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COLG

Colgate 14 at Army 28

ARMY
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadCOLG aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreCOLG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:20 · Nick Schrage punt for 42 yds, downed at the Colg 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Pregame prior+16.7Home team on offense+10.6Garbage-time factor+2.9Score differential+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Time remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:05: Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK) — ARMY win probability +5.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:52: Chris Puzzi kickoff for 51 yds , Sandon McCoy return for 23 yds to the Army 37 — COLG win probability +7.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: COLG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:58: Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK) — ARMY win probability +10.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:26: James Holland run for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Puzzi KICK) — COLG win probability +12.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: COLG has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:26: Chris Puzzi kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — ARMY win probability +6.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: COLG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3COLG made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00COLG 4th & 14 at COLG 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:59COLG 4th & 12 at COLG 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 1 at COLG 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    75.8%−0.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:05COLG 4th & 8 at ARMY 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    17.5%−0.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:20ARMY 4th & 12 at ARMY 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:52COLG 4th & 13 at ARMY 31, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:11COLG 4th & 2 at ARMY 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−1.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4COLG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:14ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:05ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:58ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:26COLG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:06ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLGDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
78.1%
James Holland run for 6 yds to the Colg 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
78.1%
Sage Attwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-10
78.1%
Sage Attwood pass complete to James Holland for a loss of 10 yards to the Colg 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 24
+5
78.1%
ARMY Penalty, offside defense (Donavan Lynch) to the Colg 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 29
-5
78.1%
COLGATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colg 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 24
+12
78.1%
Josh Cerra punt for 39 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for 12 yds to the Army 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 4:3978% → 79%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
77.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 7 yds to the Colg 44Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
77.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
77.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 8 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
77.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Colg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
77.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 19 yds to the Colg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
77.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Colg 4Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
77.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Colg 3Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 20 yds · 2:1022% → 21%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
78.2%
COLGATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Colg 16Similar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+8
78.3%
James Holland run for 8 yds to the Colg 24Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+9
78.2%
James Holland run for 9 yds to the Colg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
78.1%
Sage Attwood pass complete to TySean Sizer for 4 yds to the Colg 37Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
78.0%
Sage Attwood run for no gain to the Colg 37Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+6
78.2%
Sage Attwood pass complete to James Holland for 6 yds to the Colg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
77.9%
Sage Attwood pass complete to TySean Sizer for 3 yds to the Colg 46Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
77.7%
Alex Mathews run for 2 yds to the Colg 48Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-15
77.7%
Attwood, Sage pass complete to Buscaglia, Owen for 12 yards to the ARMY40 (McClinton, J.;Riley, Elijah), PENALTY COLGATE pass interference (Rockett, Owen) 15 yards to the COLGATE33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+8
78.6%
Sage Attwood pass complete to James Holland for 8 yds to the Colg 41Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
78.6%
Josh Cerra punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mike Reynolds at the Army 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 9:2779% → 85%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
78.6%
Kell Walker run for 7 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
78.9%
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
78.9%
Jordan Asberry run for 16 yds to the Colg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
79.3%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Colg 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-5
79.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+17
78.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 17 yds to the Colg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
79.7%
Kell Walker run for 5 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
79.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Colg 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
79.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Colg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
79.8%
Kell Walker run for 1 yd to the Colg 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+7
79.8%
Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Colg 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
79.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Colg 14Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+2
79.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Colg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
79.8%
Kell Walker run for no gain to the Colg 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+10
79.8%
Kell Walker run for 10 yds to the Colg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
84.2%
James Holland run for 15 yds to the Colg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
83.9%
Sage Attwood pass complete to Thomas Ives for 5 yds to the Colg 45 COLGATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Colg 35Similar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
84.3%
James Holland run for 4 yds to the Colg 39Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+21
84.1%
Sage Attwood pass complete to Thomas Ives for 21 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
83.4%
James Holland run for 7 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
82.7%
Sage Attwood pass incomplete to Thomas IvesSimilar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-5
83.2%
Attwood, Sage rush for 1 yard to the ARMY32 (Gibson, James;Covington, J.), PENALTY COLGATE illegal shift 5 yards to the ARMY38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
83.5%
Sage Attwood pass incomplete to Owen Rockett, broken up by Jaylon McClintonSimilar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
84.1%
Josh Cerra punt for 6 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-8
85.7%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 34 ARMY Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Army 24Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 18
OWN 24
+6
85.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
85.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan AsberrySimilar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
85.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Calen HoltSimilar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
84.7%
Nick Schrage punt for 42 yds, downed at the Colg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 7FUMBLE
12 plays · 50 yds · 1:5114% → 14%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
85.6%
Attwood, Sage pass incomplete to Rockett, Owen, PENALTY ARMY holding (Riley, Elijah) 10 yards to the COLGATE38, 1ST DOWN COLGATE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
85.4%
James Holland run for 6 yds to the Colg 44Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+7
84.8%
James Holland run for 7 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
84.8%
Sage Attwood pass incomplete to Owen RockettSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+21
85.3%
Sage Attwood run for 21 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
83.9%
Malik Twyman run for 3 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
83.9%
Malik Twyman run for 1 yd to the Army 24Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-7
84.0%
Sage Attwood run for a loss of 7 yards to the Army 31Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+5
86.0%
Sage Attwood pass complete to Owen Rockett for 10 yds Owen Rockett fumbled, forced by Cole Christiansen, recovered by Army Cameron Jones , return for 5 yds to the Army 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
88.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Kjetil ClineSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
88.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
87.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
87.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
87.2%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
87.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan Asberry, broken up by Alec WisniewskiSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
86.2%
Nick Schrage punt for 33 yds, fair catch by TySean Sizer at the Colg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+34
86.8%
James Holland run for 34 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
85.7%
James Holland run for no gain to the Army 38Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
85.7%
James Holland run for 8 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
85.5%
James Holland run for no gain to the Army 30Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+1
86.2%
Sage Attwood pass complete to Thomas Ives for 1 yd to the Army 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 6 yds · 3:2889% → 85%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
89.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
89.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
89.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
89.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+1
89.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Army 44Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+35
84.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds Kelvin Hopkins Jr. fumbled, forced by Alec Wisniewski, recovered by Colg Tyler Castillo , return for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:4583% → 94%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
82.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
83.5%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
82.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Colg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
83.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 14 yds to the Colg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
84.1%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the Colg 33Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
84.1%
Kell Walker run for 5 yds to the Colg 28Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+4
83.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Colg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
84.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Colg 22 for a 1ST down COLGATE Penalty, Defensive holding (Alec Wisniewski) to the Colg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
84.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Colg 6Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+5
84.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Colg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 13TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 5:248% → 23%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
91.8%
James Holland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 20Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+12
91.8%
Sage Attwood pass complete to Owen Buscaglia for 12 yds to the Colg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
91.2%
James Holland run for 28 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
90.6%
James Holland run for 1 yd to the Army 39Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
90.6%
Sage Attwood pass incomplete to Owen Rockett, broken up by Max ReganSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+12
90.7%
James Holland run for 12 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
89.5%
Alex Mathews run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+12
89.8%
James Holland run for 12 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
89.5%
Sage Attwood pass complete to Mike Bevino for 4 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
77.0%
James Holland run for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Puzzi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:2087% → 98%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
87.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 8 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
88.0%
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
88.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
88.8%
Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the Colg 46Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+8
89.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the Colg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
89.1%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Colg 35Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
89.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+5
88.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Colg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
89.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Colg 25Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+3
95.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Colg 22Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+19
95.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 19 yds to the Colg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 15END OF GAME
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.7%
COLGATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Colg 20Similar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
97.8%
Sage Attwood run for 1 yd to the Colg 21Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
97.8%
Malik Twyman run for no gain to the Colg 21Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
97.9%
Malik Twyman run for no gain to the Colg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:26
James Holland run for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Puzzi KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q4 14:58
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)
+10.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:52
Chris Puzzi kickoff for 51 yds , Sandon McCoy return for 23 yds to the Army 37
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com