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WKU

Western Kentucky 3 at Wisconsin 34

WIS
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2018 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:47 · Alex Rinella punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior+46.3Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:38: Jonathan Taylor run for 47 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:48: Jonathan Taylor run for 30 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:47: Alex Hornibrook run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29 — WIS win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:08: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:21: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 43 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:37WIS 4th & 12 at WKU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:47WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:20WKU 4th & 10 at WIS 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53WIS 4th & 18 at WIS 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:07WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:25WIS 4th & 7 at WKU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:02WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:44WIS 4th & 15 at WKU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:21WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:58WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:15WKU 4th & 8 at WIS 8, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:10WIS 4th & 5 at WKU 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:40WKU 4th & 6 at WIS 14, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:38WKU 4th & 8 at WIS 44, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 48, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:38WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:48WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:08WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:21WIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 43 yds · 5:1299% → 98%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
98.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
98.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+11
98.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 11 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
98.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+10
98.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Taiwan Deal for 10 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 8
50
0
98.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 8
50
+11
98.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
98.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
98.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
98.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Garrett GroshekSimilar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
98.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:462% → 2%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
98.0%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 2
OWN 16
0
97.9%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 2
OWN 16
-5
97.9%
Drew Eckels sacked by Ryan Connelly for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
97.8%
Alex Rinella punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
1 play · 47 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
98.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 47 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:092% → 3%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
97.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Xavier Lane for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
97.9%
Drew Eckels run for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+1
97.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
97.8%
Drew Eckels run for 5 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+12
97.7%
Drew Eckels run for 12 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
97.6%
Jernighan, Quin pass incomplete to Eckels, Drew, PENALTY WESTERNKY personal foul (Meredith, Jordan) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 25
OWN 42
0
97.6%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for no gain to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 25
OWN 42
0
97.6%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Mik'Quan Deane, broken up by Scott NelsonSimilar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 25
OWN 42
+15
97.6%
Drew Eckels run for 15 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
97.5%
Alex Rinella punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:2298% → 97%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
97.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+7
97.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 7 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
97.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-9
97.2%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Masai Whyte for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 14
OWN 20
-5
97.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (David Edwards) to the Wisc 15Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 19
OWN 15
+1
97.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 16Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 18
OWN 16
-2
96.9%
Anthony Lotti punt for 49 yds , Roger Cray returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:363% → 3%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
96.9%
Jacquez Sloan run for 1 yd to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
96.9%
Drew Eckels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
96.9%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
97.0%
Alex Rinella punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:3497% → 97%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
96.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 22 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
96.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
96.7%
Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, downed at the WKent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:153% → 3%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
96.6%
Joshua Samuel run for 6 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 4
OWN 16
-3
96.5%
Jahcour Pearson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 13Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
96.5%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+22
96.6%
Alex Rinella punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the 50 yard line WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Ta'Corian Darden) to the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:1197% → 96%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
96.7%
Kendric Pryor run for 19 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
96.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson, broken up by Antwon KincadeSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
96.6%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd to the WKent 15Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-6
96.4%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Jeremy Darvin for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 15
OPP 21
+39
96.1%
Rafael Gaglianone 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:164% → 4%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.4%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.2%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
96.3%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 1 yd to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.3%
Alex Rinella punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:2796% → 98%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-1
96.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
96.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
50
0
96.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
50
0
96.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 10
50
+20
95.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 20 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
97.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 30 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.4%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Xavier Lane for 8 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
97.1%
Garland LaFrance run for 6 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
97.2%
Drew Eckels run for 1 yd to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-10
97.2%
Eckels, Drew pass complete to Deane, Mik'Quan for 7 yards to the WESTERNKY47, PENALTY WESTERNKY holding (Joest, Seth) 10 yards to the WESTERNKY30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 19
OWN 30
0
97.2%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Scott NelsonSimilar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 19
OWN 30
+10
97.3%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 10 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
97.2%
Alex Rinella punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:3998% → 99%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Alex Hornibrook run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
97.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
97.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Tyler Biadasz) to the Wisc 35Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+25
97.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 25 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
98.0%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Ben Holt for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
97.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+20
97.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jack Dunn for 20 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+21
97.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 21 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 67 yds · 1:372% → 2%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
98.5%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 18 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+48
98.4%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 48 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.2%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
98.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 14Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
98.4%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Caesar WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
98.3%
Drew Eckels run for 6 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
98.4%
Ryan Nuss 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:5599% → 99%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
98.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+15
98.9%
Taylor, Jonathan rush for loss of 1 yard to the WISCONSIN41, PENALTY WESTERNKY personal foul (Sayner, Evan) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
98.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+8
98.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan Taylor, broken up by Ben HoltSimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
98.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
98.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
98.8%
Rafael Gaglianone 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17INT
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:061% → 1%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
98.8%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 14 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.8%
Drew Eckels run for 1 yd to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+9
98.8%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 9 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-2
98.7%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 49Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.7%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Xavier Lane for 17 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Chris Orr) to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
98.6%
Garland LaFrance run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 19Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+9
98.7%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Xavier Lane for 9 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
98.7%
Quin Jernighan pass intercepted Faion Hicks return for no gain to the Wisc 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:3299% → 99%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
99.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 6Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+6
99.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+2
99.1%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+9
99.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 18 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Ta'Corian Darden, recovered by WKent Drell Greene , return for 10 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
98.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
98.8%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
98.9%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 6
OPP 14
0
99.0%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 4:1299% → 100%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
99.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 17 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
99.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 10 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.3%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-15
99.3%
Cruickshank, Aron rush for 7 yards to the WESTERNKY32, PENALTY WISCONSIN illegal block (Lloyd, Gabe) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 22
OWN 46
+11
99.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 11 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 43 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21FUMBLE
17 plays · 56 yds · 6:300% → 0%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 4 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 5 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+10
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Cole Spencer) to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Drew Eckels run for no gain to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+12
99.9%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 12 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
Davis Shanley run for 4 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 2 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+13
99.9%
Davis Shanley run for 13 yds to the Wisc 1 Davis Shanley fumbled, forced by Eric Burrell, recovered by Wisc Chris OrrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:31100% → 100%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
99.9%
Alec Ingold run for 4 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+9
99.9%
Alec Ingold run for 9 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+16
99.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 16 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
Chris James run for 7 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Alex Hornibrook run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Adam Krumholz for 5 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-5
100.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 41 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
100.0%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 8 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 2
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+4
100.0%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 4 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
100.0%
Shanley, Davis pass pass intercepted by Burrell, Eric at the WISCONSIN47, Burrell, Eric return 16 yards to the WESTERNKY37, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Burton, Donte) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
100.0%
Davis Shanley run for 14 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:48
Jonathan Taylor run for 30 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 0:08
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+1.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:47
Alex Hornibrook run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com