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USF

South Florida 58 at Massachusetts 42

MASS
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:10 · Travis Reynolds punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Johnny Ford at the SFla 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior−26.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:37: Andrew Ford pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 13 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +7.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:31: Johnny Ford run for 19 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +16.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:09: Jordan Cronkrite run for 77 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +9.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:47: Jordan Cronkrite run for 30 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +8.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:57: Jordan Cronkrite run for 76 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 9USF made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:56MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:10USF 4th & 10 at MASS 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:10MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:37USF 4th & 7 at USF 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:58MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:37USF 4th & 22 at USF 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−1.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:41USF 4th & 3 at MASS 48, down 4
    Close callPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:42MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:43USF 4th & 8 at MASS 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−5.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:31MASS 4th & 6 at USF 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−2.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:47USF 4th & 1 at MASS 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−2.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:00USF 4th & 3 at MASS 21, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:12MASS 4th & 7 at USF 7, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:52USF 4th & 1 at USF 31, up 16
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:55MASS 4th & 1 at USF 42, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:55MASS 4th & 10 at USF 25, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:20USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:15MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:37MASS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:31USF Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:09USF Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:47USF Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:17MASS Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:57USF Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:09MASS Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:12MASS Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:55USF Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:15MASS Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:4079% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
21.3%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 3 yds to the SFla 38 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 17
OWN 28
+72
21.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 72 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:0522% → 23%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
21.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
21.5%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
21.5%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+9
21.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 9 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
21.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 23 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
23.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 31 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
22.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 6 yds Randall St. Felix fumbled, forced by Brice McAllister, recovered by UMass Brice McAllisterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
22.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
22.9%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-7
22.8%
Ross Comis sacked by Kirk Livingstone for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+17
22.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 47 , Tyre McCants returns for 17 yds to the SFla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 3:1077% → 76%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
23.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 15 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
23.2%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 6 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+20
23.1%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 20 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-17
23.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the UMass 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SFla Blake BarnettSimilar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 27
OPP 29
0
23.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 27
OPP 29
+17
23.5%
Blake Barnett run for 17 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
24.5%
Coby Weiss 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
25.1%
Andy Isabella run for 4 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
25.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 5 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-2
25.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
24.8%
Travis Reynolds punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Johnny Ford at the SFla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
25.4%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
25.5%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+1
25.7%
Blake Barnett run for 1 yd to the SFla 16Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
26.0%
Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds , Andy Isabella returns for no gain to the UMass 16 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
25.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
25.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Zak Simon for 10 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
26.5%
Andrew Ford sacked by Juwuan Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 17
OWN 33
0
25.7%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+8
25.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Kyle Horn for 8 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
25.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:5373% → 74%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
26.9%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 8 yds to the SFla 38 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 12
OWN 28
-4
27.0%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 6 yds to the SFla 34 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SFla 24Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 16
OWN 24
0
27.1%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Ryeshene Bronson, broken up by Jarell AddoSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+5
27.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+12
27.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 12 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
26.2%
BARNETT, Blake pass incomplete to CLERVEAUX, Stanley (RODGERS, Isaiah), PENALTY UMASS pass interference (RODGERS, Isaiah) 15 yards to the UMASS44, 1ST DOWN USF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
26.0%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+53
26.0%
Blake Barnett pass intercepted Bryton Barr return for 53 yds to the SFla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
33.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 13 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
Q2 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OWN 30
+15
31.6%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
31.7%
Johnny Ford run for 31 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
30.2%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 48Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 14
OPP 48
0
31.0%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Mitchell WilcoxSimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 14
OPP 48
-8
31.5%
Blake Barnett sacked by Bryton Barr for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 22
OWN 44
+19
32.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 39 yds , Andy Isabella returns for 19 yds to the UMass 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
33.6%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+15
34.2%
FORD, Andrew pass intercepted by HAMPTON, Mike at the USF28, HAMPTON, Mike return to the USF28, PENALTY USF pass interference (HAMPTON, Mike) 15 yards to the USF44, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
34.7%
FORD, Andrew pass incomplete to DINGLE, Brennon (WILKINS, Mazzi), PENALTY USF offside defense (THOMAS, Jaymon) 5 yards to the USF39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+4
34.7%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+6
35.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 6 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
35.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 7 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-13
35.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the SFla 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SFla Juwuan BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0066% → 67%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
33.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
34.1%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 9 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
32.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
32.8%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 42Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 13
OWN 42
0
33.8%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+10
34.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 10 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
33.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:2837% → 38%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
37.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
38.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jordan FredericksSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+8
37.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 8 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
38.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
50
-10
39.4%
FORD, Andrew pass complete to ISABELLA, Andy for 5 yards to the USF45 (DAVIS, Vincent), PENALTY UMASS holding (THOMAS-ISHMAN, Ray) 10 yards to the UMASS40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
37.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for no gain to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 20
OWN 40
0
37.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+2
38.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 18
OWN 42
0
37.8%
Travis Reynolds punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Johnny Ford at the SFla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15FG
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:1761% → 63%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
38.6%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+66
38.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 66 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
34.3%
Johnny Ford run for 11 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
34.3%
Blake Barnett run for no gain to the UMass 1 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
34.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-7
35.3%
Blake Barnett sacked by Jake Byczko for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
36.7%
Coby Weiss 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
21.8%
Johnny Ford run for 19 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:0026% → 27%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
26.0%
Marquis Young run for 13 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
27.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 14 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
28.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
28.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Kyle Horn for 4 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
30.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Kyle Horn, broken up by Nico SawtelleSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
28.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+2
27.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Kyle Horn for 2 yds to the SFla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
24.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
28.0%
FORD, Andrew pass incomplete to DINGLE, Brennon, PENALTY USF pass interference (WILKINS, Mazzi) 15 yards to the UMASS39, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-12
28.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the UMass 42 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 22
OWN 27
+2
27.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 2 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+7
27.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 7 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
27.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
26.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Johnny Ford at the SFla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:5274% → 83%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
25.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 23Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+77
16.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 77 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
19.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-3
19.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 31 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+11
18.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
19.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
19.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
18.9%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Mike Hampton return for no gain to the SFla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:0684% → 94%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
15.9%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+23
14.9%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 23 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
14.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 5 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
14.3%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
14.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+30
5.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 30 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:204% → 9%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+34
3.6%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 34 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
4.2%
Ross Comis run for 6 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
4.1%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
4.0%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, offside defense (Kevin Kegler) to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
4.2%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+8
4.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
4.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
8.6%
Ross Comis run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
2.0%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 76 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:483% → 5%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
3.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 13
OWN 25
-5
3.1%
Ross Comis sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+27
3.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 27 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
5.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 53 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 28FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 8:0997% → 99%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
3.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
3.4%
Blake Barnett run for no gain to the SFla 22Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+6
3.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jernard Phillips for 6 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
3.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
3.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+8
3.4%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 8 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
2.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
2.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+14
2.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 14 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
2.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+8
2.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jernard Phillips for 8 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
2.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+2
2.5%
Blake Barnett run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+6
2.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jernard Phillips for 6 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
1.5%
Coby Weiss 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 29TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:482% → 6%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
1.9%
Ross Comis run for 7 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+9
2.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
2.1%
Ross Comis sacked by Kevin Bronson and Vincent Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+9
2.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Zak Simon for 9 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+4
2.2%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
2.2%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
2.2%
COMIS, Ross pass incomplete, PENALTY USF offside defense 5 yards to the USF30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+20
2.3%
Ross Comis run for 20 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
2.4%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the SFla 7Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
2.4%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
2.4%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 6:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
6.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 7 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:2096% → 96%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
4.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
4.0%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
3.9%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
3.8%
Trent Schneider punt for 59 yds, downed at the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 31FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
2.9%
Ross Comis sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 8 Ross Comis fumbled, recovered by SFla Juwuan Brown , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 32TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.7%
Johnny Ford run for 8 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 33TD
19 plays · 78 yds · 4:401% → 3%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
0.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
0.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
0.8%
COMIS, Ross pass incomplete to PALMER, Sadiq, PENALTY USF offside defense (BLACK, Josh) 5 yards to the UMASS35, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.8%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
0.8%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jordan FredericksSimilar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+14
0.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Zak Simon for 14 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
0.7%
COMIS, Ross pass complete to FREDERICKS, Jordan for 7 yards to the USF44 (GRIER, Tony;BARBER, Tyrone), PENALTY USF offside defense off-setting, PENALTY UMASS holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
0.8%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
0.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+6
0.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 6 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
0.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
0.8%
Ross Comis run for 15 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
1.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
0.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Bilal AllySimilar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
0.9%
Michael Curtis run for no gain to the SFla 25Similar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+19
0.8%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 19 yds to the SFla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
1.0%
CURTIS, Michael rush for 4 yards to the USF2 (MIMS, Andrew;PRICE, Marquies), PENALTY UMASS illegal formation 5 yards to the USF11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
2.7%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Bilal Ally for 11 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 34END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:31
Johnny Ford run for 19 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)
-16.5
TD · Q3 12:09
Jordan Cronkrite run for 77 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)
-9.1
TD · Q3 7:47
Jordan Cronkrite run for 30 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com