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MASS

Massachusetts 13 at Georgia Southern 34

GASO
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:12 · Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Pregame prior+3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 7:18: Tyler Bass 41 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +3.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:18: Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +12.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:35: Shai Werts run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +8.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:01: Tyler Bass 50 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +4.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:23: Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 17 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +10.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:12MASS 4th & 7 at GASO 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12GASO 4th & 1 at MASS 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−0.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    55.5%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:12GASO 4th & 2 at MASS 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.7%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:19MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:15MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:18GASO 4th & 10 at MASS 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:01GASO 4th & 3 at MASS 33, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%−1.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:29MASS 4th & 6 at GASO 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−8.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:17MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.4%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 13 at GASO 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:44GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 28, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:56MASS 4th & 18 at GASO 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:08MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:15GASO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:18MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:35GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:23GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:08GASO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:4846% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
53.6%
Marquis Young run for 10 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
53.6%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+19
53.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 19 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
53.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
53.6%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
53.6%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+11
53.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
53.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for no gain to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
53.6%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
53.6%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
53.7%
Mike Caggiano 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 59 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
53.8%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+9
54.1%
Monteo Garrett run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
54.2%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
54.3%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
54.2%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the UMass 45Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+4
53.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+23
54.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 23 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
54.5%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
54.5%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+2
54.2%
Monteo Garrett run for 2 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+1
53.9%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the UMass 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+26
53.6%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 26 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.2%
Ross Comis run for no gain to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
53.3%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
53.8%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Sean FreemanSimilar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+9
54.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 60 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 4:5053% → 59%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
52.9%
Shai Werts run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
53.1%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+8
53.1%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+43
53.9%
Wesley Fields run for 43 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
55.0%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+6
55.3%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the UMass 9 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, face mask (5 yards) (Tyler Hayes) to the UMass 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
55.3%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the UMass 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
55.3%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Cam Brown for 5 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.8%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
57.0%
FORD, Andrew pass complete to ISABELLA, Andy for no gain to the UMASS35, PENALTY UMASS holding (THOMAS-ISHMAN) 10 yards to the UMASS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+4
57.5%
Andrew Ford run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 16
OWN 29
-5
58.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Andy Isabella) to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 21
OWN 24
+8
58.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 8 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
58.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:2258% → 64%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+39
57.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 39 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
60.1%
Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
60.1%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
59.3%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
60.1%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
61.7%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
60.9%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
64.4%
Tyler Bass 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0036% → 53%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
63.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 7 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
62.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 8 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
62.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 9 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-2
60.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+6
61.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 6 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
61.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 10 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
61.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
59.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 2
OPP 17
0
59.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for no gain to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+12
60.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 12 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
59.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 4 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:3656% → 71%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.7%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
55.7%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
54.7%
Shai Werts run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
58.4%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Cam BrownSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
57.5%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+25
55.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 25 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+28
60.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 28 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
71.0%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
69.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:5168% → 75%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
68.3%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
68.5%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+4
70.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
70.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 9 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
70.5%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
70.5%
Monteo Garrett run for 2 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
70.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 4 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+1
69.9%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+50
74.8%
Tyler Bass 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 2:3226% → 32%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
74.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Larnel Coleman) to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+13
75.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 13 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+16
74.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 16 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
72.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Avien Peah for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+17
71.3%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Rashad Byrd) to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
70.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Taylor EdwardsSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
70.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 4 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
71.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jessie BrittSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
67.9%
Mike Caggiano 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:0074% → 87%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+40
73.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 40 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
76.8%
Monteo Garrett run for no gain to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
76.7%
Shai Werts run for 12 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
76.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Aaron Dowdell) to the UMass 23Similar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+6
76.8%
Monteo Garrett run for 6 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
87.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 17 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13Uncategorized
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
84.3%
Marquis Young run for 9 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+9
82.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.9%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
82.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+7
83.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
82.9%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
91.8%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+27
91.6%
Wesley Fields run for 27 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
91.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UMass Bryton BarrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:4613% → 12%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
87.1%
Marquis Young run for 11 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
85.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 12 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
85.3%
Marquis Young run for 19 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
86.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Kindle VildorSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
86.2%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-5
86.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Andy Isabella) to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
87.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for no gain to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
88.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 30 yds, downed at the GeoSo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0192% → 96%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
92.3%
Monteo Garrett run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
92.7%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
92.6%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+3
96.0%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
95.7%
Magill Bauerle punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
90.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 11 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
89.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 15 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
89.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-15
88.0%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 35 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Ray Thomas-Ishman Sr.) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 20
50
+2
90.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
91.2%
George Georgopoulos punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:2397% → 100%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
97.1%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+14
97.3%
Wesley Fields run for 14 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
97.4%
Wesley Fields run for 10 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
97.4%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
97.3%
Matt LaRoche run for 4 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+2
97.2%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
97.4%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
97.4%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
97.4%
Monteo Garrett run for 10 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Monteo Garrett run for 5 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19INT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Andy Isabella) to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.5%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Benz Josue return for no gain to the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · -21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
99.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 14
OWN 43
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:18
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)
-12
TD · Q3 4:23
Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 17 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q2 0:35
Shai Werts run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com