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MINN

Minnesota 14 at Ohio State 30

OSU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.5OSU 92.1%Blake Haubeil 27 Yd Field GoalAWAY 14 - HOME 23 · Q4 10:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:20 · Blake Haubeil 27 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior+13.4Home team on offense+18.1Garbage-time factor+9.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Score differential+2.3Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:44: Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Emmit Carpenter Kick) — MINN win probability +0.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:53: Mohamed Ibrahim 3 Yd Run (Emmit Carpenter Kick) — MINN win probability +2.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:59: K.J. Hill 36 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:10: Blake Haubeil 47 Yd Field Goal — OSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:15: K.J. Hill 27 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:03OSU 4th & 4 at MINN 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:27OSU 4th & 2 at MINN 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:36OSU 4th & 3 at MINN 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:31OSU 4th & 1 at MINN 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.9
    80% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:21MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:22OSU 4th & 8 at MINN 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:15MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 9, down 3
    Close callPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:10OSU 4th & 13 at MINN 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:06MINN 4th & 6 at OSU 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−8.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:20OSU 4th & 7 at MINN 9, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−7.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:20OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 21, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−2.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:46MINN 4th & 7 at OSU 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:44MINN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:07OSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:53MINN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:59OSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:15OSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.1%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 13 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
97.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 15 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
96.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
96.8%
Zack Annexstad pass intercepted Kendall Sheffield return for no gain to the OhSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 83 yds · 4:0297% → 96%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
96.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
96.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+11
96.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Austin Mack for 11 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
96.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
96.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 7 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
96.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Rashod Berry for 11 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Johnnie Dixon, broken up by Coney DurrSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+42
96.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 42 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
96.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Minn 5Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
96.4%
Dwayne Haskins run for 1 yd to the Minn 4 Dwayne Haskins fumbled, forced by Carter Coughlin, recovered by OhSt Dwayne HaskinsSimilar
Q1 9:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q1 9:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
96.3%
Blake Haubeil 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:134% → 6%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.2%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
96.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 32Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+25
96.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 25 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.8%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Isaiah PryorSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
95.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
95.7%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 2 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
95.6%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Bryce Williams for 14 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
95.5%
Seth Green run for 8 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+7
95.3%
Seth Green run for 7 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.2%
Seth Green run for 2 yds to the OhSt 1Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Emmit Carpenter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3295% → 95%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
94.7%
Mike Weber run for 8 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Royal Silver) to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
94.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 1 yd to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
94.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 7 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
94.5%
Dwayne Haskins run for no gain to the Minn 44Similar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+3
94.1%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
94.9%
Terry McLaurin 41 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:035% → 9%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
94.8%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 29 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.4%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Justin HilliardSimilar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
94.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
94.4%
Annexstad, Zack pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Wade, Shaun) 15 yards to the OHIOST31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
94.0%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 13 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
93.8%
Seth Green run for 1 yd to the OhSt 17Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
93.6%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+12
93.8%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds to the OhSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
93.4%
Seth Green run for 2 yds to the OhSt 3Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim 3 Yd Run (Emmit Carpenter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6DOWNS
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:1592% → 90%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+21
92.4%
Dwayne Haskins run for 6 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (Coney Durr) to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
92.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 10 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
92.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+8
91.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 8 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+6
91.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 6 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
91.9%
Haskins, Dwayne pass complete to Victor, Binjimen for 8 yards to the MINNESOTA18, PENALTY OHIOST ineligible downfield on pass (Prince, Isaiah) 5 yards to the MINNESOTA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 15
OPP 31
0
91.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 15
OPP 31
+7
91.3%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 7 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+7
90.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 7 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 1
OPP 17
-1
90.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:1211% → 13%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+34
89.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 34 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
87.9%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+21
87.4%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 21 yds Tyler Johnson fumbled, forced by Shaun Wade, recovered by OhSt Jeffrey OkudahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:0589% → 92%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
88.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 7 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+1
89.2%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+9
88.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Rashod Berry for 9 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
89.0%
Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
89.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 12 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
92.1%
K.J. Hill 36 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:259% → 9%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
91.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+4
91.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
91.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 27Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-1
90.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+7
90.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+43
90.7%
Jacob Herbers punt for 43 yds , K.J. Hill returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:1390% → 90%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
89.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 3 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+19
89.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 4 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
90.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 7 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+1
90.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 1 yd to the Minn 47Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+8
90.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
90.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Prince) to the Minn 44Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
90.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Parris Campbell, broken up by Jacob HuffSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:3089% → 87%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.9%
Dwayne Haskins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
89.7%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+20
88.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 20 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
89.8%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+1
88.4%
Dwayne Haskins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 19
OWN 42
+11
87.4%
Dwayne Haskins run for 11 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
87.2%
Drue Chrisman punt for 46 yds, downed at the Minn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5813% → 13%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
87.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 6Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
87.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 6Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+3
87.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 2
OWN 9
0
87.4%
Jacob Herbers punt for 44 yds , K.J. Hill returns for no gain to the OhSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:5588% → 88%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
87.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 7
50
+12
87.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 12 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
87.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
87.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 11 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
88.1%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Jerry Gibson for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
87.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to J.K. DobbinsSimilar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 13
OPP 30
0
86.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to C.J. SaundersSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+47
88.2%
Blake Haubeil 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14MISSED FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:5913% → 14%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.5%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 11 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
86.5%
Zack Annexstad sacked by Dre'Mont Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 29Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+18
87.1%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 18 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
84.7%
Ibrahim, Mohamed rush for 1 yard to the MINNESOTA48, PENALTY MINNESOTA illegal block (Paulson, Jake) 15 yards to the MINNESOTA32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 25
OWN 32
+1
86.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 24
OWN 33
+17
86.0%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 17 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 7
50
+20
83.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 20 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
84.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
84.0%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
83.6%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
84.9%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Justin HilliardSimilar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
86.4%
Emmit Carpenter 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:3489% → 92%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
89.4%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 15Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+2
89.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Mike Weber for 2 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+17
88.3%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Austin Mack for 17 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
89.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Prince) to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+2
89.0%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+22
88.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 22 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
90.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Luke Farrell for 24 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
91.4%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+9
92.3%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 9 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
92.1%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 7 yds to the Minn 5Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 3
OPP 5
-4
92.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 9Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
91.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to K.J. Hill, broken up by Thomas BarberSimilar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
92.1%
Blake Haubeil 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16INT
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:437% → 11%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
92.6%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Bryce Witham for 41 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
89.5%
Zack Annexstad pass intercepted Isaiah Pryor return for no gain to the OhSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0092% → 92%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+10
92.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 10 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
92.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 15 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 27Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-6
91.9%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 21Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 16
OWN 21
0
91.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to K.J. Hill, broken up by Blake CashmanSimilar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 16
OWN 21
+12
92.2%
Drue Chrisman punt for 46 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for 12 yds to the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18MISSED FG
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:229% → 6%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
91.4%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Bryce Witham for 21 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
90.1%
Zack Annexstad run for 3 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
92.5%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Jeffrey OkudahSimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
94.3%
Emmit Carpenter 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:2194% → 99%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
94.4%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
94.7%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
94.8%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
95.1%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+13
95.1%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Luke Farrell for 13 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
95.6%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+27
98.6%
K.J. Hill 27 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20END OF GAME
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:422% → 2%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
98.0%
Zack Annexstad sacked by Pete Werner for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 26Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
98.2%
Annexstad, Zack pass incomplete to Paulson, Jake, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Browning, Baron) 6 yards to the MINNESOTA32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
97.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
97.9%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete, broken up by Jashon CornellSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
97.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:59
K.J. Hill 36 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick)
+3.2
TD · Q4 2:15
K.J. Hill 27 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick)
+2.9
TD · Q2 11:53
Mohamed Ibrahim 3 Yd Run (Emmit Carpenter Kick)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com