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M-OH

Miami (OH) 3 at Minnesota 26

MINN
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:16 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. SAFETY · Q2 2:39: Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY — MINN win probability +2.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:14: Seth Green pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +6.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:21: Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson — MINN win probability +2.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:02: Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8 — MINN win probability +3.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:47: Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 5 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +3.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 14 at M-OH 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:59MINN 4th & 10 at M-OH 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:28MINN 4th & 1 at M-OH 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:07MINN 4th & 25 at M-OH 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:56M-OH 4th & 3 at MINN 19, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:56MINN 4th & 17 at M-OH 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MINN 4th & 14 at M-OH 47, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:56M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 43, down 16
    Close callPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:21MINN 4th & 12 at MINN 18, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:47M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 32, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:06MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 37, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:17M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 20, down 23
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:52MINN 4th & 28 at MINN 22, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:39M-OH 4th & 9 at MINN 44, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:19M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 29, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 1:14MINN Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:47MINN Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
83.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
83.3%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-5
83.3%
Gus Ragland sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
83.3%
Kyle Kramer punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:0183% → 82%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
82.9%
Bryce Williams run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
82.9%
Bryce Williams run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
83.0%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-2
83.0%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+1
82.6%
Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
82.4%
Emmit Carpenter 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 7:1183% → 83%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
83.2%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for no gain to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
83.2%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 11 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
83.2%
Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+2
83.3%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-13
83.3%
Zack Annexstad sacked by De'Andre Montgomery for a loss of 13 yards to the Minn 43Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 23
OWN 43
+2
83.2%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 21
OWN 45
+20
83.2%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 20 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
83.2%
Seth Green run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
83.3%
Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+2
83.3%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
83.3%
Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+9
83.3%
Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
83.3%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.7%
Maurice Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
82.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 3 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
82.6%
Gus Ragland run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
82.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+14
82.6%
Davion Johnson run for 14 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-8
82.1%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 40 Gus Ragland fumbled, recovered by Minn Antoine Winfield Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
83.6%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
83.6%
Bryce Williams run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
83.6%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
83.6%
Bryce Williams run for no gain to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
83.4%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 10
OPP 27
-15
83.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 25
OPP 42
0
82.7%
Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds, downed at the MiaOh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+17
82.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.8%
Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
82.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+18
83.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 18 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
82.5%
Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
82.5%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
82.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+31
83.1%
Kyle Kramer punt for 39 yds , Antoine Winfield Jr. returns for 31 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 4:0318% → 19%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
82.5%
Davion Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+15
82.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 15 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
82.0%
Maurice Thomas run for 6 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
81.6%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
81.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 5 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
81.8%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to SORENSON, Jack, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Shenault, A) 15 yards to the MINN26, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
81.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 31Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+13
81.6%
Davion Johnson run for 13 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
81.2%
Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 1
OPP 17
-10
81.7%
SMITH, Alonzo rush for 2 yards to the MINN15 (Barber, Thomas), PENALTY MIAMI holding (GODLEVSKE, D.) 10 yards to the MINN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+8
82.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 8 yds to the Minn 19 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
80.7%
Samuel Sloman 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.2%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
82.2%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 27 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
83.3%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+10
83.2%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 10 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
83.4%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
83.4%
Zack Annexstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-4
82.9%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 12
OPP 35
-5
81.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
81.3%
Jacob Herbers punt for 38 yds, downed at the MiaOh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9SF
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:2319% → 16%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
81.5%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
81.7%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 10
OWN 2
-2
83.8%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:2583% → 92%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
83.4%
Zack Annexstad sacked by Doug Costin and Pasquale Calcagno for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-6
83.1%
Zack Annexstad sacked by Doug Costin for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 25 Zack Annexstad fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+35
83.5%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Bryce Williams for 35 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
85.3%
Annexstad, Zack pass incomplete to Bateman, Rashod, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (DANIELS, D.) 15 yards to the MIAMI25, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
85.8%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 18 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.9%
Seth Green pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 15 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
88.4%
Gus Ragland sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+16
89.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.8%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
90.1%
Bryce Williams run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
90.2%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
90.0%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
89.5%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
89.0%
Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds, downed at the MiaOh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
89.3%
Davion Johnson run for no gain to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+12
89.5%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to ROBINSON, Dom, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Smith, Terell) 12 yards to the MIAMI20, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
89.0%
Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
88.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+13
89.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 13 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.4%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
88.6%
Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
89.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 8 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
88.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.5%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
91.4%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 18Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
91.0%
Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
90.7%
Jacob Herbers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Luke Mayock at the MiaOh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+42
90.0%
Gus Ragland pass intercepted Antonio Shenault return for 42 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:1594% → 97%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
93.6%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
93.6%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
97.3%
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 5 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.0%
Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Antoine Winfield Jr. at the Minn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:5698% → 99%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
97.7%
Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+5
97.8%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
98.5%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+5
98.6%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-5
98.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 37Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
98.5%
Jacob Herbers punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Luke Mayock at the MiaOh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.2%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
98.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds Jack Sorenson fumbled, forced by Jacob Huff, recovered by Minn Esezi OtomewoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
98.9%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
98.9%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+9
99.0%
Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.0%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Brad Koenig return for 6 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson, broken up by Jacob HuffSimilar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
98.5%
Davion Johnson run for no gain to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+9
98.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 9 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Antoine Winfield Jr. at the Minn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -18 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.2%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-4
99.2%
Tanner Morgan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 18 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Bryce WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 32
OWN 18
+4
98.8%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 28
OWN 22
0
98.8%
Jacob Herbers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Luke Mayock at the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.8%
Davion Johnson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
98.8%
Alex Malzone pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+15
98.8%
Davion Johnson run for 15 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.8%
Alex Malzone pass incomplete to Quentin HardySimilar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
98.8%
Davion Johnson run for 1 yd to the Minn 44Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Alex Malzone pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Antoine Winfield Jr. at the Minn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24FUMBLE
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:1999% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.4%
Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+3
99.3%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+4
99.3%
Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
99.4%
Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-1
99.4%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+5
99.4%
Seth Green run for 5 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.4%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Bateman, Rashod, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (KOIKOI, Allan) 15 yards to the MIAMI46, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.7%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+28
99.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 28 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Doug CostinSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-3
99.7%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 22 Bryce Williams fumbled, forced by Doug Costin, recovered by MiaOh Myles ReidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.5%
Zach Kahn run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+1
99.4%
Zach Kahn run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+2
99.4%
Zach Kahn run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
99.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 64 yds, downed at the Minn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:14
Seth Green pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q3 5:47
Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 5 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+3.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:02
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com