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CCU

Coastal Carolina 24 at Massachusetts 13

MASS
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:47 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:50: Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout MASSACHUSETTS, clock 06:50 (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +17.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:57: Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 22 yds for a TD (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +17.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:42: Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 61 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +22.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:02: Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 21 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +15.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:09: CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 28 — CCU win probability +9.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 9CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:59MASS 4th & 4 at CCU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:32CCU 4th & 8 at MASS 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41CCU 4th & 8 at MASS 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:41MASS 4th & 11 at CCU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55CCU 4th & 6 at MASS 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:31MASS 4th & 21 at CCU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−1.3
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:31CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:07MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:08MASS 4th & 6 at CCU 46, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%
    23% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:50CCU 4th & 1 at MASS 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    34.1%−3.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−14.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:42MASS 4th & 23 at MASS 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−6.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:54MASS 4th & 4 at CCU 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−6.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:49CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 36, up 11
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:39MASS 4th & 10 at CCU 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:43CCU 4th & 12 at MASS 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:48MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 39, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 6:50CCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:57MASS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:42CCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:02CCU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:0164% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
63.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 18 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
63.7%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+25
63.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 25 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
63.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Jave BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
63.7%
Jordan Fredericks run for 6 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+21
63.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 21 yds to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
63.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Samuel Emilus) to the CCaro 12Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
63.7%
Andrew Ford run for no gain to the CCaro 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
63.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 8 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Fitz WattleySimilar
Q1 10:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
64.0%
Cooper Garcia 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:2736% → 37%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.8%
Kilton Anderson run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+20
63.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 20 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
63.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 7 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+29
63.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 29 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
63.3%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+1
63.3%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the UMass 11Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
63.4%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
62.7%
Massimo Biscardi 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5138% → 37%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
62.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete, broken up by Mario PattonSimilar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
62.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+1
62.3%
Kilton Anderson run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
62.6%
Massimo Biscardi 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+30
63.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 30 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
64.0%
Ross Comis sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 43Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+8
63.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Bilal Ally for 8 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-5
63.8%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 40Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
62.8%
Travis Reynolds punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:2837% → 39%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
62.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the CCaro 11Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+17
62.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 17 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
62.4%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+51
62.6%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 51 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
61.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
61.1%
Kilton Anderson run for 4 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
61.4%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Marcus OutlowSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
61.2%
Massimo Biscardi 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:2463% → 63%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
62.7%
Jordan Fredericks run for 23 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
63.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 12 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
64.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 20 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
64.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 14 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
64.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Derek Dumais) to the CCaro 16Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+8
64.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 8 yds to the CCaro 8Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-2
64.7%
Andrew Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 10Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-12
64.1%
Andrew Ford sacked by Fitz Wattley for a loss of 12 yards to the CCaro 22Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 21
OPP 22
+39
62.8%
Cooper Garcia 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.1%
Alex James run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
63.6%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
64.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
65.3%
Charles Ouverson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
64.0%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-2
63.7%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 12
OWN 25
0
62.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
62.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 53 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for no gain to the CCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 57 yds · 0:0036% → 39%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
64.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 13 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
63.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 7 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+8
62.5%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
50
+12
62.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 12 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
62.1%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+6
61.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
61.1%
Malcolm Williams run for 1 yd to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+4
61.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the UMass 21 Bryce Carpenter fumbled, forced by Leon Flanagan Jr., recovered by UMass Bryton BarrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:0565% → 67%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
64.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 18 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
65.8%
Andrew Ford sacked by Chandler Kryst for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
64.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Derrick BushSimilar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+38
62.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 38 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
67.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 20 yds Andy Isabella fumbled, forced by Jave Brown, recovered by CCaro Derrick Bush , return for no gain to the CCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12INT
8 plays · 64 yds · 0:5536% → 41%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
64.0%
CJ Marable run for 12 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
63.6%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+30
63.9%
CJ Marable run for 30 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
61.3%
Anderson, Kilton pass complete to Williams, Malcolm for 49 yards to the UMASS0, clock 01:10, PENALTY CCU holding (Hoffman, Brock) 10 yards to the CCU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+15
63.5%
Fred Payton run for 15 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+17
60.5%
Fred Payton run for 17 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+33
59.2%
Fred Payton pass intercepted Chinedu Ogbonna return for 33 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:2367% → 68%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
50
+4
67.1%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
67.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
66.6%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+8
65.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
68.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Fitz WattleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 8:1036% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 7 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
62.7%
Fred Payton run for 4 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
63.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
62.3%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+15
63.5%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 15 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
61.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 11 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
60.3%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+7
59.9%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
59.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 8 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 16
0
59.9%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+9
61.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 9 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
59.9%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
59.9%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 4Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
61.1%
Fred Payton pass complete to Shadell Bell for 3 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout MASSACHUSETTS, clock 06:50 (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:5348% → 70%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
48.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 12 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
49.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 23 yds to the UMASS 39 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Samuel Emilus) to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
52.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 11 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
53.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 16 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
70.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 22 yds for a TD (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1537% → 62%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.4%
Fred Payton run for 8 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
60.9%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
60.7%
Fred Payton run for no gain to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+61
38.1%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 61 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:0044% → 40%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
43.5%
Andrew Ford sacked by Sterling Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-10
42.8%
FORD, Andrew pass complete to ISABELLA, Andy for 14 yards to the UMASS34, out-of-bounds (Bush, Derick), PENALTY UMASS holding 10 yards to the UMASS10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+2
42.8%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
41.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Chandler KrystSimilar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
40.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:5063% → 84%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
37.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
35.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jeremiah MillerSimilar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+12
37.0%
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
33.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
33.7%
Alex James run for 4 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+17
33.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 17 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
31.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+21
16.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 21 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19DOWNS
14 plays · 63 yds · 0:0018% → 21%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
18.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 10 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
18.4%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
18.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Kyle Horn for 11 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
19.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jordan Fredericks, broken up by Tarron JacksonSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+21
18.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 21 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
22.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 7 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
22.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Anthony ChesleySimilar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+15
22.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 15 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
24.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-10
23.5%
FORD, Andrew pass complete to ISABELLA, Andy for 13 yards to the CCU10, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UMASS holding (FREDERICKS, Jordan) 10 yards to the CCU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 20
OPP 33
+16
22.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 16 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
22.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 4
OPP 17
-10
21.0%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jave Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the CCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:2088% → 93%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
12.0%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 28Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-2
12.3%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 26Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+10
11.2%
Fred Payton pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 10 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+6
6.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 39 , Andy Isabella returns for 6 yds to the UMass 42 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the UMass 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
11.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
12.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+5
12.0%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
12.4%
Ross Comis run for 6 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
13.3%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-6
12.6%
Ross Comis sacked by Jeffrey Gunter for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
10.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0995% → 95%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
5.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Derek Dumais) to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
5.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
5.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-1
4.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 7
OPP 35
-5
5.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
5.1%
Charles Ouverson punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
3.9%
Ross Comis run for 26 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
4.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Anthony ChesleySimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-8
4.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+6
3.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Bilal Ally for 6 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 12
OWN 44
-5
3.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Andy Isabella) to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 17
OWN 39
+11
3.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Bilal Ally for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24Uncategorized
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
50
+5
2.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-5
2.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 10
50
-5
2.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:42
Fred Payton pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 61 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-22.6
TD · Q3 6:50
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout MASSACHUSETTS, clock 06:50 (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-17.6
TD · Q3 4:57
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 22 yds for a TD (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com