Try the model
MINN

Minnesota 28 at Nebraska 53

NEB
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:49 · Isaac Armstrong punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense+12.3Score differential+6.6Pregame prior+6.7Garbage-time factor+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:40: Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +9.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:52: Zack Annexstad pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 13 yds for a TD (M. Morse Run For Two-point Conversion) — MINN win probability +7.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:49: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +12.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:22: Seth Green run for 4 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +15.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:04: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 35 yds for a TD — NEB win probability +10.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MINN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 8:13MINN 4th & 24 at MINN 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:11NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 18, up 7
    Close callPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:20MINN 4th & 11 at NEB 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:19MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:31NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 11, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:49MINN 4th & 8 at NEB 42, down 21
    Close callPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:26MINN 4th & 2 at NEB 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−1.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:49NEB 4th & 13 at NEB 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−2.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:04MINN 4th & 1 at NEB 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−2.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−8.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00MINN 4th & 3 at NEB 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−8.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:53NEB 4th & 10 at MINN 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:53MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 13:04NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:25NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:40NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:58NEB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:52MINN Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:49MINN Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:22MINN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:19NEB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:14MINN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:57NEB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5664% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
64.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
64.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
64.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 3 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+10
64.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 10 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
64.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 7 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+40
64.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 40 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
15 plays · 24 yds · 4:5135% → 34%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
64.6%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
64.7%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 9 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
64.6%
Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
64.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
64.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
64.5%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
64.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+11
64.6%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 11 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
65.4%
Annexstad, Zack pass complete to Bateman, Rashod for 37 yards to the NEB0, clock 08:13, PENALTY MINN holding (Weyler, Jared) 10 yards to the NEB47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 20
OPP 47
0
65.7%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+1
65.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 19
OPP 46
-5
66.0%
Zack Annexstad sacked by Ben Stille for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 24
OWN 49
0
66.3%
Jacob Herbers punt for 42 yds, downed at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
66.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 4 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+3
66.3%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+2
66.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 2 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+7
65.8%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 46 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for 7 yds to the Minn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
66.3%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 17 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
65.8%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 1 yd to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
65.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+1
66.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-5
66.4%
MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
67.0%
Jacob Herbers punt for 31 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:1067% → 74%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
67.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 5 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+9
67.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
67.5%
Maurice Washington run for 17 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
73.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 59 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:1828% → 27%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+24
71.9%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 24 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
71.6%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
71.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
72.2%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Luke GiffordSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
72.6%
Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:0874% → 85%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
74.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
74.1%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+22
74.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 22 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
74.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 13 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
74.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 5
OPP 30
0
74.9%
Maurice Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
74.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 4 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
74.6%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
74.9%
Maurice Washington run for 20 yds to the Minn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2116% → 15%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.9%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
83.6%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 31Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
85.2%
Zack Annexstad run for no gain to the Minn 31Similar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
85.5%
Jacob Herbers punt for 58 yds, downed at the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
87.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
87.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Blake CashmanSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
87.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
87.1%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
85.5%
Zack Annexstad run for 2 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
85.7%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Seth GreenSimilar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
86.0%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
86.2%
Jacob Herbers punt for 32 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0088% → 89%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
88.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 12 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
88.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Jacob HuffSimilar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
88.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+12
88.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
88.7%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 37 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Minn Sam RennerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
86.5%
Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+1
85.8%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
86.4%
Seth Green run for no gain to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+1
86.6%
Seth Green run for 1 yd to the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:2591% → 97%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
91.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
91.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+53
91.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 53 yds to the Minn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
92.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Minn 9Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 0:592% → 10%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+17
97.8%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 17 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
97.6%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 44Similar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+15
97.8%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 15 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.6%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+28
97.6%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 28 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.2%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Demetrius Douglas, broken up by Aaron WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
97.3%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
90.1%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 13 yds for a TD (M. Morse Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15END OF HALF
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:3593% → 93%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
92.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Mike Williams for 7 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+5
93.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
93.1%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+12
93.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 12 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+26
92.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 26 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
93.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start ( Yards) to the Minn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:118% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+69
91.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 69 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
90.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
82.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 26 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (-5 Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
82.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
82.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
83.2%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Winston DeLattiboudere for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 29 NEBRASKA Penalty, intentional grounding (Adrian Martinez) to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+5
82.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 5 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 12
OWN 34
-1
82.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 13:49
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
81.2%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:4817% → 35%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
83.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Witham for 13 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for no gain to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
82.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+10
83.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 10 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
82.0%
Tanner Morgan run for 11 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
81.4%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Lamar Jackson) 8 yards to the NEB37, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+31
81.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Seth Green for 31 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
80.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
64.6%
Seth Green run for 4 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:1273% → 87%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
73.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 6 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+22
73.9%
Maurice Washington run for 22 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
75.6%
Maurice Washington run for 11 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
86.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 35 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20DOWNS
15 plays · 72 yds · 6:0414% → 11%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
85.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 26 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
83.8%
Tanner Morgan run for 7 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+8
83.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
82.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 2
OPP 26
-1
82.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
83.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+7
84.0%
Seth Green run for 7 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
82.5%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+8
82.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 8 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 6
OPP 0
+1
82.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 5 NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
82.5%
Green, Seth pass incomplete to Beebe, Colton, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Beebe, Colton) 15 yards to the NEB20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+3
83.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+14
84.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 14 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Dicaprio BootleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21FG
14 plays · 82 yds · 7:0393% → 96%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
92.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+4
92.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+1
92.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
92.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+14
92.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 14 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
92.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
93.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
93.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
93.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 6 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+37
93.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 37 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
93.4%
JD Spielman run for 2 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-2
93.4%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 15Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
93.2%
Maurice Washington run for no gain to the Minn 15Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
96.4%
Barret Pickering 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
95.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 6 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
95.5%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted, touchback. Dedrick Young II return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:3397% → 99%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.8%
Maurice Washington run for no gain to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
96.8%
Maurice Washington run for 13 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
99.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 67 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:011% → 3%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
99.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 20 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
99.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 15 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25TD
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:1699% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
98.5%
Maurice Washington run for 2 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
98.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Minn 30Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+15
98.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to M. Washington, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Smith, Terell) 15 yards to the MINN15, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
99.0%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+13
98.9%
Maurice Washington run for 13 yds to the Minn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 10 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Aaron WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.8%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 9 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 1
OWN 39
-10
99.8%
Femi-Cole, J rush up middle for 2 yards to the MINN41 (Mohamed Barry;F. Akinmoladun), PENALTY MINN holding (Schlueter, Sam) 10 yards to the MINN29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Jacob Herbers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:22
Seth Green run for 4 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q3 13:49
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
-12.7
TD · Q3 6:04
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 35 yds for a TD
+10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com