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ARMY

Army 37 at Eastern Michigan 22

EMU
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-16.1EMU 6.0%Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete toKell Walker for 2 yds for a TD (JohnAbercrombie KICK)AWAY 30 - HOME 14 · Q4 11:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:26 · Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 2 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense−35.7Score differential−16.4Garbage-time factor−9.3Pregame prior−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:18: Jordan Asberry run for 3 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK) — ARMY win probability +12.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:20: Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 4 yds for a TD (Isaac Holder pass to Tyler Wiegers for Two-Point Conversion) — EMU win probability +11.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:00: Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 58 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — EMU win probability +14.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: One-score game).
  4. TD · Q3 3:40: Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 26 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK) — ARMY win probability +13.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:26: Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 2 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK) — ARMY win probability +16.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:24ARMY 4th & 1 at EMU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:56ARMY 4th & 6 at EMU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:56EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 3 at EMU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:37ARMY 4th & 6 at EMU 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−5.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:37EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−2.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:25ARMY 4th & 3 at EMU 10, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%−0.8
    88% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:45EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 18, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−2.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 32, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:20ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 32, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:00ARMY 4th & 1 at EMU 32, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%−5.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−7.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:26ARMY 4th & 2 at EMU 2, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    74.9%−2.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−14.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:26EMU 4th & 2 at ARMY 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−1.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−7.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:13EMU 4th & 1 at ARMY 39, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 0 of 3ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 0:18ARMY Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:20EMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:00EMU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    50.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:40ARMY Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:26ARMY Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:03EMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    14.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.8%−0.9
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:45ARMY Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
44.0%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
44.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+8
44.0%
Jake Julien punt for 49 yds , Elijah Riley returns for 8 yds to the Army 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2FG
19 plays · 64 yds · 10:2856% → 55%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
44.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 7 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
44.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
44.4%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
44.3%
Jordan Asberry run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
44.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
44.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
44.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-1
44.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+14
44.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Quinten Parker for 14 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
44.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 7 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+4
44.2%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
44.2%
Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-1
44.2%
Jordan Asberry run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 14Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+4
44.3%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
44.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
44.2%
Jordan Asberry run for no gain to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
44.2%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
44.3%
Andy Davidson run for no gain to the EMich 6Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
45.4%
John Abercrombie 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
45.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
45.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
44.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 10 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
45.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
44.5%
Jake Julien punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 6:4354% → 60%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
45.6%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
45.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 13 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
44.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
44.1%
Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
44.1%
Davidson, Andy rush for 2 yards to the ARMY48 (CROSBY, Maxx;LaBARBERA, Tyler), PENALTY EMU offside (EDDINGTON, Ty) 5 yards to the EMU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+2
43.7%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
43.7%
Connor Slomka run for no gain to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
44.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for no gain to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+39
44.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Christian Hayes for 39 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
43.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
43.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
43.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Andy DavidsonSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
40.1%
John Abercrombie 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake Banham, broken up by Jeremiah LowerySimilar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.0%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
41.2%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Cole Christiansen for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 21Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
40.6%
Jake Julien punt for 37 yds, downed at the Army 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:4063% → 67%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
37.5%
Jordan Asberry run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 38Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+6
39.0%
Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+29
36.9%
Malik Hancock run for 29 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
35.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 10 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
35.4%
Andy Davidson run for no gain to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
35.4%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+4
35.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
33.2%
John Abercrombie 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:4034% → 33%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-14
34.3%
WIEGERS, Tyler pass complete to JACKSON, Arthur for 4 yards to the EMU32 (Bourdeau, J.), PENALTY EMU personal foul (NIELSEN, Steve) 14 yards to the EMU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
33.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+4
32.8%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
32.6%
Jake Julien punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:1767% → 82%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
33.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+10
32.8%
Jordan Asberry run for 10 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
32.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+14
30.7%
Hopkins Jr., K. pass incomplete to Harrison, C., PENALTY EMU personal foul (HARRIS, Jeremiah) 14 yards to the EMU26, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
30.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 13 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Kyle Rachwal) to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
30.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (4 Yards) to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
18.3%
Jordan Asberry run for 3 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.1%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
21.5%
Jordan Asberry run for 3 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
21.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for no gain to the Army 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
22.4%
Nick Schrage punt for 14 yds, downed at the Army 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:4425% → 37%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
25.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 5 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+25
25.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 25 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
25.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Breck TurnerSimilar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
25.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 14 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
26.0%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 4Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
37.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 4 yds for a TD (Isaac Holder pass to Tyler Wiegers for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q3 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.3%
Isaac Holder pass complete to Tyler Wiegers for 3 yds for a TD (Isaac Holder pass to Tyler Wiegers for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.9%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
30.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
30.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
32.1%
Nick Schrage punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:2034% → 47%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
33.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake Banham, broken up by Cameron JonesSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
32.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+58
46.9%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 58 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2055% → 74%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.4%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Edriece Patterson) to the Army 20Similar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
45.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
46.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Christian Hayes for 6 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+31
46.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 31 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
42.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
41.6%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+3
41.9%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
43.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
40.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+2
39.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+26
26.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 26 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
29.5%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 3 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Elijah Riley) to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
31.3%
Tyler Wiegers run for 4 yds to the EMich 47 Tyler Wiegers fumbled, forced by James Nachtigal, recovered by Army Chandler RamirezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 7:1474% → 94%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
26.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
26.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+11
26.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 11 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
25.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 13 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
25.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
21.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+6
22.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
20.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
21.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for no gain to the EMich 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
22.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for no gain to the EMich 2Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 2 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2310% → 24%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
10.7%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 11 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
11.1%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 12 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
11.5%
Tyler Wiegers run for 7 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
12.3%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
12.4%
WIEGERS, Tyler pass incomplete to LATU, Line, PENALTY ARMY offside (Brinson, K.) 5 yards to the ARMY35, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
12.5%
Tyler Wiegers run for 4 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
13.0%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+4
12.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 4 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+9
12.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 9 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
13.0%
Tyler Wiegers run for 17 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.7%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Wiegers pass to Blake Banham for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18TD
17 plays · 84 yds · 6:1887% → 99%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
12.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+12
12.7%
Hopkins Jr., K. rush for 2 yards to the ARMY21 (HARRIS, Jeremiah;WILLIAMS, Ross), PENALTY EMU holding (EDDINGTON, Ty) 12 yards to the ARMY31, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
12.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Army 32Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+8
12.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kjetil Cline for 8 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
11.7%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
11.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
11.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+4
11.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
10.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+8
4.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 8 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
2.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the EMich 32 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding (15 Yards) to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
2.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 8 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+9
0.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 9 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:322% → 1%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
2.2%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 27 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
2.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
2.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+7
2.4%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Line Latu for 7 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
0.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass incomplete to Blake Banham, broken up by Cameron JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:26
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 2 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q3 9:00
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Blake Banham for 58 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+14.1
TD · Q3 3:40
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 26 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com