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BYU

BYU 35 at Massachusetts 16

MASS
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Gillette Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:20 · Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:57: Cooper Garcia 20 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +4.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:12: Marquis Young run for 2 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +5.6 pts (now 29%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:50: Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 15 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK) — BYU win probability +6.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:08: Matt Hadley run for 2 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK) — BYU win probability +10.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:03: Aleva Hifo run for 3 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK) — BYU win probability +10.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 10BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 7:57MASS 4th & 2 at BYU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.9%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:33MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:10MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:03BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:39MASS 4th & 3 at midfield, up 3
    Close callPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:28BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:13MASS 4th & 5 at BYU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:22MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−2.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:08MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:45BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:49MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:03MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 43, down 18
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:47MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 19, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:49BYU 4th & 3 at MASS 43, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:12MASS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:33BYU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:50BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:08BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:03BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:47BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:16MASS Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 7:0318% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
18.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
18.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 13 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
18.2%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
50
-1
18.2%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-10
18.2%
COMIS, Ross pass complete to PALMER, Sadiq for 18 yards to the BYU33, out-of-bounds (JACOBSON, Tanner;SHELTON, Michael), PENALTY UMASS holding (COLEMAN, Larnel) 10 yards to the UMASS39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+22
18.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, personal foul (Isaiah Kaufusi) to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
18.2%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+1
18.2%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+6
18.2%
Ross Comis run for 6 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
18.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 6 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+12
18.2%
Ross Comis run for 12 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
18.2%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
18.2%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+2
18.2%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the BYU 3Similar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+20
22.6%
Cooper Garcia 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
22.4%
Aleva Hifo run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 31 Aleva Hifo fumbled, recovered by UMass Jake ByczkoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:4023% → 29%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
23.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
23.0%
Ross Comis run for 4 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+6
22.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 6 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
23.1%
Ross Comis run for 6 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
23.1%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
22.8%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
23.1%
Ross Comis run for 7 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.6%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:3973% → 76%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
26.8%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+36
26.6%
Zach Wilson run for 36 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+25
25.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dallin Holker for 25 yds to the UMass 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
24.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 4 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
25.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
25.4%
Ross Comis pass complete to Zak Simon for no gain to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+1
25.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Zak Simon for 1 yd to the UMass 22Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
24.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 41 yds, downed at the BYU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3973% → 73%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
26.7%
Matt Hadley run for 1 yd to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-3
26.5%
Matt Hadley run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+9
27.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Hadley for 9 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
27.3%
Rhett Almond punt for 34 yds, downed at the UMass 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
27.8%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 29 Marquis Young fumbled, forced by Sione Takitaki, recovered by UMass Ray Thomas-Ishman Sr.Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
28.3%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-3
27.6%
Ross Comis sacked by Bracken El-Bakri for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 26 Ross Comis fumbled, recovered by UMass Larnel Coleman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
26.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
29.6%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
29.7%
Squally Canada run for no gain to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-1
30.4%
Zach Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
30.9%
Rhett Almond punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
31.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 3
50
+2
32.0%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-2
31.6%
Ross Comis sacked by Corbin Kaufusi for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 3
50
0
30.6%
Travis Reynolds punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
32.1%
Squally Canada run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 10Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
32.3%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+3
33.0%
Zach Wilson run for 3 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
33.6%
Rhett Almond punt for 36 yds, downed at the BYU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5436% → 36%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
36.0%
Marquis Young run for 12 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
36.1%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-1
36.6%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
35.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
35.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:1766% → 76%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
33.7%
Matt Hadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+3
34.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dylan Collie for 3 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+10
34.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 10 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
32.4%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dylan Collie, broken up by Tyler HayesSimilar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
33.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 8 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+7
32.2%
Zach Wilson run for 7 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+26
31.9%
Matt Hadley run for 26 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
30.8%
Matt Hadley pass incomplete to Aleva Hifo, broken up by Brice McAllisterSimilar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
30.8%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
23.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 15 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 1:5028% → 32%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
27.7%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+15
27.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 15 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
28.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
28.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 6 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+20
29.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 20 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
32.1%
COMIS, Ross pass incomplete to 84, PENALTY BYU offside defense (TALIAULI, Merrill) 5 yards to the BYU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 5
OPP 30
0
32.1%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+11
32.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 11 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+36
31.9%
Cooper Garcia 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.7%
Aleva Hifo run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
27.6%
Zach Wilson run for 2 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
28.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Hadley for 8 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
26.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dallin HolkerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
27.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 4 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
26.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
28.4%
Rhett Almond punt for 33 yds, downed at the UMass 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
30.0%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+4
29.6%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-5
29.0%
Ross Comis sacked by Rhett Sandlin for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
27.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 51 yds, downed at the BYU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:2171% → 84%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
29.5%
Squally Canada run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
50
+40
27.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 40 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
25.9%
Matt Hadley run for 5 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
25.9%
Matt Hadley run for 3 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.8%
Matt Hadley run for 2 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
17.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
17.4%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 6 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
16.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for no gain to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+2
16.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 2 yds to the BYU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
15.8%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
15.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Brayden El-BakriSimilar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
16.0%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Brayden El-Bakri, broken up by Jarell AddoSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
17.4%
Rhett Almond punt for 39 yds, downed at the UMass 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
17.5%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
17.6%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Isaiah KaufusiSimilar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
16.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Kyle Horn, broken up by Troy WarnerSimilar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
16.2%
George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:0284% → 95%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
16.0%
Gunner Romney run for 14 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+22
15.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 22 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
15.1%
Matt Hadley run for 14 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
15.0%
Matt Hadley run for 9 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+2
15.0%
Aleva Hifo run for 2 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
14.8%
Zach Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 3Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.6%
Aleva Hifo run for 3 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
7.6%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
8.1%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
7.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 6 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
8.4%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
8.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for no gain, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 43 , Rhett Sandlin returns for no gain to the UMass 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:1396% → 99%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
4.2%
Zach Wilson run for 8 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+4
4.0%
Matt Hadley run for 4 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
4.1%
Matt Hadley run for 9 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+5
4.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 5 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
4.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 7 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
0.6%
Aleva Hifo run for 10 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-6
0.6%
Ross Comis sacked by Rhett Sandlin for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 11Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 16
OWN 11
+3
0.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+5
0.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Kyle Horn for 5 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q4 12:47
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
0.5%
Travis Reynolds punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
50
0
0.5%
Zach Wilson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 10
50
+7
0.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 7 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
0.5%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
0.5%
Rhett Almond punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:460% → 3%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
0.4%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
0.4%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+11
0.4%
Ross Comis pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 11 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
0.5%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+19
0.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Zak Simon for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
50
+9
0.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 9 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+7
0.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
0.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 6 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+23
0.6%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 23 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.9%
Ross Comis run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26Uncategorized
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:5699% → 99%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
1.5%
Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
1.5%
Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+8
1.2%
Dax Milne run for 8 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
1.2%
Riley Burt run for 9 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
1.1%
Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
1.2%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+20
1.2%
Riley Burt run for 20 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
1.1%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-3
1.2%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:03
Aleva Hifo run for 3 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q3 8:08
Matt Hadley run for 2 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)
-10.1
TD · Q2 1:50
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 15 yds for a TD (Skyler Southam KICK)
-6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com