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MASS

Massachusetts 22 at UConn 17

CONN
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:01 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior−12.9Home team on offense+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score differential−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:17: David Pindell run for 25 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +14.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:43: Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 38 yds for a TD CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Mike Caggiano PAT MISSED) — MASS win probability +13.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 12:27: Michael Tarbutt 41 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +14.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:12: Ross Comis pass complete to Zak Simon for 67 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MASS win probability +26.2 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 3:39: Marquis Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +40.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 8:01MASS 4th & 3 at CONN 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−1.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:59MASS 4th & 1 at CONN 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−1.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24CONN 4th & 1 at MASS 47, up 4
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:06MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 24, down 4
    Close callPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CONN 4th & 3 at MASS 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:47MASS 4th & 24 at MASS 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:44CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:49CONN 4th & 1 at MASS 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%−1.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−5.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 39, down 4
    Close callPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:43MASS 4th & 6 at CONN 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%−1.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:43CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 34, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−2.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:27CONN 4th & 3 at MASS 24, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.6%−1.7
    68% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−14.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:12CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 39, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−3.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:52MASS 4th & 1 at CONN 36, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−3.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:24CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:17CONN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:43MASS Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:12MASS Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    40.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:39MASS Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:3636% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
35.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 14 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
35.6%
Zavier Scott run for 9 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+39
35.6%
Zavier Scott run for 39 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
35.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UMass 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+15
35.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 15 yds to the UMass 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
35.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:2362% → 60%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
38.1%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+18
37.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 18 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
37.8%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
37.6%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+30
37.8%
Marquis Young run for 30 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.7%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UConn 3Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.6%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Kyle HornSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
39.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UConn 3Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
39.7%
Cooper Garcia 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
39.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
39.3%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+2
39.0%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
38.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
40.8%
Brennon Dingle run for no gain to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
41.0%
Marquis Young run for 8 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
40.4%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the UMass 48 Ross Comis fumbled, recovered by UMass Ross Comis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
40.3%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
40.4%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
40.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 6 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-1
40.7%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
43.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
43.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle BussSimilar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+7
42.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 7 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
42.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
43.2%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+2
43.3%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+8
43.7%
Ross Comis run for 8 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
43.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, downed at the UConn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
44.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+7
44.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
45.0%
David Pindell run for 12 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
45.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+5
45.3%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+4
45.2%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
45.8%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
45.7%
David Pindell run for 7 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
45.2%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+1
44.3%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UMass 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
47.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+23
46.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
50
-1
45.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
45.8%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Omar ForttSimilar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-3
46.5%
Ross Comis run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 36 Ross Comis fumbled, forced by Lwal Uguak, recovered by UMass Jake Largay MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 24
OWN 36
0
48.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 29 yds, downed at the UConn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
49.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
50.2%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-1
50.1%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
48.5%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 36 yds , Andy Isabella returns for no gain to the UMass 24 Andy Isabella fumbled, recovered by UConn Omar ForttSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
53.2%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+5
53.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+1
52.2%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UMass 15Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 1
OPP 15
0
51.1%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UMass 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:5249% → 49%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
51.5%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
51.3%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
51.2%
Ross Comis run for 5 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+24
50.4%
Marquis Young run for 24 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
48.5%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-5
48.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
49.0%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+18
54.9%
Ross Comis run for 18 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
50.5%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+42
50.7%
Cooper Garcia 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
51.0%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
51.1%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
50.3%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Avien Peah, broken up by Eddie HahnSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
52.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 26 yds, downed at the UConn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:3154% → 71%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
53.6%
David Pindell run for 22 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
56.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 10 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
57.0%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+2
57.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+25
71.4%
David Pindell run for 25 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3431% → 45%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
69.6%
COMIS, Ross pass complete to ISABELLA, Andy for 75 yards to the UCONN0, clock 11:02, PENALTY UMASS holding (LARGAY, Jake) 10 yards to the UMASS15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+15
69.9%
Marquis Young run for 15 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+28
69.6%
Ross Comis run for 13 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Travis Jones) to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
66.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
67.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Tahj Herring-WilsonSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+6
68.5%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+38
55.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 38 yds for a TD CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Mike Caggiano PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
60.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 4 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-10
61.4%
PINDELL, David rush for 4 yards to the UCONN40 (BARR, Bryton), PENALTY UCONN holding (DEGEORGE, Cam) 10 yards to the UCONN26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+5
59.2%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+3
58.2%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
57.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:0042% → 46%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
58.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+16
59.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Kyle Horn for 16 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
56.0%
Andy Isabella run for 1 yd to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
56.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+23
57.4%
Ross Comis pass complete to Kyle Horn for 23 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
52.6%
Ross Comis run for 6 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 4
OPP 28
-1
52.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+11
53.8%
Ross Comis pass intercepted Kevin Murphy return for 11 yds to the UConn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:5866% → 83%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
66.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
66.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+11
65.3%
David Pindell run for 11 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
67.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+7
68.9%
David Pindell run for 7 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
70.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+7
70.0%
David Pindell run for 7 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
-2
68.3%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
83.1%
Michael Tarbutt 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
57.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Zak Simon for 67 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0064% → 59%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
64.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
64.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-6
63.3%
David Pindell sacked by Bryton Barr for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
58.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 yds, downed at the UMass 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 6:4841% → 86%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
59.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 16 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
58.1%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
56.1%
Ross Comis run for 5 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
55.5%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
54.8%
Andy Isabella run for 12 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
54.0%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+7
53.4%
Ross Comis run for 7 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
52.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 13 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
54.4%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+12
54.4%
Marquis Young run for 12 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
14.4%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
26.7%
David Pindell pass intercepted Lee Moses return for no gain to the UConn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22END OF GAME
10 plays · 8 yds · 2:1586% → 95%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
14.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 6 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-1
14.7%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
11.2%
Ross Comis run for 4 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
7.7%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
6.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 11
OPP 35
-1
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 12
OPP 36
-1
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:39
Marquis Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)
-40
TD · Q4 12:12
Ross Comis pass complete to Zak Simon for 67 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-26.2
FG · Q4 12:27
Michael Tarbutt 41 yd FG GOOD
+14.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com