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PUR

Purdue 10 at Minnesota 41

MINN
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFUMBLETDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:16 · Joe Schopper punt for 45 yds, downed at the Minn 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense−1.1Pregame prior−21.3Score differential−1.2Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:03: Seth Green pass complete to Jake Paulson for 11 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +7.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:40: Emmit Carpenter 27 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +0.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q3 14:10: David Blough run for a loss of 6 yards David Blough fumbled, recovered by Minn Blake Cashman , return for 40 yds (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +16.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:26: Seth Green run for 2 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +9.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:37: Bryce Williams run for 11 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +3.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 5PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 7:16MINN 4th & 2 at PUR 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:48PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:59PUR 4th & 6 at MINN 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:46MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:16PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:16MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:26PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:07PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.6%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:40MINN 4th & 3 at PUR 9, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%−0.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−6.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:09PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:15PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−2.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:35PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 41, down 24
    Close callPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:00PUR 4th & 1 at MINN 49, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00PUR 4th & 8 at MINN 45, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:26PUR 4th & 1 at MINN 24, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:03MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 32, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:10PUR 4th & 3 at MINN 45, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PUR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 9:03MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:26MINN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:37MINN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:09MINN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:28PUR Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 7:3923% → 28%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
23.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
23.8%
Seth Green run for 3 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
24.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 13 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
24.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Jake Paulson for 6 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
25.1%
Seth Green run for no gain to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
25.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 5 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
26.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 16 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
26.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 10 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
26.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
26.9%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+3
27.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 3 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+24
27.7%
Emmit Carpenter 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:1272% → 71%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
27.8%
D.J. Knox run for 9 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+4
27.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 4 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
28.1%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
28.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
28.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
29.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0528% → 28%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
28.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
28.3%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Antonio Blackmon return for no gain to the Minn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:3272% → 72%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
27.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 12 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
27.7%
Jared Sparks run for no gain to the Minn 26Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
27.9%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 5 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 5
OPP 21
-1
28.5%
David Blough sacked by Boye Mafe and Blake Cashman for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 22Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
28.3%
Spencer Evans 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0329% → 30%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
29.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 10 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
29.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
30.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-1
29.9%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
29.5%
Jacob Herbers punt for 41 yds, downed at the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0970% → 70%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
29.6%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 6 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-2
29.3%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+5
30.2%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 5 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
30.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 45 yds, downed at the Minn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4231% → 31%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
31.3%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
31.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
31.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Demetrius DouglasSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
30.6%
Jacob Herbers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3270% → 68%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
30.4%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
30.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
31.1%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
31.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:5732% → 44%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+33
32.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
50
+1
34.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
34.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+15
33.6%
PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
35.6%
Seth Green run for 11 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
36.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (10 Yards) to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
36.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
43.5%
Seth Green pass complete to Jake Paulson for 11 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3959% → 57%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.1%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
41.1%
David Blough pass complete to Alexander Horvath for 6 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
42.1%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
43.2%
David Blough run for no gain to the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:5847% → 50%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
47.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
47.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+15
46.9%
Tanner Morgan run for no gain to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
48.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-1
48.9%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Navon Mosley for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+5
48.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
49.6%
Emmit Carpenter 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:2450% → 46%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.1%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
49.4%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 9 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
50.0%
David Blough sacked by Coney Durr and Thomas Barber for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+10
53.0%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 10 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-2
51.2%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
53.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:5554% → 54%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
54.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
54.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
54.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
56.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
56.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 2
50
-10
55.7%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+6
54.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3645% → 30%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
54.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 14 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
53.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+40
70.2%
David Blough run for a loss of 6 yards David Blough fumbled, recovered by Minn Blake Cashman , return for 40 yds (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:3028% → 27%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
71.6%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 17 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
70.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
71.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
72.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
73.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16TD
6 plays · 89 yds · 2:3473% → 90%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+16
72.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 16 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+43
74.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 43 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
77.2%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+35
77.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 35 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
80.9%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.0%
Seth Green run for 2 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2511% → 9%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
89.1%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 3 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
89.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+5
89.8%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 5 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+40
90.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 45 yds, downed at the MINNESOTA 14 PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Minn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 3:3891% → 99%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
90.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.0%
Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
92.9%
Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
94.6%
Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+33
95.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 33 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
95.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
99.2%
Bryce Williams run for 11 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:282% → 0%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.5%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
98.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 15 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.2%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 6 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
99.2%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 3 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
99.2%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
99.4%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.4%
David Blough run for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-9
99.4%
David Blough sacked by Thomas Barber and Carter Coughlin for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+6
99.6%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
99.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 4:46100% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.5%
Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+30
99.6%
Bryce Williams run for 30 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+5
99.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
99.7%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 17Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
99.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:320% → 0%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
99.8%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
99.8%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
99.8%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Minn 24Similar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+15
99.8%
D.J. Knox run for 15 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Minn 9Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 26Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Jacob Herbers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23Uncategorized
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Tario Fuller run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Tario Fuller run for 6 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Tario Fuller run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 8
50
+3
99.9%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Alexander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Nick Sipe pass complete to Alexander Horvath for 3 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
100.0%
Alexander Horvath run for 14 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.9%
Alexander Horvath run for 8 yds to the Minn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q3 14:10
David Blough run for a loss of 6 yards David Blough fumbled, recovered by Minn Blake Cashman , return for 40 yds (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+16.5
TD · Q3 10:26
Seth Green run for 2 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q2 9:03
Seth Green pass complete to Jake Paulson for 11 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com