Try the model
DUQ

Duquesne 15 at Massachusetts 63

MASS
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 25, 2018 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadDUQ aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreDUQ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:34 · Mitch MacZura punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+39.9Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.6Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:20: Bilal Ally run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +1.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:50: Mitch MacZura 32 yd FG GOOD — DUQ win probability +0.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: DUQ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:30: Andy Isabella run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:12: Marquis Young run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:22: Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 44 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 4DUQ made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:40DUQ 4th & 7 at DUQ 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:34DUQ 4th & 8 at MASS 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:20DUQ 4th & 11 at DUQ 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:46MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 42, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:50DUQ 4th & 3 at MASS 14, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:30DUQ 4th & 3 at DUQ 30, down 25
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:50DUQ 4th & 11 at DUQ 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:03MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 25, up 25
    Close callPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:56DUQ 4th & 1 at MASS 38, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:09DUQ 4th & 1 at DUQ 42, down 40
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:27MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 15, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:42DUQ 4th & 1 at DUQ 34, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:54MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 39, up 48
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:06DUQ 4th & 6 at DUQ 34, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 9 of 9DUQ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:57MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:35MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:20MASS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:30MASS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:12MASS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:22MASS Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:09MASS Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:33MASS Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:27DUQ Touchdown, down 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:42MASS Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DUQDrive 1INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
92.4%
A.J. Hines run for 1 yd to the Duqsn 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
92.4%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kellon TaylorSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
92.4%
Daniel Parr pass intercepted Bakhari Goodson return for no gain to the Duqsn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
92.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 32 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:178% → 8%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
P.J. Fulmore run for no gain to the Duqsn 25Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.2%
Daniel Parr run for 3 yds to the Duqsn 28Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
92.1%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
92.1%
Mitch MacZura punt for 49 yds, downed at the UMass 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:4592% → 92%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
92.0%
Marquis Young run for 17 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
92.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 60 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:018% → 7%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+34
92.1%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for 34 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
92.1%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kareem Coles Jr. for 3 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-1
92.1%
A.J. Hines run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
92.7%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nehari CrawfordSimilar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
92.7%
Mitch MacZura punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 3:0193% → 94%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
92.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
92.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+5
92.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Kyle Horn for 5 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Avien Peah for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
92.6%
Marquis Young run for 11 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
92.7%
FORD, Andrew pass complete to ISABELLA, Andy for 27 yards to the DUQ34, out-of-bounds (CLAYTOR JR., Greg;DEMEDAL, Spencer), PENALTY UMASS illegal shift (ISABELLA, Andy) 5 yards to the UMASS34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 15
OWN 34
-1
92.6%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+66
92.6%
Bilal Ally run for 66 yds to the Duqsn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.1%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.7%
Daniel Parr pass complete to P.J. Fulmore for 4 yds to the Duqsn 29Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
93.6%
DUQUESNE Penalty, delay of game (Daniel Parr) to the Duqsn 24Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
93.7%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nehari CrawfordSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
93.7%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nehari CrawfordSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+42
93.7%
Mitch MacZura punt for 42 yds , Andy Isabella returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
94.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Kyle HornSimilar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
94.1%
Marquis Young run for 8 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
94.2%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
94.1%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 9FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:586% → 7%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
93.9%
PARR, Daniel pass incomplete to CRAWFORD, Nehari, PENALTY UMASS holding (GOODSON, Bakhari) 10 yards to the UMASS32, 1ST DOWN DUQ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
93.8%
A.J. Hines run for 2 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+9
93.8%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kellon Taylor for 9 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
93.8%
Daniel Parr run for 1 yd to the UMass 20Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+6
93.8%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for 6 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
93.9%
Daniel Parr run for no gain to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
93.1%
Mitch MacZura 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2094% → 95%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
93.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 22 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
93.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds to the Duqsn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
93.8%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+23
93.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Kyle Horn for 23 yds to the Duqsn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
94.9%
Andy Isabella run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.0%
P.J. Fulmore run for no gain to the Duqsn 23Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
94.0%
Daniel Parr pass complete to P.J. Fulmore for 2 yds to the Duqsn 25Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+5
94.1%
Daniel Parr pass complete to P.J. Fulmore for 5 yds to the Duqsn 30Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
94.0%
Mitch MacZura punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Andy Isabella at the UMass 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 48 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
95.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Kyle Horn for 4 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
95.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
95.2%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 47Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
95.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Kyle HornSimilar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+28
94.9%
Ross Comis run for 27 yds to the Duqsn 44 Ross Comis fumbled, forced by Daquan Worley, recovered by Duqsn Brandon Stanback , return for 28 yds to the Duqsn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
91.4%
P.J. Fulmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-8
91.5%
Nehari Crawford run for a loss of 8 yards to the Duqsn 35 Nehari Crawford fumbled, forced by Brice McAllister,Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+8
92.8%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kareem Coles Jr. for 8 yds to the Duqsn 43Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
92.1%
Mitch MacZura punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
95.0%
Brennon Dingle run for 2 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
95.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+7
94.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 7 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
94.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 34 yds, downed at the Duqsn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.4%
Daniel Parr pass intercepted Brice McAllister return for no gain to the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16TD
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:1996% → 99%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
96.2%
Marquis Young run for 15 yds to the Duqsn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
96.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Avien Peah for 7 yds to the Duqsn 40Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
96.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Kyle Horn, broken up by Mike O'MalleySimilar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+8
96.1%
Andrew Ford run for 8 yds to the Duqsn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Reid Harrison-DucrosSimilar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
96.3%
Marquis Young run for 8 yds to the Duqsn 24Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+6
97.3%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the Duqsn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
97.5%
Andrew Ford run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 16Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+13
97.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 13 yds to the Duqsn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.2%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the Duqsn 2Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 17TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:071% → 1%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
99.3%
A.J. Hines run for 19 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.3%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for 3 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
99.2%
A.J. Hines run for no gain to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+6
99.3%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kareem Coles Jr. for 6 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+11
99.2%
A.J. Hines run for 11 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
99.3%
A.J. Hines run for 21 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.2%
A.J. Hines run for 1 yd to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.2%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nehari Crawford, broken up by Bryton BarrSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.6%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Parr intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:3898% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.4%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 7 yds to the Duqsn 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
98.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Kyle Horn for 4 yds to the Duqsn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
98.4%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-5
98.4%
Andrew Ford sacked by Mike O'Malley for a loss of 5 yards to the Duqsn 44Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+44
99.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 44 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 20INT TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:131% → 0%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
99.4%
P.J. Fulmore run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duqsn 31Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+11
99.4%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Nehari Crawford for 11 yds to the Duqsn 42Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
99.3%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kareem Coles Jr. for 6 yds to the Duqsn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.4%
A.J. Hines run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+60
99.6%
Daniel Parr pass intercepted for a TD Brice McAllister return for 60 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.6%
P.J. Fulmore run for 5 yds to the Duqsn 27Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
99.5%
P.J. Fulmore run for no gain to the Duqsn 27Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+6
99.5%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kellon Taylor for 6 yds to the Duqsn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kellon Taylor, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.6%
Daniel Parr run for 9 yds to the Duqsn 42Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+3
99.5%
Mitch MacZura punt for 42 yds , Sadiq Palmer returns for 3 yds to the UMass 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
99.7%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+6
99.7%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 5 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+18
99.7%
Bilal Ally run for 18 yds to the Duqsn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.7%
Bilal Ally run for 12 yds to the Duqsn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
99.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Kyle Horn for 13 yds to the Duqsn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.7%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Duqsn 18Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
99.8%
Ross Comis run for 18 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 23TD
19 plays · 71 yds · 8:060% → 0%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.8%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Duqsn 32Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Daniel Parr run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duqsn 30 Daniel Parr fumbled, recovered by Duqsn Ky'ren Cunningham , return for no gain to the Duqsn 30Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+9
99.8%
Daniel Parr run for 9 yds to the Duqsn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Duqsn 40Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+6
99.8%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Duqsn 46Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+10
99.8%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kellon Taylor for 10 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kellon Taylor, broken up by Justin LewisSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+22
99.9%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for 22 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
99.9%
DUQUESNE Penalty, false start (Matt Fitzpatrick) to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+10
99.9%
Daniel Parr run for 10 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
KJ Cartwright run for 2 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Aidan Cain for 5 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for 2 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.8%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for no gain to the UMass 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 0
OPP 8
+6
99.8%
PARR, Daniel pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Kellon (LEWIS, Justin), PENALTY UMASS pass interference (LEWIS, Justin) 6 yards to the UMASS2, 1ST DOWN DUQ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kellon TaylorSimilar
Q4 10:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Daniel Parr run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitch MacZura PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
Nick Orekoya run for 3 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 16
-1
99.9%
Nick Orekoya run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jacoby HerringSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 50 yds , Jonathant Istache returns for no gain to the Duqsn 32 Jonathant Istache fumbled, recovered by UMass Joseph NorwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
Bilal Ally run for 8 yds to the Duqsn 24Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+12
99.9%
DUQUESNE Penalty, personal foul (Jonathant Istache) to the Duqsn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
99.9%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duqsn 14Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 12
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jacoby Herring, broken up by Leandro DebritoSimilar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+14
100.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Zak Simon for 14 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
100.0%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duqsn 21Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+12
100.0%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for 12 yds to the Duqsn 33Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
KJ Cartwright run for 1 yd to the Duqsn 34Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Mitch MacZura punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sadiq Palmer at the UMass 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
100.0%
Nick Orekoya run for 9 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-9
100.0%
Santiago, Victor rush for 10 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY UMASS holding (DINICOLA, Dan) 9 yards to the UMASS31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Victor Santiago run for 2 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+6
100.0%
Michael Curtis run for 6 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
100.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 31 yds, downed at the Duqsn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for no gain to the Duqsn 30Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Ky'ren Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Duqsn 34Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Brett Brumbaugh pass incomplete to Aidan Cain, broken up by Martin MangramSimilar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Mitch MacZura punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Sadiq Palmer at the UMass 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
100.0%
Nick Orekoya run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-2
100.0%
Victor Santiago run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 14
OWN 30
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:12
Marquis Young run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q1 6:20
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 14:30
Andy Isabella run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com