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WIS

Wisconsin 10 at Penn State 22

PSU
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:30 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:09: Miles Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Pinegar PAT MISSED) — PSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Rafael Checa kickoff for 63 yds fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Wisc 2 — WIS win probability +3.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:45: Rafael Gaglianone 28 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +5.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 4:07: Jake Pinegar 42 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:23: Jake Pinegar 23 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:31PSU 4th & 12 at PSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:53PSU 4th & 15 at WIS 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:52PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:49WIS 4th & 12 at WIS 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:40WIS 4th & 24 at WIS 21, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−2.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:03PSU 4th & 15 at WIS 32, up 9
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:45WIS 4th & 7 at PSU 10, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−8.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:45PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.6%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:07PSU 4th & 7 at WIS 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−8.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:08WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 25, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:11PSU 4th & 4 at WIS 27, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−6.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:03WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 27, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:40PSU 4th & 1 at WIS 35, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.6%−2.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−3.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:23PSU 4th & 6 at WIS 6, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−5.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:44WIS 4th & 5 at PSU 39, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.2
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%
    36% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:34WIS 4th & 20 at PSU 20, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:04WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:41PSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:09PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:2470% → 70%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.2%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
70.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 9 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
70.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 9 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-2
70.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 44Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-9
70.0%
Trace McSorley sacked by Zack Baun and Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 35Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
69.7%
Blake Gillikin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 1:2130% → 32%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
69.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+6
69.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+71
68.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 71 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1968% → 70%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 2 yds to the PnSt 27Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
68.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
67.7%
McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Hamler, KJ, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Wildgoose, Rachad) 15 yards to the PENNST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
68.2%
Miles Sanders run for 11 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
68.2%
Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+1
68.1%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+10
67.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 10 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
67.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 16 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
69.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 14 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:0131% → 33%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+27
68.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 27 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
68.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
67.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 7 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-1
67.5%
Jack Coan run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 48 Jack Coan fumbled, recovered by PnSt Yetur Gross-MatosSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:2769% → 68%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
69.3%
Miles Sanders run for 7 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
69.5%
Tommy Stevens run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+6
69.2%
Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
69.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 9 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
69.6%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
69.6%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-10
69.5%
McSorley, Trace rush for 6 yards to the WISCONSIN20, PENALTY PENNST holding (McGovern, Connor) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+5
68.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 5 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 15
OPP 31
0
68.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre ThompkinsSimilar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+49
68.2%
Jake Pinegar 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2831% → 31%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
68.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
68.6%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
68.1%
Taiwan Deal run for no gain to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
68.9%
Connor Allen punt for 45 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:0869% → 68%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
68.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 3 yds to the PnSt 18Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+10
68.5%
Trace McSorley run for 10 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
68.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 5 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
69.1%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
68.5%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+5
67.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 44 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 5 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4631% → 30%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
68.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
68.5%
Jack Coan run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-7
68.7%
Jack Coan sacked by Shareef Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
69.9%
Connor Allen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:3169% → 77%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
69.2%
Miles Sanders run for 17 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
70.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
69.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Justin Shorter for 3 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+23
69.7%
Miles Sanders run for 23 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
70.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 14 yds to the Wisc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
70.5%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the Wisc 1Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.5%
Miles Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Pinegar PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 3:2025% → 23%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
74.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
75.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 3 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.2%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
75.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Beau Benzschawel) to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+1
75.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 14
OWN 31
-10
76.8%
Jack Coan sacked by Shareef Miller for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 21Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 24
OWN 21
0
77.4%
Connor Allen punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:2776% → 76%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
76.3%
Trace McSorley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
77.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Cam Sullivan-Brown for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
50
+3
77.5%
Tommy Stevens run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-10
77.6%
Tommy Stevens sacked by Ryan Connelly for a loss of 10 yards to the PnSt 43Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 17
OWN 43
+30
75.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 30 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-8
78.6%
Trace McSorley sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 35Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+1
78.2%
Tommy Stevens run for 1 yd to the Wisc 34Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 17
OPP 34
+7
77.2%
Tommy Stevens run for 7 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 10
OPP 27
-5
76.7%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Pat Freiermuth) to the Wisc 32Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 15
OPP 32
0
75.7%
Blake Gillikin punt for 26 yds, downed at the Wisc 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:4523% → 24%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
77.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 16 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
76.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
76.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-2
76.5%
Jack Coan pass intercepted Amani Oruwariye return for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13MISSED FG
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:0579% → 81%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
78.8%
Tommy Stevens run for 20 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+44
80.8%
Jake Pinegar 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Isaiahh LoudermilkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:1023% → 29%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
76.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
75.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+37
75.5%
Taiwan Deal run for 37 yds to the PnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
73.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the PnSt 22Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
74.4%
Danny Davis III run for no gain to the PnSt 22Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+9
76.2%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
74.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the PnSt 8Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-2
74.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 10Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
76.0%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
71.0%
Rafael Gaglianone 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 5:1375% → 83%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
74.7%
KJ Hamler run for 1 yd to the PnSt 28Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+6
74.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 6 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
74.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 2 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+1
74.1%
Johnathan Thomas run for 1 yd to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
75.7%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
77.3%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
77.4%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+6
76.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 6 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
77.7%
Miles Sanders run for 11 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
78.1%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+1
78.6%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Wisc 23Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
77.6%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+42
82.6%
Jake Pinegar 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5218% → 15%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
82.0%
Kendric Pryor run for no gain to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
82.9%
Jack Coan sacked by Robert Windsor for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.7%
Connor Allen punt for 41 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 4 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:4985% → 83%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
84.9%
Miles Sanders run for 29 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
85.7%
Miles Sanders run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-1
85.7%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+6
85.0%
Trace McSorley run for 6 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
83.4%
Jake Pinegar 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:0818% → 15%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
82.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Beau Benzschawel) to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+8
83.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-5
81.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 25Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-5
83.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 20Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+7
83.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
84.0%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
84.9%
Connor Allen punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 6:2785% → 94%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
85.3%
Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 5
50
+3
85.5%
Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
84.9%
Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
86.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 8 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
86.8%
Ricky Slade run for 1 yd to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
86.1%
Ricky Slade run for no gain to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+9
85.3%
Miles Sanders run for 9 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
87.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 4 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+12
87.4%
Miles Sanders run for 12 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
87.7%
Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
88.2%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 10Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
87.6%
Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the Wisc 6Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
94.0%
Jake Pinegar 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:458% → 9%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
92.3%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
91.5%
Jack Coan sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 15 yards to the Wisc 22 Jack Coan fumbled, recovered by PnSt Shareef Miller , return for 7 yds to the Wisc 15 Shareef Miller fumbled, recovered by WiscSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 31 yds · 3:317% → 3%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
93.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
92.0%
Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Wisc 24Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
95.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
95.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 15 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
95.0%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
95.2%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+3
96.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+7
96.3%
Coan, Jack pass incomplete to Davis III, Danny, PENALTY PENNST pass interference (Castro-Fields, Tariq) 7 yards to the PENNST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
96.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 5 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
95.9%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
96.3%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
97.1%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:5198% → 98%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
97.8%
Miles Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 38Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-8
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wisc Zack BaunSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23INT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:064% → 2%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.5%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+20
96.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 20 yds to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-8
96.5%
Jack Coan sacked by Robert Windsor for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 18Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
97.4%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q4 1:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
-2
97.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 20Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+8
98.0%
Jack Coan pass intercepted Nick Scott return for 8 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 7:23
Jake Pinegar 23 yd FG GOOD
+6.4
TD · Q2 8:09
Miles Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Pinegar PAT MISSED)
+6
FG · Q3 9:45
Rafael Gaglianone 28 yd FG GOOD
-5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com