Try the model
YSU

Youngstown State 17 at West Virginia 52

WVU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadYSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreYSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:28 · Brady Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 1 Brady Watson fumbled, recovered by WVirg Brady Watson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:01: Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Miles Joiner for 4 yds for a TD (Zak Kennedy KICK) — YSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:00: Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 24 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:19: Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 33 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:29: Tevin McCaster run for 13 yds for a TD (Zak Kennedy KICK) — YSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:02: Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3YSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:41YSU 4th & 10 at YSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:23YSU 4th & 10 at YSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:54WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:12YSU 4th & 11 at YSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00YSU 4th & 23 at YSU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:29WVU 4th & 3 at YSU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:01YSU 4th & 27 at WVU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:32YSU 4th & 24 at YSU 40, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:37WVU 4th & 4 at YSU 14, up 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:37YSU 4th & 1 at YSU 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:48YSU 4th & 15 at WVU 45, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7YSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:50WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:52WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:01YSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:00WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:19WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:29YSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:02WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:20WVU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:37WVU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1INT
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:1298% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
98.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+11
98.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 11 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+4
98.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 4 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
98.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 8 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+4
98.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+15
98.2%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Simms, Marcus, PENALTY WVU holding (Washington, K.) 10 yards to the WVU28, NO PLAY, Sinkfield, Alec rush for 8 yards to the WVU36 (Latham, Will), PENALTY YSU personal foul (Gibson, Bryce) 15 yards to the YSU49, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
98.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the YngSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-4
98.2%
Will Grier sacked by Wesley Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+14
98.2%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 14 yds to the YngSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
98.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the YngSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
98.2%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
97.6%
Will Grier pass intercepted William Latham return for no gain to the YngSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
97.5%
Tevin McCaster run for 20 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.5%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-4
97.5%
Tevin McCaster run for a loss of 4 yards to the YngSt 39Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+4
97.5%
Tevin McCaster run for 4 yds to the YngSt 43Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+56
97.5%
Mark Schuler punt for 56 yds, downed at the WESTVIR 1 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 99 yds · 3:5197% → 97%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
97.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+4
97.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+20
97.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 20 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
97.2%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+13
97.2%
Leddie Brown run for 13 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
97.3%
Leddie Brown run for 13 yds to the YngSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
97.3%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the YngSt 36Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+14
97.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 14 yds to the YngSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
97.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 13 yds to the YngSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for 9 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:273% → 3%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.0%
Tevin McCaster run for 6 yds to the YngSt 31Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-6
96.9%
Montgomery VanGorder run for a loss of 6 yards to the YngSt 25Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.9%
Mark Schuler punt for 46 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 3 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:1897% → 97%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
96.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 11 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
96.9%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 11 yds to the YngSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
96.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the YngSt 41Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-5
96.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 46Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+19
96.9%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 19 yds David Sills V fumbled, forced by Bryce Gibson, recovered by WVirg David Sills V for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
97.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the YngSt 23Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-5
97.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+2
96.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the YngSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+13
96.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 13 yds to the YngSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
96.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the YngSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
96.7%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the YngSt 11Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
97.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 6TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:513% → 5%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incomplete to D Shackelford, broken up by Derrek Pitts Jr.Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.1%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Zach Farrar for 14 yds to the YngSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
97.0%
Christian Turner run for 20 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
96.9%
VanGorder, M. pass incomplete to Farrar, Zach, PENALTY WVU pass interference (Pitts, Derrek) 15 yards to the WVU26, 1ST DOWN YSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
96.8%
Montgomery VanGorder run for 7 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
96.8%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incomplete to Zach Farrar, broken up by Derrek Pitts Jr.Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+5
96.7%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Zach Farrar for 5 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
96.8%
Christian Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+14
96.8%
VanGorder, M. pass incomplete to Emans, Ryan, PENALTY WVU pass interference (Robinson, Kenny) 14 yards to the WVU2, 1ST DOWN YSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.7%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incomplete to Zach Farrar, broken up by Derrek Pitts Jr.Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
96.8%
Montgomery VanGorder run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 4 Montgomery VanGorder fumbled, recovered by YngSt Montgomery VanGorderSimilar
Q2 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.4%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Miles Joiner for 4 yds for a TD (Zak Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
95.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for 9 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+6
96.0%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
95.9%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
95.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus Simms, broken up by William LathamSimilar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
95.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 49 yds, downed at the YngSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
95.8%
Montgomery VanGorder run for 10 yds to the YngSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
95.6%
Tevin McCaster run for 5 yds to the YngSt 22Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
95.6%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 5
OWN 22
-5
95.7%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, false start (Christian Turner) to the YngSt 17Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+12
95.8%
Christian Turner run for 12 yds to the YngSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
95.5%
Montgomery VanGorder run for 11 yds to the YngSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
95.4%
Montgomery VanGorder run for 1 yd to the YngSt 41Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-2
95.5%
Tevin McCaster run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 39Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
95.6%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incomplete to Tevin McCaster, broken up by Dylan TonkerySimilar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+10
95.8%
Mark Schuler punt for 36 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 10 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3295% → 97%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
94.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 8 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+9
95.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 9 yds to the YngSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
95.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the YngSt 47Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
95.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the YngSt 44Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+11
95.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 11 yds to the YngSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
95.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 9 yds to the YngSt 24Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+24
96.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 24 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
96.5%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, delay of game (Montgomery VanGorder) to the YngSt 11Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+1
96.5%
Tevin McCaster run for 1 yd to the YngSt 12Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+7
96.5%
Tevin McCaster run for 7 yds to the YngSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.1%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incomplete to Zach Farrar, broken up by Josh NorwoodSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.1%
Montgomery VanGorder run for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 22 YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
96.2%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Christian Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the YngSt 17Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-5
96.3%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 12Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
96.3%
Mark Schuler punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:1196% → 99%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
96.4%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the YngSt 46Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-2
96.4%
Leddie Brown run for 8 yds to the YngSt 38 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the YngSt 48Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+15
96.4%
Leddie Brown run for 15 yds to the YngSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
98.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 33 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:502% → 5%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
Tevin McCaster run for 1 yd to the YngSt 26Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
98.3%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Zach Farrar for 15 yds Zach Farrar fumbled, forced by Josh Norwood, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
98.2%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Tevin McCaster for 8 yds to the YngSt 48Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+40
98.1%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Zach Farrar for 40 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
98.0%
Tevin McCaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
94.7%
Tevin McCaster run for 13 yds for a TD (Zak Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 82 yds · 5:2796% → 99%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
96.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 18 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Sills) to the WVirg 9Similar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+6
96.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 6 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+13
96.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 13 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
96.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 9 yds to the WVirg 37 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Trevon Wesco) to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 11
OWN 27
+6
96.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-3
96.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+31
95.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 31 yds to the YngSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
96.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-6
96.3%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the YngSt 35 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Chase Behrndt) to the YngSt 45Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+1
96.2%
Will Grier run for 1 yd to the YngSt 44 Will Grier fumbled, recovered by WVirg Will GrierSimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+12
96.1%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 12 yds to the YngSt 32Similar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+25
95.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 25 yds to the YngSt 7 for a 1ST down YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
96.4%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the YngSt 1Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Montgomery VanGorder pass intercepted Dravon Askew-Henry return for no gain to the YngSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:3099% → 100%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
98.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 26 yds to the YngSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 17FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:140% → 1%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder run for no gain to the YngSt 16Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
99.9%
VanGorder, M. pass incomplete to Mallory, K., PENALTY WVU pass interference (Robinson, Kenny) 11 yards to the YSU27, 1ST DOWN YSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Zach Farrar for 19 yds to the YngSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+43
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Zach Farrar for 43 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-15
99.8%
McCaster, Tevin rush for 3 yards to the WVU8 (Long Jr., David), PENALTY YSU illegal block (Durkin, Chris) 15 yards to the WVU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 25
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 25
OPP 26
-2
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 27
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incomplete to Zach FarrarSimilar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 27
OPP 28
+45
99.4%
Zak Kennedy 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:23100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 10 yds to the YngSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Dominique Maiden for 40 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
99.9%
Tevin McCaster run for 19 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
99.9%
Tevin McCaster run for 1 yd to the YngSt 45 YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the YngSt 45Similar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 19
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder run for 1 yd to the YngSt 46Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 18
OWN 46
-6
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 6 yards to the YngSt 40 Montgomery VanGorder fumbled, recovered by YngSt Montgomery VanGorder , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:32
3RD & 24
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incomplete to Natavious PayneSimilar
Q4 14:32
4TH & 24
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Mark Schuler punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings Jr. at the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+18
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for 18 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for 13 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jack Allison pass incomplete to Dominique MaidenSimilar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+23
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 23 yds to the YngSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the YngSt 18Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
Jack Allison pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 4 yds to the YngSt 14Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Jack Allison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Evan Staley 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 21PUNT
17 plays · 30 yds · 6:490% → 0%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Tevin McCaster run for 2 yds to the YngSt 27Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the YngSt 33Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the YngSt 34Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder run for 5 yds to the YngSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the YngSt 43Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Jake Cummings for 6 yds to the YngSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 9
50
+1
100.0%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Montgomery VanGorder pass complete to Jake Cummings for 9 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, false start (Josh Burgett) to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Montgomery VanGorder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+1
100.0%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 10
OPP 40
-5
100.0%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Mark Schuler punt for 44 yds, downed at the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
100.0%
Brady Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 1 Brady Watson fumbled, recovered by WVirg Brady WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:29
Tevin McCaster run for 13 yds for a TD (Zak Kennedy KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q3 12:19
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 33 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q3 4:02
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com