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M-OH

Miami (OH) 30 at Army 31

ARMY
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 110Home team on offense+17.9Pregame prior+4.2Garbage-time factor+4.6Score differential+6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4Time remaining+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 4:23: Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +13.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 0:17: Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 5 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +41.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Samuel Sloman 33 Yd Field Goal — M-OH win probability +15.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: John Abercrombie 37 Yd Field Goal — ARMY win probability +27.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Darnell Woolfolk 7 Yd Run (John Abercrombie Kick) — ARMY win probability +19.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8M-OH made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:56ARMY 4th & 2 at M-OH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57M-OH 4th & 2 at ARMY 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:57M-OH 4th & 13 at ARMY 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 5 at M-OH 26, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:14ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.4%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:06ARMY 4th & 1 at M-OH 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:03M-OH 4th & 22 at M-OH 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−4.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:02ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:35M-OH 4th & 8 at ARMY 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 2 at ARMY 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%−1.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 6 at ARMY 23, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−5.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:27ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:17M-OH 4th & 9 at ARMY 15, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:35ARMY 4th & 3 at M-OH 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−1.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:28M-OH 4th & 3 at ARMY 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.8%−3.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:17M-OH 4th & 5 at ARMY 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−8.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−12.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:05ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:55ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:40M-OH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:08ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:23M-OH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:17M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−2.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.1%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
67.1%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
67.1%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+10
67.1%
Kyle Kramer punt for 40 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for 10 yds to the Army 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 6:5167% → 70%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
67.1%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 44Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+7
67.0%
Cam Thomas run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+3
67.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+7
67.0%
Cam Thomas run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
67.1%
Cam Thomas run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+5
67.1%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
67.1%
Cam Thomas run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+4
67.1%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
67.1%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
67.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+7
67.1%
Cam Thomas run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
68.8%
Gus Ragland run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
68.4%
Gus Ragland run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
50
+4
68.1%
Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
68.1%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-1
68.0%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 42Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+11
68.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 11 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
67.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
67.7%
Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
68.1%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Maurice ThomasSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 8
OPP 29
-5
68.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 34Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+8
69.1%
Gus Ragland run for 8 yds to the Army 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
15 plays · 74 yds · 8:3070% → 79%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
69.8%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
69.8%
Cam Thomas run for 4 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+4
69.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
70.2%
Cam Thomas run for no gain to the Army 38Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+21
70.1%
Kell Walker run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
70.7%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
71.2%
Cam Thomas run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+2
70.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
71.4%
Cam Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
-1
71.4%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+1
71.0%
Cam Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+9
70.2%
Kell Walker run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
71.4%
Cam Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+5
71.4%
Jordan Asberry run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
78.8%
Andy Davidson run for 11 yds for a TD, (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:0024% → 31%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
76.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 3 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
76.0%
Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+13
76.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 13 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
68.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 34 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6DOWNS
21 plays · 74 yds · 7:3472% → 73%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.4%
Kell Walker run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
72.3%
Jordan Asberry run for 11 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
72.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
73.7%
Cam Thomas run for 2 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
73.0%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+14
72.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
74.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+9
74.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
74.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+1
74.2%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+12
75.0%
Cam Thomas run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
75.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
75.8%
Cam Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
74.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, ( Yards) to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
73.7%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.0%
Kell Walker run for 1 yd to the Army 24 Kell Walker fumbled, forced by Brad Koenig, recovered by Army Kell WalkerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
73.8%
Cam Thomas run for no gain to the Army 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
72.7%
Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
72.5%
Nick Schrage punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jack Sorenson at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
73.3%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
73.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+21
74.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 21 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
71.5%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
71.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-15
72.1%
RAGLAND, Gus rush for 6 yards to the ARMY46 (Christiansen, C;Nachtigal, J.), PENALTY MIAMI illegal block (RIGG, Jordan) 15 yards to the MIAMI33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 22
OWN 33
0
74.5%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 22
OWN 33
0
74.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
74.8%
Cam Thomas run for no gain to the Army 15Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
74.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+8
73.9%
Kell Walker run for 8 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
75.2%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Jordan Asberry, broken up by Bart BarattiSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
74.9%
Jordan Asberry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 26Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+7
73.7%
Cam Thomas run for 7 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
73.7%
Nick Schrage punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
72.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 11 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
71.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
72.4%
Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-5
72.5%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Jack Sorenson) to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+5
74.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
74.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:2379% → 94%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
78.7%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+52
78.8%
Cam Thomas run for 52 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
81.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
81.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
81.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-1
81.5%
Andy Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+8
80.4%
Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.5%
Cam Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13DOWNS
18 plays · 60 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
90.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+7
90.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 7 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 27
0
90.1%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+1
90.3%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
90.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 12 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
89.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Jarrett LaRubbio) to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+9
90.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 9 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-1
89.5%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+18
89.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 18 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
89.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Maurice ThomasSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
89.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+8
89.5%
Gus Ragland run for 8 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+4
89.6%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
88.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 4 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
88.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
88.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Dominique Robinson, broken up by Mike ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+1
89.9%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the Army 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
95.1%
Cam Thomas run for no gain to the Army 22Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
95.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+3
95.1%
Cam Thomas run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
94.8%
Nick Schrage punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jack Sorenson at the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:546% → 20%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
93.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
50
+17
93.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 17 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
92.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 17 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
92.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 1 yd to the Army 15Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
92.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
93.1%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson, broken up by Max ReganSimilar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+12
93.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 12 yds to the Army 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:4793% → 94%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
92.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Army 48Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
92.6%
Cam Thomas run for no gain to the Army 48 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+6
93.7%
Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
93.6%
Zach Potter punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17TD
19 plays · 82 yds · 3:119% → 56%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
91.1%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+16
91.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 16 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
90.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 14 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
89.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+7
90.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 7 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+6
89.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 6 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.7%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
88.0%
Gus Ragland run for 11 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
86.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 5 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
85.9%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+20
87.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 20 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q4 0:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke Mayock, broken up by Mike ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 0:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
44.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 5 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
58.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the Army 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
40.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds to the Army 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+5
43.0%
Gus Ragland run for 5 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
40.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jaylon BesterSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
40.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Dominique Robinson, broken up by Elijah RileySimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-1
43.7%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 15Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
28.5%
Samuel Sloman 33 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20FG
9 plays · 5 yds · 0:0041% → 51%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
41.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
41.3%
Cam Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
37.7%
Cam Thomas run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
41.3%
Cam Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 14Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-1
35.4%
Cam Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 15Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
-5
30.0%
ARMY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 17
OPP 20
0
28.1%
Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Camden Harrison, broken up by Travion BanksSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 17
OWN 0
+37
51.1%
John Abercrombie 37 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 87%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
64.7%
Kell Walker run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
64.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
64.7%
Kell Walker run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, face mask (6 yards) (Bart Baratti) to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 7
OWN 0
+7
87.3%
Darnell Woolfolk 7 Yd Run (John Abercrombie Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
80.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 2 yds to the Army 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+10
80.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 10 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
80.4%
Gus Ragland sacked by Elijah Riley for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
83.8%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 18
+5
89.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jalen Walker for 5 yds to the Army 13Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 13
-5
91.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Army 18Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+18
80.8%
Luke Mayock 18 Yd pass from Gus Ragland (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:17
Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 5 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)
-41.8
FG · OT 0:00
John Abercrombie 37 Yd Field Goal
+27.1
TD · OT 0:00
Darnell Woolfolk 7 Yd Run (John Abercrombie Kick)
+19.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com