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NEB

Nebraska 24 at Wisconsin 41

WIS
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:26 · Caleb Lightbourn punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+33.7Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:51: Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +3.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:42: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 14 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +5.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:13: Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 75 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +5.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:04: Jonathan Taylor run for 21 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +6.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:20: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 12 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +3.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WIS 4th & 1 at NEB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08WIS 4th & 7 at NEB 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:08NEB 4th & 13 at NEB 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:43WIS 4th & 8 at NEB 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:26NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 27, down 3
    Close callPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:58WIS 4th & 7 at NEB 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:55NEB 4th & 6 at WIS 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:18NEB 4th & 11 at WIS 37, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:30NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:13WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00NEB 4th & 21 at NEB 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−1.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:16NEB 4th & 10 at WIS 32, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:18WIS 4th & 2 at NEB 44, up 17
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 6:51WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:42WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:13NEB Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:04WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:50WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:20NEB Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:50WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:11NEB Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 7:5289% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
89.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 8 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
89.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+6
89.4%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.4%
Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
89.4%
Aron Cruickshank run for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
89.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 4 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+3
89.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
89.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
89.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+15
89.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
89.4%
Alec Ingold run for 3 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
89.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
89.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
87.6%
Rafael Gaglianone 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 12 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
87.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Matt Farniok) to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+1
87.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+6
87.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 6 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
87.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack Stoll, broken up by Scott NelsonSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 8
OWN 39
-5
87.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 13
OWN 34
+15
87.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 36 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 15 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
87.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
87.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+14
87.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 14 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
87.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
87.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
87.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson, broken up by Antonio ReedSimilar
Q1 5:43
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
87.1%
Anthony Lotti punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
86.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-1
86.3%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
86.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:1286% → 87%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
50
+4
86.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+14
86.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 14 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
86.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+4
86.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+15
85.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 15 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
86.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
86.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Neb 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
85.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor, broken up by Aaron WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+28
86.6%
Rafael Gaglianone 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 3:0314% → 17%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
85.8%
Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, personal foul (Ryan Connelly) to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
85.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 9 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+10
84.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 10 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
84.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-10
84.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, QB hurry by Van Ginkel, A., PENALTY NEB holding (Matt Farniok) 10 yards to the WIS47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+4
85.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 4 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+25
85.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 25 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
84.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
84.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 4 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
84.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
83.0%
Barret Pickering 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:5584% → 88%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
83.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 26 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
84.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+6
84.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
84.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 16 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
84.8%
Kendric Pryor run for 5 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8DOWNS
14 plays · 38 yds · 4:3313% → 13%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 12 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
86.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
86.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
86.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+10
86.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 10 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
86.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-7
85.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 3 yds to the Wisc 28 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (Jerald Foster) to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+5
86.4%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive offside (Zack Baun) to the Wisc 33Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-5
85.5%
Adrian Martinez sacked by T.J. Edwards for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 12
OPP 38
-15
86.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 20 yards to the WIS18, PENALTY NEB personal foul (Matt Farniok) 15 yards to the NEB47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 27
OWN 47
+16
87.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 16 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
86.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Maurice WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:3187% → 93%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
87.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+24
87.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 24 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
87.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 9 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+7
87.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
87.9%
Hornibrook, A. pass incomplete to Davis, Danny, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Lamar Jackson) 15 yards to the NEB8, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-6
87.9%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Luke Gifford for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
93.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 14 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:128% → 8%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 10 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
91.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 6 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
91.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
91.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
92.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
92.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:479% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
90.9%
Devine Ozigbo rush for 2 yards to the NEB27 (Edwards, T.J.), PENALTY NEB holding off-setting, PENALTY WIS personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.3%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
86.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 75 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:0288% → 95%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
87.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
88.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Alex Davis) to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
88.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
88.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+12
87.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
88.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
94.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 21 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.3%
Maurice Washington run for 11 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
92.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 24 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
92.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
92.5%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 41 Adrian Martinez fumbled, forced by Tyler Johnson, recovered by Wisc Olive SagapoluSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:5695% → 98%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
94.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
94.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+10
94.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-7
94.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Neb 29 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyle Penniston) to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 17
OPP 39
+19
94.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 19 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
97.8%
Taiwan Deal run for 20 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:303% → 6%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 27 Adrian Martinez fumbled, forced by Scott Nelson, recovered by NebSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
97.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
97.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+38
97.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 38 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
97.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Wisc 15Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+3
97.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
93.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 12 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
95.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
95.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+15
95.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 15 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor, broken up by Cam TaylorSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
95.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor, broken up by Mohamed BarrySimilar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+1
95.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 1 yd to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+3
95.1%
Connor Allen punt for 43 yds , JD Spielman returns for 3 yds to the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 1:335% → 4%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
95.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 15 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
95.3%
Maurice Washington run for 5 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 5
OPP 0
0
94.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to M. Washington for 33 yards to the WIS35 (Nelson, Scott), PENALTY NEB holding off-setting, PENALTY WIS personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+5
95.1%
Maurice Washington run for 5 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
95.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 14 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
95.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, PENALTY NEB holding (Tanner Farmer) 10 yards to the NEB41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
95.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+6
95.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 6 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 47
-7
95.8%
Adrian Martinez sacked by T.J. Edwards for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 40
0
96.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
1 play · 88 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+88
98.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 88 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 3:261% → 4%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
99.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 9 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+2
98.9%
Maurice Washington run for 2 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
98.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 18 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
98.9%
M. Washington rush for no gain to the NEB34 (Pfaff, David;Dixon, D'Cota), PENALTY NEB holding (Jaron Woodyard) 10 yards to the NEB24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+28
98.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 28 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
98.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Mike Williams for 11 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+30
98.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 30 yds to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
97.0%
Taiwan Deal run for 9 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
97.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 8 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
97.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
97.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
50
-10
97.2%
Deal, Taiwan rush for 23 yards to the NEB27 (Cam Taylor), PENALTY WIS holding (Biadasz, Tyler) 10 yards to the WIS40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+4
97.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+12
97.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 12 yds to the Neb 44 Garrett Groshek fumbled, forced by Dicaprio Bootle, recovered by Neb Khalil DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+14
97.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 14 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
97.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Mike Williams, PENALTY WIS holding (Burton, Donte) 10 yards to the WIS32, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by D'Cota DixonSimilar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
97.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
97.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 10
OPP 32
0
97.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Eric BurrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
98.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 16 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
98.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
98.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
98.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jack Dunn, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
98.1%
Connor Allen punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
98.0%
Andrew Bunch run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+18
98.1%
Andrew Bunch pass complete to Kurt Rafdal for 18 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.0%
Andrew Bunch pass complete to Bryan Reimers for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:04
Jonathan Taylor run for 21 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q3 14:13
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 75 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q2 0:42
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 14 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com