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MINN

Minnesota 37 at Wisconsin 15

WIS
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:11 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:21: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +7.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:01: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — WIS win probability +10.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:47: Emmit Carpenter 23 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +8.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:02: Emmit Carpenter 42 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +15.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:56: Bryce Williams run for 23 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +5.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:41WIS 4th & 4 at MINN 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.4%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:37MINN 4th & 3 at WIS 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WIS 4th & 8 at MINN 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    73.8%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:27MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:16MINN 4th & 1 at WIS 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−1.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:21MINN 4th & 1 at WIS 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%−2.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−7.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:05WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WIS 4th & 3 at MINN 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%−2.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:47MINN 4th & 4 at WIS 5, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.2%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−10.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:02MINN 4th & 3 at WIS 24, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.1%−1.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−12.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 31, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:37MINN 4th & 5 at WIS 10, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−3.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:46MINN 4th & 4 at WIS 23, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 2:21MINN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:01WIS Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:56MINN Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:31MINN Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:12WIS Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
82.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 23 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
82.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
82.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
82.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mohamed Ibrahim, broken up by Zack BaunSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
82.3%
Jacob Herbers punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 6:2382% → 80%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
82.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
82.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
82.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+10
82.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
82.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+15
82.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
82.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
82.1%
Taiwan Deal run for no gain to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+10
82.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
82.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
82.1%
Taiwan Deal run for no gain to the Minn 13Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
82.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
80.4%
Rafael Gaglianone 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 5:0420% → 23%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
80.0%
Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+16
80.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 16 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
79.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Andrew Van GinkelSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
79.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
79.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
79.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 17 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
79.3%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+6
79.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+2
79.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 2 yds to the Wisc 15Similar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+34
77.0%
Emmit Carpenter 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:3777% → 77%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
77.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 13 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
78.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+7
77.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+7
77.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 7 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
77.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor, broken up by Chris WilliamsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
77.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
76.0%
Connor Allen punt for 39 yds, downed at the Minn 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-2
77.2%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Esezi Otomewo for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 44 Alex Hornibrook fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
75.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 7Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 7
-2
75.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 5 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
75.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Rachad WildgooseSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 10
OWN 5
0
76.1%
Jacob Herbers punt for 49 yds , Jack Dunn returns for no gain to the Minn 5 MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Blake Cashman) to the Minn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6INT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:2876% → 75%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
76.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-1
76.2%
Aron Cruickshank run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 38Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+10
75.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
76.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-10
76.3%
Taylor, Jonathan rush for 1 yard to the MINN22 (Huff, Jacob), PENALTY WIS holding (Biadasz, Tyler) 10 yards to the MINN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+7
75.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 7 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+25
75.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Coney Durr return for 25 yds to the Minn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 5:4630% → 39%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+28
70.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 28 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
69.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 6 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-2
69.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+5
70.1%
Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+3
69.4%
Seth Green run for 3 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
67.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+7
67.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Wisc 11Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
68.2%
Seth Green run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+10
60.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:1659% → 45%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
59.7%
Taylor, Jonathan rush for 11 yards to the WIS42 (Moore, Gary;Barber, Thomas), PENALTY WIS holding (Taylor, A.J.) 10 yards to the WIS21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
58.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 6 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
58.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+69
44.9%
Connor Allen punt for 42 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for 69 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 0:5945% → 58%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
45.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
46.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds Danny Davis III fumbled, forced by Kiondre Thomas, recovered by Wisc Jake Ferguson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
47.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
48.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 7 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+10
49.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
47.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson, broken up by Jacob HuffSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+15
47.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 15 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
57.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0053% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
52.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 8 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
53.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
53.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
55.3%
Alex Hornibrook run for no gain to the 50 yard line WISCONSIN Penalty, illegal forward pass (Alex Hornibrook) to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 45
0
53.4%
Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+11
52.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 11 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
53.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:0153% → 64%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
47.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
47.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+18
47.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 18 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
46.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+14
46.7%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Wildgoose, Rachad) 14 yards to the WIS11, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
46.7%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Daniel Faalele) to the Wisc 16Similar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+6
46.9%
Seth Green run for 6 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
46.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+5
44.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
36.2%
Emmit Carpenter 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0039% → 40%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+20
39.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 20 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
40.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+7
41.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 7 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
41.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Taiwan Deal for no gain to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
41.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III, broken up by Terell SmithSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
39.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Julian Huff return for no gain to the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:5271% → 87%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
28.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 8 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+4
28.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
28.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+1
28.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 35Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+4
28.7%
Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
28.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+2
28.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
28.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Rachad WildgooseSimilar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+42
12.8%
Emmit Carpenter 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0222% → 21%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
21.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
21.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
20.5%
Connor Allen punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16MISSED FG
17 plays · 55 yds · 9:1689% → 97%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
11.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 36Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
11.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
11.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 5 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
10.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
10.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
10.5%
Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
10.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+2
10.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+13
10.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 13 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
10.2%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+8
10.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
10.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Wisc 15Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
10.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Wisc 11Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+1
3.9%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
2.7%
Emmit Carpenter 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
5.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-4
6.3%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Carter Coughlin and Gary Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 23 Alex Hornibrook fumbled, recovered by Minn Thomas Barber , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
1 play · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
0.5%
Bryce Williams run for 23 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Tyler Johnson return for no gain to the Wisc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
0.5%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+1
0.5%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Wisc 24Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+1
0.5%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+4
0.6%
Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
0.5%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
0.2%
Bryce Williams run for 16 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
0.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 21 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
0.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+7
0.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 7 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
0.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 6 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+9
0.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
0.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
0.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Hornibrook pass to Adam Krumholz for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22Uncategorized
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 43Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-1
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 1:02
Emmit Carpenter 42 yd FG GOOD
-15.9
TD · Q2 0:01
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
+10.5
FG · Q3 7:47
Emmit Carpenter 23 yd FG GOOD
-8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com