Try the model
NMSU

New Mexico State 27 at UTEP 20

UTEP
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Sun Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadNMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreNMSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:49 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:02: Kai Locksley pass complete to Terry Juniel for 76 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +13.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 2:46: Josh Adkins pass complete to Royce Caldwell for 53 yds for a TD (Dylan Brown KICK) — NMSU win probability +18.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:20: Jason Filley 34 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +3.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:24: Dylan Brown 22 yd FG GOOD — NMSU win probability +11.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:49: TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMxSt 41 — NMSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 9NMSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:05UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:42NMSU 4th & 10 at UTEP 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:37UTEP 4th & 27 at UTEP 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00NMSU 4th & 14 at UTEP 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:24UTEP 4th & 1 at NMSU 6, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%
    69% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.1%−2.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−7.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:24NMSU 4th & 30 at UTEP 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00NMSU 4th & 3 at NMSU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:02NMSU 4th & 1 at NMSU 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:28UTEP 4th & 1 at NMSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.4%−2.8
    74% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−11.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:07UTEP 4th & 16 at NMSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−4.0
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−9.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 1 at NMSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−5.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:20UTEP 4th & 14 at NMSU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−4.8
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−12.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:24NMSU 4th & 5 at UTEP 5, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−15.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:24UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.3%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:24UTEP 4th & 26 at UTEP 27, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NMSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:15UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:02UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:46NMSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT TD
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5537% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
37.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for no gain to the UTEP 27 Quardraiz Wadley fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by UTEP Quardraiz Wadley , return for 1 yd to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
37.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Warren Redix for 4 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
37.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
37.4%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+19
37.3%
Mitchell Crawford punt blocked by Christian Gibson blocked by Christian Gibson Izaiah Lottie return for 19 yds for a TD (Dylan Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5038% → 41%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
37.5%
Kai Locksley run for 34 yds to the NMxSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
37.7%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 38Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
37.7%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+7
37.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Warren Redix for 7 yds to the NMxSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
37.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 20Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+14
37.8%
Kai Locksley run for 14 yds to the NMxSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
38.1%
Winston Dimel run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 3Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
38.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 1Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.5%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:3360% → 61%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
39.6%
Jason Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 24Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
39.6%
Jason Huntley run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
39.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Johnathan Boone for 12 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
39.1%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+14
39.6%
Jason Huntley run for 14 yds to the NMxSt 48Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+38
38.8%
Christian Gibson run for 38 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
38.5%
Christian Gibson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-3
38.5%
Jason Huntley run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 14Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
38.9%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Johnathan BooneSimilar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
39.5%
Dylan Brown 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 18 yds · 1:0539% → 39%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
39.1%
Kai Locksley run for 20 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
40.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 5
50
0
40.7%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 5
50
+10
40.4%
LOCKSLEY, Kai crossing pass incomplete to FOSTER, Keynan (Owens, DeMarcus), PENALTY NMSU holding (Owens, DeMarcus) 10 yards to the NMSU40, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
40.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 39Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-10
40.8%
Kai Locksley run for no gain to the NMxSt 39 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NMxSt 49Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 19
OPP 49
+6
40.0%
Kai Locksley run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 43Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-9
39.7%
Kai Locksley sacked by Roy Lopez for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 22
OWN 48
-5
38.9%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 27
OWN 43
+9
38.8%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 45 yds , OJ Clark returns for 9 yds to the NMxSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:3460% → 60%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
40.0%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to OJ ClarkSimilar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
40.1%
Josh Adkins run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+6
39.6%
Christian Gibson run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
39.0%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Royce Caldwell for 7 yds to the NMxSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
38.5%
UTEP Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the NMxSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
38.5%
Royce Caldwell run for 14 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
38.1%
Josh Adkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
38.2%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Izaiah LottieSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-4
38.5%
Josh Adkins sacked by Dylan Parsee for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
40.2%
Payton Theisler punt for 19 yds, downed at the UTEP 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6FG
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:4840% → 46%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
40.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 17 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
41.7%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+43
41.6%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Keynan Foster for 43 yds to the NMxSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
42.9%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 10Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
42.9%
Winston Dimel run for no gain to the NMxSt 10Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
42.1%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Terry Juniel for 4 yds to the NMxSt 6Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+24
45.8%
Jason Filley 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.6%
Jason Huntley run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
41.7%
Christian Gibson run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+40
42.1%
Christian Gibson run for 40 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
39.3%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Johnathan Boone, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
39.7%
Jason Huntley run for no gain to the UTEP 27 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 20
OPP 37
0
41.0%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to OJ ClarkSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 20
OPP 37
-5
42.1%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 25
OPP 42
-5
42.2%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 30
OPP 47
+5
42.4%
Royce Caldwell run for 5 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 25
OPP 42
-5
43.3%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (Billy Nipp) to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 30
OPP 47
0
43.4%
Payton Theisler punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FUMBLE
11 plays · 77 yds · 0:0045% → 49%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
44.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 13 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
45.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
45.2%
Kai Locksley run for no gain to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+15
44.1%
LOCKSLEY, Kai deep pass incomplete to REDIX, Warren, PENALTY NMSU face mask (Fergurson, J.) 15 yards to the UTEP35, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
45.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
47.4%
Kai Locksley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+28
47.8%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Winston Dimel for 28 yds to the NMxSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
48.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 22Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
48.8%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Warren Redix, broken up by Komotay KoffieSimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+14
47.8%
Kai Locksley run for 14 yds to the NMxSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-6
48.8%
Winston Dimel run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMxSt 15 Winston Dimel fumbled, forced by Roy Lopez, recovered by NMxSt Billy NippSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0056% → 59%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
43.6%
UTEP Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
42.8%
Josh Adkins run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
42.5%
Josh Adkins run for no gain to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+11
43.6%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Johnathan Boone for 11 yds to the NMxSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
40.7%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Anthony Muse for 3 yds to the NMxSt 47Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-8
40.6%
Josh Adkins sacked by A.J. Hotchkins for a loss of 8 yards to the NMxSt 43 Josh Adkins fumbled, recovered by UTEP Jamar Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10FUMBLE TD
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+55
36.3%
Kai Locksley sacked by Cedric Wilcots II for a loss of 6 yards Kai Locksley fumbled, recovered by NMxSt Malik Demby , return for 0 yards , return for 55 yds (Dylan Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0835% → 33%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
34.9%
Kai Locksley run for no gain to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-8
32.5%
Kai Locksley sacked by DeShawnte Lloyd for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
31.6%
Jason Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
32.1%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 8 yds to the NMxSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
31.4%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Johnathan Boone, broken up by Kalon BeverlySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
32.6%
Payton Theisler punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 2:0433% → 47%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
33.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 11 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
33.8%
Kai Locksley sacked by Malik Demby for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 17
OWN 25
-1
33.0%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+76
46.8%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Terry Juniel for 76 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.6%
Josh Adkins run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 32Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
43.7%
Christian Gibson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
44.9%
Josh Adkins run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
46.4%
Payton Theisler punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 39 yds · 6:2150% → 49%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
49.7%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+16
52.3%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 16 yds to the NMxSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
53.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
54.2%
Kai Locksley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
54.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 22Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
54.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the NMxSt 22Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
52.7%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 21Similar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
51.1%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
54.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the NMxSt 20Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-1
54.2%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 21Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 11
OPP 21
-10
52.5%
Kai Locksley sacked by Cedric Wilcots II for 0 yards to the NMxSt 21 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Zuri Henry) to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 21
OPP 31
+5
50.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 26Similar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 16
OPP 26
+44
49.3%
Jason Filley 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:2153% → 75%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
47.0%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Johnathan BooneSimilar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+15
47.6%
Adkins, Josh sacked for loss of 2 yards to the NMSU25 (ROGERS, Justin), PENALTY UTEP face mask (MASCORRO, Trace) 15 yards to the NMSU42, 1ST DOWN NMSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
44.4%
Josh Adkins run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 44Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
44.1%
Josh Adkins run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 47Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+53
25.3%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Royce Caldwell for 53 yds for a TD (Dylan Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17FG
22 plays · 64 yds · 9:2131% → 34%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
30.6%
Joshua Fields run for 5 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
31.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Keynan Foster, broken up by Komotay KoffieSimilar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
29.8%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Warren Redix for 5 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
31.2%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+8
31.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Warren Redix for 8 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
33.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 17 yds to the NMxSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
35.3%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
32.9%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
32.6%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
30.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
34.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
34.6%
Kai Locksley run for no gain to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+6
30.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Winston Dimel for 6 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
32.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 13Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 1
OPP 13
-5
32.4%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Ruben Guerra) to the NMxSt 18Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
32.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
32.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 10Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
32.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 9Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-7
30.3%
Kai Locksley sacked by Javahn Fergurson and Cedric Wilcots II for a loss of 7 yards to the NMxSt 16Similar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+34
34.0%
Jason Filley 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 18FG
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:5173% → 89%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
27.2%
Jason Huntley run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
25.1%
Christian Gibson run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
25.3%
Josh Adkins run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 39Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-10
24.1%
Christian Gibson run for no gain to the NMxSt 39 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Anthony Muse) to the NMxSt 29Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+37
28.0%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Johnathan Boone for 37 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
21.5%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Bryce Roberts for 17 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
21.0%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Shea Holebrook Jr. for 8 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+1
21.0%
Christian Gibson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 8Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+3
22.5%
Christian Gibson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
21.0%
Adkins, Josh sideline pass incomplete to Holebrook, S. (HOTCHKINS, A.J.), PENALTY UTEP pass interference (BEVERLY, Kalon) 3 yards to the UTEP2, 1ST DOWN NMSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
21.1%
Josh Adkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
21.0%
Josh Adkins run for no gain to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
22.6%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Anthony MuseSimilar
Q4 3:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
10.8%
Dylan Brown 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19INT
10 plays · 2 yds · 0:0020% → 17%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
20.0%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
19.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Terry Juniel UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+13
17.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Keynan Foster for 13 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
22.9%
Kai Locksley sacked by Billy Nipp for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 19
OWN 34
0
19.0%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 19
OWN 34
0
19.0%
UTEP Penalty, intentional grounding (Kai Locksley) to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 19
OWN 34
-7
17.9%
Kai Locksley sacked by Javahn Fergurson for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 26
OWN 27
0
16.8%
Kai Locksley pass intercepted Austin Perkins return for no gain to the NMxSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 20Uncategorized
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMxSt 41Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 14
OWN 41
-5
5.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:46
Josh Adkins pass complete to Royce Caldwell for 53 yds for a TD (Dylan Brown KICK)
-18.7
TD · Q3 12:02
Kai Locksley pass complete to Terry Juniel for 76 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)
+13.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:49
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMxSt 41
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com