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BYU

BYU 24 at Wisconsin 21

WIS
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:15 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:17: Alec Ingold run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +7.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:54: Squally Canada run for 2 yds for a TD, (Skyler Southam KICK) — BYU win probability +14.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:43: Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +24.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:58: Skyler Southam 45 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +12.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:35: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 22 — BYU win probability +17.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:51WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:00WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:19WIS 4th & 6 at BYU 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    79.6%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:55BYU 4th & 6 at WIS 35, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:15WIS 4th & 1 at BYU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−2.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:28BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:35WIS 4th & 1 at BYU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%−6.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:41WIS 4th & 6 at BYU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    55.5%−1.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:14BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−2.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:58BYU 4th & 9 at WIS 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−15.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:49WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−3.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:55BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−2.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:36WIS 4th & 8 at BYU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−15.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−27.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:12WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:02BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:17BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:17WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:54BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:43WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5994% → 94%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
93.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
93.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
93.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 63 yds, downed at the BYU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:357% → 7%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+12
93.5%
Aleva Hifo run for 12 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
93.4%
Aleva Hifo run for 7 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 3
OWN 24
-5
93.2%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Olive Sagapolu for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-5
93.1%
Dax Milne run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
92.9%
Rhett Almond punt for 47 yds, downed at the Wisc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:4893% → 93%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
92.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+27
92.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 27 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
92.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+10
92.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
92.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
92.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.8%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:587% → 10%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+44
92.5%
Squally Canada run for 44 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
92.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Gunner Romney for 10 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
91.8%
Riley Burt run for 13 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
91.7%
Aleva Hifo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 3Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.1%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:5191% → 90%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
90.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
90.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
90.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
90.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 3 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
90.2%
Anthony Lotti punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 4:3810% → 16%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
89.8%
Aleva Hifo run for 5 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+9
89.6%
Squally Canada run for 9 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Lopini Katoa for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 23Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
89.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 2 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+21
89.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 21 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Dax Milne, broken up by Caesar WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
88.2%
Squally Canada run for 6 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+11
87.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 11 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
87.4%
Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+31
83.6%
Aleva Hifo pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 31 yds for a TD, (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:3285% → 82%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
84.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 3 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
83.9%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
84.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+4
84.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
50
-1
83.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 49Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+9
82.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-4
83.0%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Sione Takitaki for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 46 WISCONSIN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Alex Hornibrook) to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
81.8%
Anthony Lotti punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:0520% → 22%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
80.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Dylan Collie for 8 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+14
79.1%
Dylan Collie run for 14 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
78.0%
Aleva Hifo run for 19 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
77.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
77.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Dallin HolkerSimilar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+4
77.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Dylan Collie for 4 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+52
77.6%
Skyler Southam 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2879% → 85%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
78.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+16
78.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 16 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
79.5%
Hornibrook, Alex pass incomplete to Davis III, Danny, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Deiter, Michael) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
77.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+1
77.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 19
OWN 44
+18
75.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 18 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
77.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
77.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
78.1%
Kendric Pryor run for 21 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
77.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.3%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0519% → 20%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
80.8%
Katoa, Lopini rush for 5 yards to the BYU30, PENALTY BYU holding (Holker, Dallin) 10 yards to the BYU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
80.6%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-1
80.3%
Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2420% → 20%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Dylan Collie for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
79.4%
Dylan Collie run for no gain to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
79.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau, broken up by D'Cota DixonSimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
80.4%
Rhett Almond punt for 50 yds , Danny Davis III returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:1581% → 80%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
81.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
81.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+12
79.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Zayne Anderson return for 12 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:0125% → 41%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
74.6%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
74.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Dallin HolkerSimilar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+18
74.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 18 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
73.3%
Squally Canada run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 5Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
72.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
73.9%
Mangum, Tanner pass incomplete to Milne, Dax (Hicks, Faion), PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Hicks, Faion) 3 yards to the WISCONSIN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.4%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds for a TD, (Skyler Southam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 39 yds · 5:5464% → 56%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
64.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
63.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 4 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+17
62.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 17 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
65.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kyle PennistonSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
64.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+9
61.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 9 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
62.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
63.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
64.5%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
61.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the BYU 32Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-5
58.4%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Kyle Penniston) to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
56.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2151% → 49%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
49.1%
Squally Canada run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+1
50.5%
Riley Burt run for 1 yd to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
49.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Gunner Romney, broken up by Faion HicksSimilar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
50.7%
Rhett Almond punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:2152% → 75%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
52.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 19Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+31
52.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
50
+3
55.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-10
55.7%
Hornibrook, Alex pass complete to Ferguson, Jake for 12 yards to the BYU35, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Edwards, David) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+10
47.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+17
50.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 17 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
53.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
52.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+8
51.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
50.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
74.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:2235% → 54%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
65.0%
Squally Canada run for 46 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
57.9%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+11
60.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Gunner Romney for 11 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
57.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for no gain to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
58.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+45
46.2%
Skyler Southam 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:5651% → 42%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
51.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
50.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 11 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
51.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
53.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-8
51.0%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Zac Dawe for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 33Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
42.2%
Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4562% → 69%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
37.7%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
33.2%
Canada, Squally rush for 2 yards to the BYU34, PENALTY WISCONSIN offside (Lyles, Kayden) 5 yards to the BYU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
31.2%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
28.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
29.3%
Tanner Mangum run for 3 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
27.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
30.8%
Rhett Almond punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20MISSED FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 3:0939% → 25%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
39.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 1 yd to the Wisc 9Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+10
37.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 10 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
38.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+15
35.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 15 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
37.0%
BYU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+11
39.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 11 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
40.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+16
36.3%
Alex Hornibrook run for 16 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
39.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
38.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
30.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+42
24.9%
Rafael Gaglianone 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:2092% → 93%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
7.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 12
OWN 22
-1
7.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:43
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+24.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:35
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 22
-17
TD · Q3 9:54
Squally Canada run for 2 yds for a TD, (Skyler Southam KICK)
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com