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WVU

West Virginia 41 at Oklahoma State 45

OKST
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:13 · Matt Hockett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Home team on offense−16.9Pregame prior−4.5Score differential−7.0Garbage-time factor−6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:25: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +8.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:49: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +26.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 7:37: Will Grier run for 6 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +13.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:47: Taylor Cornelius run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +26.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:42: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +60.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 9:58OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:41WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:55WVU 4th & 3 at OKST 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:10WVU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:57WVU 4th & 1 at OKST 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.7%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−2.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−7.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:27OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:58WVU 4th & 8 at OKST 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:10OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−2.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:03OKST 4th & 3 at WVU 3, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.8%−1.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−11.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:13WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56WVU 4th & 9 at OKST 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−7.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:13OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:50WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−2.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:37WVU 4th & 6 at OKST 6, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.3%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    47.4%−19.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:38WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:44WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:14OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:01WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:55WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:11OKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:17WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:25OKST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:49OKST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:37WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:47OKST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:42OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0668% → 68%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
31.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
31.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 16 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
31.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 20 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
32.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+10
32.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 10 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
32.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
32.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+13
32.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
32.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
31.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3732% → 32%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
32.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
31.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 6 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
32.1%
Matt Hockett punt for 34 yds, downed at the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0968% → 68%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
32.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for no gain to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
32.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
32.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Martell PettawaySimilar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
32.2%
TEAM punt for 26 yds, downed at the OKSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:5633% → 33%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
32.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 17 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
33.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
33.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
32.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
32.9%
Matt Hockett punt for 29 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1268% → 67%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
32.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Jovani HaskinsSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-4
32.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the WVirg 4Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+5
32.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
32.5%
Will Grier run for no gain to the WVirg 9Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
32.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:5633% → 38%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
33.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 15 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
33.3%
Taylor Cornelius run for 8 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
33.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
33.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+14
33.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 14 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
34.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 6 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
37.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:0464% → 69%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
35.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+34
35.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Martell Pettaway for 34 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
34.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 14 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
31.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:1733% → 32%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
32.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 13 yds Tylan Wallace fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:0569% → 74%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
31.1%
Will Grier sacked by Justin Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 41Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+9
31.0%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-1
31.0%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+7
31.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 7 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
30.7%
Will Grier run for 3 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
30.7%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+22
26.2%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 22 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:1928% → 35%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
28.4%
Taylor Cornelius run for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+12
28.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 12 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
28.4%
LD Brown run for 8 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+14
28.7%
LD Brown run for 14 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
34.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Logan Carter for 20 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:0068% → 68%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
31.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
31.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+6
31.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 6 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
30.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Matt Jones) to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+6
31.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 6 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
30.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 5
50
0
30.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 5
50
0
31.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 42 yds, downed at the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:2332% → 32%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
32.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 8 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 2
OWN 16
0
32.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+3
31.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
32.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+14
32.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 14 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
32.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-2
33.3%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Jovanni Stewart for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+11
31.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted Toyous Avery Jr. return for 11 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3370% → 70%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
30.1%
Will Grier run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+9
29.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 9 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
28.8%
Will Grier sacked by Justin Phillips for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 20
OPP 34
+19
29.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 19 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+1
29.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
28.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
28.6%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+5
29.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 5 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
29.8%
Will Grier run for no gain to the OKSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2331% → 30%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
31.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 5Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
31.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 5Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
30.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 10
OWN 5
0
29.6%
Matt Hockett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2572% → 71%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
27.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
27.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+2
28.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 2 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
29.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tyron Johnson at the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:3531% → 31%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
30.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
30.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Logan CarterSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 8
OWN 12
-3
30.9%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Keith Washington and Ezekiel Rose for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 9Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
31.1%
Matt Hockett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:4372% → 81%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
28.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+14
27.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 14 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
19.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 30 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:2922% → 24%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
22.4%
Taylor Cornelius run for 11 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
22.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
24.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted Keith Washington return for no gain to the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19END OF HALF
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:3579% → 86%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
20.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 11 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
19.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 5 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+22
18.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 22 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
18.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Jovani HaskinsSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
18.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+43
14.2%
Evan Staley 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:2518% → 29%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
18.1%
Taylor Cornelius run for 11 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
18.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
18.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 2
50
+10
18.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 10 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
19.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 14 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+23
19.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 23 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
19.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FUMBLE
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:2274% → 76%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
25.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
25.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 4 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
24.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
24.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 9 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-5
24.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Colton McKivitz) to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+41
24.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 41 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
23.6%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+7
23.5%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-8
24.3%
Will Grier run for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 17 Will Grier fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22FG
17 plays · 80 yds · 6:3224% → 30%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
24.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 13 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
24.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
25.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron Johnson, broken up by Josh NorwoodSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+7
24.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
25.8%
LD Brown run for 4 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
26.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 5 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
26.4%
LD Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+5
24.3%
Hubbard, Chuba rush for 2 yards to the WESTVIR45, PENALTY WESTVIR offside 5 yards to the WESTVIR42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+26
25.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 26 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
26.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+8
25.5%
Taylor Cornelius run for 8 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
25.5%
Cornelius, Taylor rush for 2 yards to the WESTVIR3, PENALTY OKLAST illegal formation 5 yards to the WESTVIR10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
25.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for no gain to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
25.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 8 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
23.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 3Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
29.9%
Matt Ammendola 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3276% → 76%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
24.0%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-1
23.7%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+5
25.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 5 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 3
OWN 36
-4
24.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 42 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 18 Dillon Stoner fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0479% → 80%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
20.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
20.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
21.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the OKSt 17Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
19.9%
Evan Staley 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:3219% → 19%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
18.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 15 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
20.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron Johnson, broken up by Josh NorwoodSimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
20.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
20.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
19.0%
Matt Hockett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1879% → 78%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
20.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
21.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
21.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
22.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:5320% → 45%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
20.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Keith WashingtonSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
19.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 12 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
21.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-15
21.4%
Hubbard, Chuba rush for loss of 1 yard to the WESTVIR41, PENALTY OKLAST illegal block (Jenkins, Teven) 15 yards to the OKLAST45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 20
OWN 45
0
18.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Keith WashingtonSimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 20
OWN 45
+38
17.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 38 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
22.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-3
21.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 13
OPP 20
+14
18.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 14 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
44.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 3:0368% → 89%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+43
31.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 43 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
27.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 7 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+8
25.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 8 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
24.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
24.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
25.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+15
29.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Devin Harper) to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
23.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 6Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
23.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the OKSt 6Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
24.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Tevin BushSimilar
Q4 7:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
11.0%
Will Grier run for 6 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 2:4812% → 39%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
11.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+22
11.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 22 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
12.6%
Taylor Cornelius run for 17 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
13.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+2
14.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
14.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+13
12.7%
Taylor Cornelius run for 13 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
12.8%
Taylor Cornelius run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 16Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+7
12.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
39.1%
Taylor Cornelius run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:5776% → 79%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
23.8%
Tevin Bush run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+22
23.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 22 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
19.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
18.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+4
19.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 6
OWN 49
-5
20.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (David Sills V) to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
21.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4833% → 95%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
32.5%
Taylor Cornelius run for 17 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
36.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+12
34.8%
Taylor Cornelius run for 12 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
33.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+23
30.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 23 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
34.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
94.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 32Uncategorized
8 plays · 61 yds · 0:3520% → 31%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.1%
Will Grier run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
78.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 11 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+33
77.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 33 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
67.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+14
69.4%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 14 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:42
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+60.7
TD · Q4 4:47
Taylor Cornelius run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+26.8
TD · Q4 10:49
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+26.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com