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PUR

Purdue 42 at Nebraska 28

NEB
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:37 · Caleb Lightbourn punt for 31 yds, downed at the Prdue 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense−0.9Score differential−0.3Pregame prior−10.0Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:25: David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 12 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +13.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:18: Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 21 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +14.3 pts (now 27%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:24: D.J. Knox run for 6 yds for a TD (David Blough pass to D.J. Knox for Two-Point Conversion) — PUR win probability +13.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:32: Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 21 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +11.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:04: Devine Ozigbo run for 23 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +11.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 7:57NEB 4th & 1 at PUR 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    44.1%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:40PUR 4th & 13 at NEB 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:37NEB 4th & 20 at NEB 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:44NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:00PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 38, up 10
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:57NEB 4th & 13 at NEB 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:28PUR 4th & 13 at NEB 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    64.0%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:36NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:30PUR 4th & 2 at NEB 8, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:22PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 47, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:15NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 22, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:56PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:50PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:49NEB 4th & 5 at PUR 32, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%−0.5
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−1.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:11PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:59NEB 4th & 2 at PUR 34, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−0.3
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:28PUR 4th & 6 at NEB 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:20NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:57PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:51PUR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:25PUR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:18NEB Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:24PUR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:32NEB Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:56PUR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:04NEB Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4038% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
37.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 15 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
37.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+10
37.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 10 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
37.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+3
37.9%
JD Spielman run for 3 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+8
37.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
37.9%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+13
37.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 13 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
37.9%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
41.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 18 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:1560% → 61%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
40.5%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
40.5%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+7
40.3%
D.J. Knox run for 7 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
40.2%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 15
OWN 40
-5
40.4%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 5 yards to the PUR45, PENALTY PUR ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the PUR35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+1
40.5%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 19
OWN 36
+22
40.5%
David Blough pass complete to Alexander Horvath for 22 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
39.5%
D.J. Knox run for 42 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+21
40.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
50
0
41.1%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
50
+5
41.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Greg Bell for 5 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
41.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
40.6%
Greg Bell run for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4FG
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:5960% → 59%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+48
40.3%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 48 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
39.6%
Rondale Moore run for 4 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-7
39.6%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 14Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 13
OPP 14
0
40.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+31
40.7%
Spencer Evans 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
40.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 11 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
40.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
40.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+11
39.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
40.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
50
+5
41.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-15
41.7%
JD Spielman rush over left end for 2 yards to the PUR43, PENALTY NEB personal foul (Jerald Foster) 15 yards to the NEB40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 20
OWN 40
0
40.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 20
OWN 40
0
40.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Devine Ozigbo, broken up by Lorenzo NealSimilar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
39.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 31 yds, downed at the Prdue 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:0159% → 66%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
40.6%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 3 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
40.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, broken up by Carlos DavisSimilar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+12
41.1%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 12 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
39.4%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
39.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac Zico, broken up by Carlos DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+14
39.7%
David Blough run for 14 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+25
39.2%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 25 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
38.7%
D.J. Knox run for 13 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.7%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.3%
David Blough run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
34.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
34.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
34.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+6
33.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds , Rondale Moore returns for 6 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
35.0%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
34.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
34.7%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for no gain to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+55
35.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 49 yds NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (6 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
32.9%
Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 8
OWN 9
-5
32.9%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Jacob Thieneman for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 13
OWN 4
0
32.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jaron WoodyardSimilar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 13
OWN 4
0
31.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 1:2966% → 68%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
33.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
33.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+10
34.1%
David Blough pass intercepted by Marquel Dismuke at the NEB40, Marquel Dismuke return to the PUR40, PENALTY NEB holding (Lamar Jackson) 10 yards to the NEB41, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
33.5%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 5 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-6
33.4%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 11
OPP 42
-2
30.8%
David Blough sacked by Ben Stille for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
32.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 32 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+35
31.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 35 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
33.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
32.8%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
32.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
31.5%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:5469% → 76%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
31.5%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-10
30.6%
Markell Jones rush over right tackle for 5 yards to the PUR31, PENALTY PUR holding (Matt McCann) 10 yards to the PUR16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
31.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Tre NealSimilar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+16
32.4%
David Blough run for 16 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
30.5%
Markell Jones run for 14 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
29.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+17
29.9%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 2 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
29.7%
David Blough pass complete to Alexander Horvath for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
29.4%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+15
29.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared Sparks, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Dicaprio Bootle) 15 yards to the NEB16, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
29.4%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+2
29.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
28.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+25
24.5%
Spencer Evans 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:2726% → 27%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
26.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 6 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+10
27.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
50
0
27.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
50
+13
27.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 13 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+54
27.0%
Barret Pickering 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:3875% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
24.6%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 19 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
23.3%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
23.3%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+2
23.7%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 2 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
23.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
25.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
25.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
25.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
25.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
24.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 29 yds, downed at the Prdue 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:4579% → 93%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
21.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell Jones, PENALTY NEB roughing passer (Khalil Davis) 15 yards to the NEB36, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
21.3%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+5
20.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 5 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
20.9%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+14
20.9%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 14 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
20.9%
David Blough run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
7.1%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 12 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:0213% → 27%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
12.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
13.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
13.0%
Devine Ozigbo rush up middle for 1 yard to the PUR41, PENALTY NEB holding (Jerald Foster) 10 yards to the NEB48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+7
12.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+8
12.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 8 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+16
12.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 16 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
27.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 21 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 2:4882% → 98%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
18.2%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 9 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+5
17.9%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+51
18.0%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 51 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
16.3%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 5 yards to the NEB20 (Mohamed Barry;Tre Neal), PENALTY PUR false start (D.J. Knox) 5 yards to the NEB30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 15
OPP 30
0
16.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared Sparks, broken up by Dicaprio BootleSimilar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+15
16.6%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 15 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
16.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
16.3%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 9 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
2.5%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds for a TD (David Blough pass to D.J. Knox for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 0:476% → 19%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+26
5.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 26 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
6.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Blackmon) 15 yards to the PUR28, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
6.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 17 yds to the Prdue 11 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 3
OPP 21
+21
18.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 21 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3688% → 98%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
12.0%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 40 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
10.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared Sparks, broken up by Dicaprio BootleSimilar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-10
10.9%
Markell Jones rush over left end for no gain to the NEB35, PENALTY PUR holding (Grant Hermanns) 10 yards to the NEB45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 20
OPP 45
0
11.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 20
OPP 45
+15
11.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, PENALTY NEB roughing passer (F. Akinmoladun) 15 yards to the NEB30, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
11.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry Wright, PENALTY NEB face mask (Eric Lee Jr.) 15 yards to the NEB15, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
10.7%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
10.7%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
1.9%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:524% → 16%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
4.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 6 yds to the Neb 31 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (Stanley Morgan Jr.) to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 14
OWN 21
+33
4.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 33 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
4.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 6 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-6
4.9%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
4.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 15 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
5.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+23
16.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 23 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
7.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 16 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
7.3%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-1
7.2%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
7.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
8.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 48 yds , JD Spielman returns for no gain to the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23INT
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
11.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 11 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
12.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian MartinezSimilar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+23
11.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 23 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
12.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
13.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 6 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
13.9%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Simeon Smiley return for 7 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
4.9%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
4.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared Sparks, broken up by Dicaprio BootleSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
5.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+34
5.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEBRASKA 17 PURDUE Penalty, illegal motion (Jarrett Burgess) to the Neb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
7.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+18
7.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 18 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
7.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jaron Woodyard for 10 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
8.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
8.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
8.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
8.3%
PURDUE Penalty, offside defense (Keiwan Jones) to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
9.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jaron WoodyardSimilar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
8.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
4.2%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
4.1%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
4.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+39
4.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 39 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the NEBRASKA 24 PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:294% → 4%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
4.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
3.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 13 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
3.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 21 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
4.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
4.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Kenneth MajorSimilar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
4.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
3.8%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Prdue 34 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 2:2498% → 99%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
1.9%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+2
1.7%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+14
1.7%
David Blough run for 14 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
1.5%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
1.5%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-2
1.6%
David Blough run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
1.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
1.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kurt Rafdal for 9 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+11
1.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 11 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:18
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 21 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)
+14.3
TD · Q3 8:25
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 12 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q3 3:24
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds for a TD (David Blough pass to D.J. Knox for Two-Point Conversion)
-13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com