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KENT

Kent State 10 at Penn State 63

PSU
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.2PSU 95.4%Matthew Trickett 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 21 · Q2 0:35
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:35 · Matthew Trickett 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+34.9Home team on offense+8.5Score differential+3.5Blowout margin+0.8Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:09: Trace McSorley run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:35: MCFADDEN, C. kickoff 45 yards to the PSU20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KENT offside (MCFADDEN, C.) 5 yards to the KENT30, NO PLAY. — PSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:04: Trace McSorley run for 13 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:05: Mark Allen run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:42: Ricky Slade run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 9:41KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:07KENT 4th & 16 at KENT 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:09PSU 4th & 1 at KENT 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:44PSU 4th & 1 at KENT 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:44PSU 4th & 22 at KENT 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:29KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:16PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:55KENT 4th & 12 at PSU 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:35KENT 4th & 7 at PSU 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00KENT 4th & 16 at KENT 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:59KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:36KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 24, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:37KENT 4th & 26 at KENT 36, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00PSU 4th & 7 at KENT 33, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:16KENT 4th & 12 at midfield, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:55KENT 4th & 3 at PSU 40, down 46
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:51PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:43KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:07PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:09PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:04PSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:05PSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:42PSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:37PSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:55PSU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:09PSU Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0998% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
98.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 19 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
98.2%
McSorley, Trace pass complete to Hamler, KJ for 56 yards to the KENT0, clock 14:22, PENALTY PSU holding (Menet, Michael) 10 yards to the PSU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+12
98.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 12 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-1
98.2%
Miles Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
98.2%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q1 14:22
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+15
98.2%
Gillikin, Blake punt 33 yards to the KENT22, fair catch by TYSON, ZAQUON, PENALTY KENT personal foul (PHILLIPS, C.) 15 yards to the KENT40, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
98.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 40 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:082% → 2%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
PENN ST Penalty, offside defense (Shareef Miller) to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
98.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 4 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
98.0%
Woody Barrett run for 6 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.0%
Woody Barrett run for no gain to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
98.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by Garrett TaylorSimilar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+5
98.0%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to CARRIGAN, MIKE, PENALTY PSU offside defense (Windsor, Robert) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
50
0
98.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
50
+2
98.0%
Woody Barrett run for 2 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+11
97.8%
Woody Barrett run for 11 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
97.8%
RANKIN, JUSTIN rush for loss of 1 yard to the PSU38 (Toney, Shaka), PENALTY KENT holding (WARNOCK, NATE) 10 yards to the PSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 20
OPP 47
0
97.8%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+47
97.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 47 yds for a TD PENN ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
97.5%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 42 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+5
97.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+18
97.6%
Matthew Trickett punt for 46 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 18 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0297% → 97%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.4%
Trace McSorley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
97.4%
Miles Sanders run for 10 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
97.4%
Miles Sanders run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 3
50
+6
97.4%
Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+31
97.4%
Trace McSorley run for 18 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Matt Bahr) to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.5%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+12
97.5%
Miles Sanders run for 12 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.3%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-1
97.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
97.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Trey HarrellSimilar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
97.3%
Matthew Trickett punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:0097% → 98%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
97.3%
Mark Allen run for 1 yd to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
97.3%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+19
97.3%
Mark Allen run for 19 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
97.3%
Mark Allen run for 5 yds to the KntSt 6Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
97.3%
Mark Allen run for 3 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
97.3%
KENT ST Penalty, offside defense (1 Yards) to the KntSt 2Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
97.3%
Mark Allen run for no gain to the KntSt 2Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
97.6%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:093% → 3%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
97.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 19 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
97.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-2
97.2%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-5
97.3%
Woody Barrett sacked by Ellison Jordan for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 41
+32
97.4%
Matthew Trickett punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 49 , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 32 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:0098% → 97%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.5%
KJ Hamler run for no gain to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
97.5%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+9
97.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 9 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+13
97.4%
Miles Sanders run for 13 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
97.6%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-1
97.6%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-15
97.4%
McSorley, Trace pass complete to Johnson, Juwan for 24 yards to the KENT0, clock 10:44, PENALTY PSU pass interference (Freiermuth, Pat) 15 yards to the KENT39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 22
OPP 39
0
97.3%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 22
OPP 39
0
97.2%
Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
97.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 12 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
97.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Justin Rankin for 6 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
96.8%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
96.9%
Woody Barrett run for 5 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
97.0%
Matthew Trickett punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
96.9%
KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Isaiah McKoy) to the KntSt 29Similar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
97.0%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
97.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
97.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Trey HarrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.1%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.1%
Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+2
97.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 2 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
97.0%
Blake Gillikin punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:563% → 4%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
96.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 18 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
96.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 8 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-3
96.5%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+9
96.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 9 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
96.5%
Woody Barrett run for 6 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+7
96.4%
Jo-El Shaw run for 7 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
96.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
96.3%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-6
96.5%
Woody Barrett sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
96.4%
Matthew Trickett punt for 25 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
96.3%
Miles Sanders run for 8 yds to the PnSt 20Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+7
96.3%
Miles Sanders run for 7 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
96.3%
Trace McSorley sacked by Kj Sherald for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 21 Trace McSorley fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 16
OWN 21
+9
96.3%
Miles Sanders run for 9 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+26
96.2%
Trace McSorley pass intercepted Elvis Hines return for 26 yds to the PnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13FG
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:485% → 4%
Q2 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 15 Jo-El Shaw fumbled, recovered by KntSt Jo-El Shaw , return for no gain to the PnSt 15Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+10
95.7%
BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to CARRIGAN, MIKE, PENALTY PSU pass interference (Oruwariye, A.) 10 yards to the PSU5, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
95.3%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 7Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon, broken up by Donovan JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Amani OruwariyeSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
95.4%
Matthew Trickett 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
95.8%
MCFADDEN, C. kickoff 45 yards to the PSU20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KENT offside (MCFADDEN, C.) 5 yards to the KENT30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:2196% → 97%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
96.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 8 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+22
96.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 22 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
96.2%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.4%
Trace McSorley run for 13 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
97.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-11
97.0%
Woody Barrett sacked by Shareef Miller for a loss of 11 yards to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+12
97.2%
Matthew Trickett punt for 50 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 12 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:0398% → 99%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
97.8%
Mark Allen run for 9 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
97.8%
Mark Allen run for 2 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
97.8%
Mark Allen run for 6 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
97.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete, broken up by Darryl MarshallSimilar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+6
97.8%
Mark Allen run for 6 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
97.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 23 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
97.8%
Mark Allen run for 4 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
99.4%
Mark Allen run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.0%
Woody Barrett run for 2 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-1
99.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-6
99.1%
Woody Barrett sacked by Shareef Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
98.7%
Matthew Trickett punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 41 yds · 0:3599% → 100%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+39
99.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 39 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Ricky Slade run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
99.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 4 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 6
OWN 12
0
99.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Zech McPhearsonSimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+12
99.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Justin Rankin for 12 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy, broken up by Amani OruwariyeSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Matthew Trickett punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:50100% → 100%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-10
99.8%
McSorley, Trace pass complete to Sullivan-Brown for 66 yards to the KENT0, clock 05:45, PENALTY PSU holding (Thorpe, C.J.) 10 yards to the PSU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the PnSt 27Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+15
99.8%
Trace McSorley run for 15 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.8%
Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Brandon Polk, broken up by Elvis HinesSimilar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+14
99.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 14 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.8%
Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the KntSt 41 Miles Sanders fumbled, forced by Jordan Silva, recovered by PnSt Trace McSorleySimilar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 41 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 12 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, roughing passer (Antonio Shelton) to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
99.9%
Woody Barrett sacked by Jayson Oweh for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 13
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for no gain to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 13
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
BARRETT, WOODY pass complete to MCKOY, ISAIAH for 6 yards to the PSU45 (Monroe, Ayron), PENALTY KENT illegal motion 5 yards to the KENT44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 18
OWN 44
-8
99.9%
Woody Barrett sacked by Jayson Oweh for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 2:37
4TH & 26
OWN 36
+33
99.9%
Matthew Trickett punt for 47 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 33 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Ricky Slade run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+14
99.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 14 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Ricky Slade run for 1 yd to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Sean Clifford run for 4 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-2
99.9%
Ricky Slade run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
Sean Clifford run for 6 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete, broken up by Daniel JosephSimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+10
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 10 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+15
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for 15 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-7
99.9%
Woody Barrett sacked by Lamont Wade for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 12
50
-2
99.9%
Matthew Trickett punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 2 , Tariq Castro-Fields returns for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 98 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
99.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 32 yds to the PnSt 34 PENN ST Penalty, IB (Cam Brown) to the PnSt 5Similar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 7
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Ricky Slade run for no gain to the PnSt 5Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+95
99.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 95 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
100.0%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Manny Lawrence-Burke for 4 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+10
100.0%
Dustin Crum run for 10 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Zaquon Tyson, broken up by Dae'Lun DarienSimilar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Matthew Trickett punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 27TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+75
100.0%
Johnathan Thomas run for 69 yds to the PENNST 11 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
100.0%
Johnathan Thomas run for no gain to the KntSt 5Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
100.0%
Thomas, J. rush for 2 yards to the KENT3 (WEST, ZAYIN), PENALTY PSU holding (Wright, Chasz) 10 yards to the KENT15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
100.0%
Johnathan Thomas run for 15 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
100.0%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
100.0%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:05
Mark Allen run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 0:04
Trace McSorley run for 13 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)
+1.2
FG · Q2 0:35
MCFADDEN, C. kickoff 45 yards to the PSU20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KENT offside (MCFADDEN, C.) 5 yards to the KENT30, NO PLAY.
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com