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NAVY

Navy 10 at Army 17

ARMY
2018 · Week 15 · Dec 8, 2018 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreNAVY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-6.1ARMY 90.3%Bennett Moehring 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 17 · Q4 0:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:29 · Bennett Moehring 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense+19.8Pregame prior+0.1Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.4Score differential+1.9Time remaining+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 7:10: Garret Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +25.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:55: Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 39 — ARMY win probability +6.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:35: Garret Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 32 — NAVY win probability +5.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:45: Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Navy 19 — ARMY win probability +13.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:29: Bennett Moehring 46 yd FG GOOD — NAVY win probability +6.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 9NAVY made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 9:24NAVY 4th & 15 at NAVY 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:21ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:35ARMY 4th & 1 at NAVY 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    70.8%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:53ARMY 4th & 9 at NAVY 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:42NAVY 4th & 3 at NAVY 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:55ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:52NAVY 4th & 11 at NAVY 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:45ARMY 4th & 9 at NAVY 31, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:52NAVY 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:33ARMY 4th & 12 at NAVY 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−2.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    69.6%−8.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:55ARMY 4th & 2 at NAVY 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    83.9%−2.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:20NAVY 4th & 1 at ARMY 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−2.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−8.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:02ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 12, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:46ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−4.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:02NAVY 4th & 12 at NAVY 32, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:51NAVY 4th & 10 at ARMY 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:29NAVY 4th & 5 at ARMY 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NAVY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:34ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 7:10NAVY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:28ARMY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 1:5167% → 68%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
67.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
67.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+17
67.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Glen Coates for 17 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+51
67.4%
Kell Walker run for 51 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
68.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:5632% → 31%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
67.9%
Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 31Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
68.1%
Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
68.2%
ARMY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kenneth Brinson) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
50
+1
67.9%
Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Army 49Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-1
68.0%
Tre Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 10
50
0
68.5%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Taylor JacksonSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 10
50
-5
68.8%
NAVY Penalty, False Start (Travis Brannan) to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 9:24
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
68.9%
Owen White punt for 32 yds, downed at the Army 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5469% → 69%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
68.9%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
68.8%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+2
68.9%
Jordan Asberry run for 2 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
68.7%
Nick Schrage punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jacob Springer at the Navy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4INT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:5031% → 31%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
68.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 36Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
69.0%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Malcolm PerrySimilar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
69.3%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 6 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+5
69.3%
ARMY Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Christian Anderson) to the Navy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
68.7%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 49Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
68.7%
Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 49Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+11
69.2%
Zach Abey pass intercepted Jaylon McClinton return for 11 yds to the Army 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 7:1770% → 72%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
70.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 31Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
70.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Kell WalkerSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+25
70.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 25 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for no gain to the Navy 44Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
71.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Navy 41Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+6
71.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q1 0:35
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
71.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
72.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
72.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Christian HayesSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+13
72.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 13 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
72.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 16Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
73.1%
Kell Walker run for no gain to the Navy 16Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
72.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan AsberrySimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+33
71.9%
John Abercrombie 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5829% → 26%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
71.4%
Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 22Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
71.6%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 1 yd to the Navy 23Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+4
73.3%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+1
73.9%
Owen White punt for 43 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for 1 yd to the Army 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3573% → 73%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
73.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Army 32Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
73.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Akyah MirandaSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+6
72.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
73.3%
Nick Schrage punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jacob Springer at the Navy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5326% → 24%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
74.2%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 19Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+5
74.3%
ARMY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cole Christiansen) to the Navy 24Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+5
73.5%
Tre Walker run for 5 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
74.0%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Navy 33Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-5
73.8%
Mychal Cooper run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 28Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
75.4%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Taylor JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+3
76.0%
Owen White punt for 40 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for 3 yds to the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:5375% → 75%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
74.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
76.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
76.4%
Andy Davidson run for 22 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
77.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 31Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-8
77.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. sacked by Hudson Sullivan and Nizaire Cromartie for a loss of 8 yards to the Navy 39Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 17
OPP 39
+8
74.9%
Malik Hancock run for 8 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 9
OPP 31
0
75.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Kell WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:3024% → 25%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
75.7%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 5 yds to the Navy 36Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
74.7%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 5 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5328% → 28%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
72.0%
Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
71.8%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 7 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-1
71.1%
Zach Abey run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 2
50
0
72.5%
Owen White punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 8:0774% → 82%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
74.3%
Jordan Asberry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 19Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+14
74.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Zack Boobas for 14 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
75.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+1
76.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Army 39Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+18
75.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 18 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
79.0%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Navy 41Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+2
79.2%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Navy 39Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+11
78.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 11 yds to the Navy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
80.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Navy 26Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+12
81.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 12 yds to the Navy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
81.2%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Navy 12Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-4
81.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 16Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
80.1%
Kell Walker run for no gain to the Navy 16Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+33
82.1%
John Abercrombie 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:3818% → 17%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
81.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 22Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
82.1%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 6 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
82.1%
Tre Walker run for 6 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
81.7%
Tazh Maloy run for 2 yds to the Navy 36Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-5
81.7%
NAVY Penalty, False Start (Tazh Maloy) to the Navy 31Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 13
OWN 31
0
82.9%
Zach Abey pass intercepted Mike Reynolds return for no gain to the Army 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3585% → 85%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
85.3%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
86.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q3 0:18
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
85.9%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the Navy 43Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+1
85.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15FUMBLE
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:2317% → 16%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
83.3%
Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 40Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
84.1%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Taylor JacksonSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+34
85.5%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Keoni-Kordell Makekau for 34 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
80.8%
Mike Martin run for 2 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+1
80.8%
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd to the Army 23Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+6
82.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+1
83.8%
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd to the Army 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
84.2%
Garret Lewis run for 13 yds to the Army 3 Garret Lewis fumbled, forced by Jaylon McClinton, recovered by Army James GibsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5388% → 89%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
87.8%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Army 4Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+3
88.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+5
87.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 5 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 1
OWN 12
+4
88.5%
Nick Schrage punt for 40 yds , Jacob Springer returns for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:4012% → 37%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+43
88.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 43 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
87.2%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Army 1Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.3%
Garret Lewis run for no gain to the Army 1Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.1%
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0976% → 75%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
75.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
77.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-5
77.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 37Similar
Q4 4:46
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+4
75.3%
Nick Schrage punt for 33 yds , Jacob Springer returns for 4 yds to the Navy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:3331% → 24%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
69.3%
Garret Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 32Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+5
71.0%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Malcolm Perry for 5 yds to the Navy 37Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-5
70.3%
NAVY Penalty, False Start (Peter Nestrowitz) to the Navy 32Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
73.0%
OJ Davis pass incomplete to Garret LewisSimilar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 12
OWN 32
-10
76.0%
Zach Abey sacked by Kenneth Brinson for a loss of 10 yards to the Navy 22 Zach Abey fumbled, recovered by Army Kenneth Brinson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:1790% → 97%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
89.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Navy 19Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+17
90.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 17 yds to the Navy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
91.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Navy 1Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.6%
NAVY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Josh Webb) to the Navy 1Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 21FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 0:523% → 10%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.7%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Taylor Jackson for 11 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
96.4%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Keoni-Kordell Makekau for 18 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.9%
Garret Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
96.1%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to CJ WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
96.4%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Mychal CooperSimilar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+13
96.8%
Garret Lewis pass complete to Malcolm Perry for 13 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.1%
Garret Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
95.2%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Ryan MitchellSimilar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+5
95.9%
Myles Fells run for 5 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
90.3%
Bennett Moehring 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:10
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK)
-25.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:45
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Navy 19
+13.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:55
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 39
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com