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MASS

Massachusetts 24 at Florida International 63

FIU
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:27 · Stone Wilson punt for 47 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense+2.8Score differential+0.6Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Pregame prior+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:48: Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +5.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:43: Shawndarrius Phillips run for 22 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +8.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:36: James Morgan pass complete to N/A for 8 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +9.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:34: James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 38 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +9.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:09: D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +6.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:05MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:27FIU 4th & 10 at MASS 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:28MASS 4th & 11 at FIU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:36MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:10MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:27FIU 4th & 2 at MASS 26, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:27FIU 4th & 1 at MASS 10, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:27FIU 4th & 3 at MASS 3, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:05FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:48FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:27MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:43FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:36FIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:34FIU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:09FIU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:50MASS Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:03FIU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:13MASS Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 12:56FIU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
54.4%
Andy Isabella run for 2 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+7
54.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
54.4%
Andrew Ford run for 1 yd to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
54.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Olin Cushion IIISimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
54.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
54.4%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+18
54.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 47 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 18 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:3755% → 57%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
54.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 15 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
54.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
54.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 13 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
55.0%
James Morgan run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+16
55.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 16 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
55.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 8 yds to the UMass 4Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
57.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
56.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal participation (-5 Yards) to the UMass 5Similar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+3
56.6%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+5
56.7%
Ross Comis run for 5 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+15
56.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 15 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
56.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
56.3%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
56.3%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Travis Reynolds, broken up by Sage LewisSimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
56.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 9
OWN 40
+17
56.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 39 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 17 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:2459% → 65%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
58.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice Alexander, broken up by Tyler HayesSimilar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
58.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 4 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+35
58.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 35 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
58.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 10 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
58.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 10 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
58.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the UMass 3Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2137% → 42%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
62.8%
Andrew Ford sacked by Teair Tart for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 20 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
62.7%
Andy Isabella run for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+22
62.4%
Ross Comis pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 22 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
62.0%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
62.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+9
62.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
61.4%
COMIS, Ross pass incomplete to ISABELLA, Andy, PENALTY FIU pass interference (BROWN, Isaiah) 15 yards to the FIU10, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
61.4%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
57.9%
Ross Comis run for 10 yds for a TD (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
60.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 17 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
61.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
61.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Bryton BarrSimilar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
60.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
59.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
60.6%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
60.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 3 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+2
61.2%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+18
61.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 18 yds to the UMass 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:4863% → 71%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
63.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 8 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+4
63.1%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to D'Vonte Price, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
63.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 13 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
71.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 22 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:1532% → 30%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
68.4%
Jordan Fredericks run for 13 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+27
68.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 27 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
67.3%
Marquis Young run for 22 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
66.3%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 4
OPP 12
0
69.6%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Emmanuel LubinSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 4
OPP 12
-7
70.8%
Ross Comis sacked by Jermaine Sheriff and Noah Curtis for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+36
70.0%
Cooper Garcia 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:5270% → 82%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
70.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 4 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+13
70.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 13 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
71.0%
Maurice Alexander run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
71.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 18 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
71.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 6 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+13
71.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 13 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
71.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 6 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
81.6%
James Morgan pass complete to N/A for 8 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.4%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.7%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Marquis Young, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+14
80.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 39 , Maurice Alexander returns for 14 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 1:1682% → 92%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
82.2%
James Morgan pass complete to N/A for 16 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
82.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 7 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+38
91.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 38 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:2092% → 97%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
92.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 8 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+3
90.5%
James Morgan run for 3 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
92.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+23
92.2%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 23 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, roughing passer (Chinedu Ogbonna) to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
89.4%
D'Vonte Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 3Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.3%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:582% → 2%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
98.0%
Marquis Young run for 15 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
98.0%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+20
98.0%
Marquis Young run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
50
0
98.0%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
50
+5
98.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+18
97.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.1%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
97.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+15
97.0%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to ALEXANDER, M., PENALTY UMASS pass interference (NORWOOD, J.) 15 yards to the FIU40, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
97.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
97.2%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the FlaIn 42 D'Vonte Price fumbled, forced by Jake Byczko, recovered by UMass Chinedu OgbonnaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:203% → 6%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
97.2%
Andy Isabella run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.9%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
96.9%
Marquis Young run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
96.8%
Michael Curtis run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+6
94.1%
Michael Curtis run for 6 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
96.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
96.3%
James Morgan pass intercepted Lee Moses return for no gain to the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:515% → 2%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+19
95.3%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Jessie Britt for 19 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.1%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
95.2%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Jessie Britt for 6 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-9
95.1%
Michael Curtis sacked by Teair Tart for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 13
OWN 27
+69
98.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 42 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 69 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20INT TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:072% → 1%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
98.4%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+9
98.5%
Michael Curtis run for 9 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
98.4%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Jessie BrittSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+23
98.4%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 23 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+59
99.3%
Michael Curtis pass intercepted for a TD Rocky Jacques-Louis return for 59 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:501% → 3%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 7 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+13
99.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.3%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 12 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
99.3%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Jessie Britt for 22 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
97.0%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 16 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:1799% → 100%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 2 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
99.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Darrius Scott for 15 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 7 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+1
99.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
99.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.4%
Maurice Alexander run for 5 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
99.7%
Trent McGhee run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+8
99.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 8 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
99.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 17 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23INT
6 plays · 58 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.8%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+16
99.8%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 16 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+44
99.8%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Marquis Young for 44 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Michael Curtis pass intercepted, touchback. Jamal Gates return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24DOWNS
16 plays · 71 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+31
99.8%
Christian Alexander run for 31 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+10
99.8%
Christian Alexander run for 10 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.8%
Christian Alexander run for 3 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
99.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+7
99.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+2
99.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
99.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-6
99.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+12
99.8%
Christian Alexander run for 12 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 3Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
100.0%
Nick Orekoya run for 2 yds to the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:36
James Morgan pass complete to N/A for 8 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q2 2:34
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 38 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+9.6
TD · Q2 11:43
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 22 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com