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WIS

Wisconsin 47 at Purdue 44

PUR
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:40 · Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 165Home team on offense+16.2Pregame prior+1.1Score differential+3.1Garbage-time factor+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 2:51: Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 18 yds for a TD — WIS win probability +45.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down — PUR win probability +33.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds for a TD — WIS win probability +39.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 25 yds for a TD David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 25 yds for a TD David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 25 yds for a TD Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:00 (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +42.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds for a TD — WIS win probability +59.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:55WIS 4th & 3 at PUR 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:55PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:34WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WIS 4th & 7 at PUR 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:50PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:18WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:07WIS 4th & 11 at PUR 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−6.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00PUR 4th & 3 at WIS 3, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%−1.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−7.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:40PUR 4th & 22 at PUR 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−3.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:27WIS 4th & 3 at PUR 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−13.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:08WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:46PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:57PUR 4th & 2 at WIS 2, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−7.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:40PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:51PUR 4th & 10 at WIS 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−1.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%−2.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:09WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 11, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%−2.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:59PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−1.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 6:11PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:40WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:08PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:57PUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:40WIS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:51WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
60.1%
Rondale Moore run for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-9
60.1%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 33 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
60.1%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 6 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
60.1%
David Blough sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
60.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 38 yds , Jack Dunn returns for no gain to the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 4:0040% → 40%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
59.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 4 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
59.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+34
59.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 34 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
59.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+4
59.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 1
OPP 10
-5
59.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+3
59.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 3 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
59.6%
Rafael Gaglianone 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
60.0%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
60.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Rachad WildgooseSimilar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+2
59.7%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 2 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
59.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds , Jack Dunn returns for no gain to the Wisc 24 PURDUE Penalty, kick catching interference (Malcolm Dotson) to the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
59.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-5
59.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 12
OWN 47
-7
59.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 19
OWN 40
+8
59.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
60.1%
Connor Allen punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 87 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
59.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry Wright, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Hicks, Faion) 15 yards to the PUR28, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
60.0%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+10
60.0%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 10 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
60.4%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 20 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
61.0%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 13 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
61.2%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+16
61.2%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 16 yds Isaac Zico fumbled, forced by Andrew Van Ginkel, recovered by Wisc Rachad WildgooseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:4540% → 41%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
59.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
59.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+15
58.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 15 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
58.3%
Jack Coan run for 8 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-10
58.2%
James, Chris rush for no gain to the PUR38 (Markus Bailey), PENALTY WIS holding (Deiter, Michael) 10 yards to the PUR48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+5
58.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 5 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
57.8%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson, broken up by Navon MosleySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
58.8%
Connor Allen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
59.8%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 7 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+1
60.0%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+5
59.2%
Rondale Moore run for 5 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
60.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+15
60.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Wildgoose, R.) 15 yards to the PUR36, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
60.6%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 16 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
61.6%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 18
OWN 44
-1
60.6%
David Blough sacked by Isaiahh Loudermilk for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 19
OWN 43
+3
60.4%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+3
59.8%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
59.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
58.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
58.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 5 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
58.6%
Alec Ingold run for no gain to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
59.7%
Connor Allen punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:2662% → 71%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
61.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 10 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
62.5%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
62.5%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+8
62.1%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
62.9%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 10 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
70.9%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 18 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10FG
17 plays · 54 yds · 5:0433% → 36%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
67.5%
Kendric Pryor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
66.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
65.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
65.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
65.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+19
64.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 19 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
64.4%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
64.4%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Alec IngoldSimilar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+8
67.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
66.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Prdue 2Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-9
65.0%
Jack Coan sacked by Giovanni Reviere for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
66.5%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q2 1:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
63.6%
Rafael Gaglianone 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 1:0765% → 70%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.0%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
66.2%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 5 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+39
66.5%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 39 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
68.4%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 5 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+15
68.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac Zico, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Williams, C.) 15 yards to the WIS2, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to D.J. KnoxSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Rachad WildgooseSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
68.0%
Alexander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 3Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
70.4%
Spencer Evans 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
55.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 80 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
59.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, PENALTY WIS holding (Wildgoose, R.) 10 yards to the PUR35, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
59.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 14 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
62.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
61.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q3 14:40
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-12
59.9%
David Blough sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 12 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 14:40
4TH & 22
OWN 37
+3
57.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 38 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 6:4145% → 53%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
55.3%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
54.3%
Chris James run for 8 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
53.3%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+24
53.2%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 24 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
51.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+6
51.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
51.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+8
51.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
51.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-3
51.1%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 11Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+7
52.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 7 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
46.7%
Rafael Gaglianone 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:1952% → 74%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
51.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for no gain to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Andrew Van Ginkel) to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
54.7%
David Blough run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+13
54.7%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 13 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
56.2%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+12
56.2%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 12 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
73.7%
Markell Jones run for 12 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.7%
Danny Davis III run for no gain to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
66.9%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
68.3%
Jack Coan pass incomplete, broken up by Lorenzo NealSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
69.4%
Connor Allen punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:1971% → 86%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
71.1%
D.J. Knox run for 7 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
72.3%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
71.3%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
72.4%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 5 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
73.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry Wright, broken up by Bryson WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+46
85.6%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 46 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:5716% → 15%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 33 PURDUE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
82.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
82.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
82.4%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor, broken up by Giovanni ReviereSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
83.3%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
84.7%
Connor Allen punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
86.5%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
86.4%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
86.3%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
86.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-1
86.2%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
85.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 33 yds , Caesar Williams returns for no gain to the Wisc 28 Caesar Williams fumbled, recovered by Prdue Ben MakowskiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20FG
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:1988% → 94%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
88.4%
Rondale Moore run for 8 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Madison Cone) to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
88.2%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.2%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
87.7%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 2Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
94.4%
Spencer Evans 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:179% → 22%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
91.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
90.9%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
91.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Michael Deiter) to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+9
91.4%
Coan, Jack pass intercepted by Thieneman, B. at the PUR48, Thieneman, B. return to the WIS32, out-of-bounds, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Navon Mosley) 9 yards to the WIS48, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
90.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+12
90.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
90.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+13
89.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 13 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
89.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 3 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+10
89.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 10 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.2%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
87.5%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
86.8%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
86.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:1017% → 61%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+35
83.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 35 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
77.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
77.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 11 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-51
76.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Logan Bruss) to the Wisc 27Similar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 61
OWN 27
+55
84.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 55 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+18
39.3%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 18 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
56.1%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 35 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
62.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac Zico, broken up by Deron HarrellSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
60.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
55.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 38 yds, downed at the Wisc 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:5051% → 49%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
49.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 4Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
50.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 6Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+5
52.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 11Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
51.2%
Connor Allen punt for 50 yds , Rondale Moore returns for no gain to the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
58.4%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 4 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
61.2%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
58.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
55.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds, downed at the Wisc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
48.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+3
82.1%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 29TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
80.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
40.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 30TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
40.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 22 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
40.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Kyle Penniston) to the Prdue 8Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
40.5%
Groshek, G. rush for no gain to the PUR8 (Anthony Watts;Reviere, G.), PENALTY PUR offside (Anthony Watts) 4 yards to the PUR4, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
22.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds for a TD Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 31TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
64.7%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 25 yds for a TD David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 25 yds for a TD David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 25 yds for a TD Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:00 (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 32Uncategorized
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
64.7%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 2 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
64.7%
David Blough pass incomplete, broken up by Isaiahh LoudermilkSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
62.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 33TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
70.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+17
11.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds for a TD
-59.1
TD · Q4 2:51
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 18 yds for a TD
-45.3
TD · OT 0:00
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 25 yds for a TD David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 25 yds for a TD David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 25 yds for a TD Timeout WISCONSIN, clock 00:00 (Spencer Evans KICK)
+42.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com