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UNM

New Mexico 14 at Wisconsin 45

WIS
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:13 · Tyson Dyer punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+43.5Home team on offense−1.3Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:22: Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to D Hartjohnson for 11 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +1.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:46: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:52: Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:56: Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:00: Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +1.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 1:13WIS 4th & 6 at UNM 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:13UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:13UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:34UNM 4th & 20 at UNM 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:44UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:46WIS 4th & 2 at UNM 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:52UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:22UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:20WIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:46WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:52WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:00UNM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:36WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:22WIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
18 plays · 87 yds · 7:382% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
98.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 13 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+11
98.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to D Hartjohnson for 11 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
98.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 9 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
98.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 11 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.3%
Zahneer Shuler run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+5
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+6
98.3%
Zahneer Shuler run for 6 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
98.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+13
98.3%
Daevon Vigilant run for 13 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
98.3%
Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd to the Wisc 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
98.3%
Zahneer Shuler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 11Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
96.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to D Hartjohnson for 11 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2FG
13 plays · 76 yds · 6:0497% → 96%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
97.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
97.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+28
97.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 28 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+8
97.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
97.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 7 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+7
97.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 7 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
97.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
97.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
97.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the NMex 8Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
97.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
95.9%
Rafael Gaglianone 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.8%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh, broken up by Faion HicksSimilar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
95.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Tyson Dyer punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1596% → 95%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
95.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-7
95.5%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Bijon Parker for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+7
95.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 7 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+8
95.2%
Anthony Lotti punt for 54 yds , Marcus Hayes returns for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
95.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 7 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+1
94.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 41Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-2
95.0%
Zahneer Shuler run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
95.2%
Tyson Dyer punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 61 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
94.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+7
94.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+39
94.9%
Alec Ingold run for 39 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
95.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+8
95.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
95.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 6 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Marcus Hayes, recovered by NMex Marcus HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:517% → 8%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
93.3%
Sheriron Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+10
93.3%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Marcus Williams for 10 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
93.2%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Brayden Dickey for 1 yd to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-3
93.2%
Elijah Lilly run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 12
OWN 17
-8
92.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 9Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 20
OWN 9
+10
92.4%
Tyson Dyer punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 44 , Jack Dunn returns for 10 yds to the NMex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:3092% → 94%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
92.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
92.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
92.6%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
92.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
92.3%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
92.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
93.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 16 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:368% → 8%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.5%
Sheriron Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
92.5%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 17 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
91.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
91.8%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to D HartjohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-3
92.0%
Sheriron Jones sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 45 NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+46
92.0%
Tyson Dyer punt for 37 yds, downed at the WISCONSIN 18 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive holding (9 Yards) to the Wisc 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:1791% → 92%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
91.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
91.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+2
92.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
91.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
91.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 14 yds to the Wisc 46 Garrett Groshek fumbled, forced by Willie Hobdy, for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:0091% → 92%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
91.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+3
91.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 3 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+21
90.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 21 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
92.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 1
50
+7
92.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+29
92.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Evahelotu Tohi return for 29 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.2%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IV, broken up by Madison ConeSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
88.3%
Sheriron Jones run for 2 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+22
88.9%
Sheriron Jones pass intercepted Scott Nelson return for 22 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 3:0390% → 95%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
90.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+43
90.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 43 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
91.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, encroachment ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
91.8%
Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
91.8%
Chris James run for no gain to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
94.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.2%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Marcus Williams for 6 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
94.0%
Ahmari Davis run for 3 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
94.0%
Sheriron Jones run for no gain to the NMex 34 Sheriron Jones fumbled, recovered by Wisc Kayden LylesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:5495% → 98%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
94.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
95.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+4
94.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 4 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+5
94.4%
Alec Ingold run for 5 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
95.0%
Aron Cruickshank run for 11 yds to the NMex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
95.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Sheriron Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.3%
Sheriron Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
97.4%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Andrew Van GinkelSimilar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+45
97.4%
Tyson Dyer punt for 35 yds, downed at the WISCONSIN 41 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Wisc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:5798% → 99%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
97.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+44
97.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 44 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
98.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:561% → 3%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.3%
Tyrone Owens run for 11 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.2%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 15 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.2%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to D Hartjohnson for 11 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.2%
Sheriron Jones run for 1 yd to the Wisc 37Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+8
99.2%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Emmanuel Harris for 8 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+16
99.2%
Tyrone Owens run for 16 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
99.1%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
97.4%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2498% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
98.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
50
+31
98.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 31 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
98.3%
Deal, Taiwan rush for 16 yards to the NM3, out-of-bounds (HARRIS, Emmanue;BARNWELL, Stanl), PENALTY WIS holding (Edwards, David) 10 yards to the NM29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+15
98.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 15 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+5
98.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
98.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
99.5%
JONES, Sheriron pass incomplete to UMEH, Anselm (Wildgoose, R.), PENALTY WIS holding (Wildgoose, R.) 10 yards to the NM38, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Tyrone OwensSimilar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.5%
Sheriron Jones pass intercepted Madison Cone return for 2 yds to the NMex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21TD
10 plays · 45 yds · 5:40100% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.6%
Chris James run for 4 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+9
99.6%
Chris James run for 9 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.6%
Chris James run for 4 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
99.6%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
99.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+7
99.6%
Chris James run for 7 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.6%
Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.6%
Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Danny Vanden Boom pass complete to Taj Mustapha for 3 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 6 yds to the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:52
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+3
TD · Q3 7:46
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q4 11:00
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com