run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+11
71.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 11 yds to the IdaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
73.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+26
73.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 26 yds to the IdaSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1517% → 35%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.1%
James Madison run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
83.2%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to James MadisonSimilar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+23
84.0%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to James Madison for 23 yds to the IdaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
65.1%
Ty Flanagan run for 51 yds for a TD (Campbell Sheidow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
69.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 5 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
71.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 3 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
70.6%
Frank Boyd run for no gain to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
68.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trey Bell at the IdaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 1:1031% → 32%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
69.1%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 12 yds to the IdaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
68.4%
James Madison run for no gain to the IdaSt 27Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
69.0%
Tanner Gueller run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+15
69.6%
GUELLER, Tanner deep pass incomplete to GUELLER, Mitch, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (PETERS, J.) 15 yards to the ISU45, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
65.4%
James Madison run for 6 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+4
63.8%
James Madison run for 4 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
63.8%
Tanner Gueller sacked by Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+4
65.3%
James Madison run for 4 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
64.4%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
67.7%
Kevin Ryan punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 4:5673% → 92%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
72.5%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
72.2%
Frank Boyd run for 16 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
73.7%
BOYD, F. rush left for no gain to the LIBERTY36 (GRAVES, Kody), PENALTY LIBERTY illegal shift (MCCONNELL, L.) 5 yards to the LIBERTY31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
72.5%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Khaleb ColemanSimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
72.2%
Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Liber 31Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+23
70.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 23 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
76.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 45Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+9
75.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 9 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
76.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 7 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+15
77.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 15 yds to the IdaSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
77.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 5 yds to the IdaSt 9Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+1
77.0%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 8Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+6
75.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.5%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
90.1%
Tanner Gueller run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 34Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+17
89.1%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Jake Johnson for 17 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
88.3%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 11 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
88.3%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 17 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
86.8%
Tanner Gueller run for 5 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-8
86.8%
Tanner Gueller sacked by Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 29 Tanner Gueller fumbled, recovered by IdaSt Jacob Molenaar , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 18
OPP 29
0
89.5%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Michael DeanSimilar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 18
OPP 29
0
91.1%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Tanner Conner, broken up by Malik MatthewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
92.1%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
92.1%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
92.2%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Khaleb ColemanSimilar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
91.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 45 yds, downed at the IdaSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 28FG
8 plays · 71 yds · 1:166% → 16%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
94.4%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Michael Dean for 17 yds to the IdaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
93.7%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 14 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
92.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Michael Dean for 40 yds to the Liber 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
91.8%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch Gueller, broken up by Bejour WilsonSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
91.8%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q4 1:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
92.1%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
Q4 1:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
84.3%
Campbell Sheidow 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 29TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
98.2%
Frankie Hickson run for 47 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 30TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 0:565% → 15%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.2%
Tanner Gueller run for no gain to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
97.3%
Tanner Gueller sacked by Austin Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the IdaSt 34 IDAHO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+43
97.6%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Michael Dean for 43 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
96.6%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Michael Dean for 14 yds to the Liber 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.6%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Tanner Conner, broken up by Jeremy PetersSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.6%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Michael DeanSimilar
Q4 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
84.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 9 yds for a TD (Campbell Sheidow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:37
Ty Flanagan run for 51 yds for a TD (Campbell Sheidow KICK)
-18.9
TD · Q4 7:35
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)
+15.8
TD · Q3 10:01
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Michael Dean for 57 yds for a TD (Campbell Sheidow KICK)
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com