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WVU

West Virginia 42 at Texas Tech 34

TTU
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:07 · Billy Kinney punt for 54 yds , De'Quan Bowman returns for no gain to the TexTc 29 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Deamonte Lindsay) to the TexTc 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense−33.8Score differential−28.1Pregame prior−7.1Garbage-time factor−10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:08: Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +8.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:02: Jett Duffey pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +11.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:50: Jett Duffey run for 3 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +17.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:58: Jett Duffey pass intercepted for a TD Keith Washington return for 51 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +10.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:38: Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +8.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 7:09TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 29, down 14
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:58WVU 4th & 6 at TTU 37, up 14
    Close callPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%−0.4
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:58TTU 4th & 14 at TTU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:42TTU 4th & 1 at WVU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    24.8%−1.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:38TTU 4th & 7 at WVU 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−4.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:45WVU 4th & 4 at TTU 32, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−0.9
    51% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:16TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:06TTU 4th & 25 at TTU 41, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−4.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:07WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 17, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:31TTU 4th & 9 at WVU 41, down 25
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:55WVU 4th & 9 at TTU 36, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:00TTU 4th & 5 at WVU 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:37WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 48, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:44TTU 4th & 9 at WVU 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:31TTU 4th & 9 at WVU 9, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.9%−7.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:08WVU 4th & 21 at WVU 14, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−2.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:30WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 46, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:21WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:06WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:03WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:06TTU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:04WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:08WVU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:02TTU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:50TTU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:58WVU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:38TTU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.5 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%−2.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3466% → 66%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
34.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
34.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 6 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
34.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+43
34.6%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 43 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
34.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Josh Sills) to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+7
34.8%
Tevin Bush run for 7 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
34.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0234% → 35%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
34.4%
Demarcus Felton run for no gain to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
34.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 14 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
34.7%
Demarcus Felton run for no gain to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
34.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+13
34.5%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Kenny Robinson Jr. return for 13 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:5466% → 69%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
34.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 8 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
33.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
33.9%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Sills V, David, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding 10 yards to the TEXASTECH17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
33.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 6 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
33.7%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+7
33.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 7 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.3%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4832% → 32%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
32.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
32.1%
Demarcus Felton run for 6 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
32.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brandt SchillingSimilar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
32.0%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 45 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:0269% → 70%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
31.0%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Joseph Wallace) to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
30.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 12 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
30.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
30.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+9
30.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 9 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-5
30.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Yodny Cajuste) to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+10
30.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 25 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 12 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jeffery Pooler Jr.) to the TexTc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5232% → 31%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
31.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Terence Steele) to the TexTc 17Similar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 20
OWN 17
0
31.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+6
31.2%
Demarcus Felton run for 6 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 14
OWN 23
0
31.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 14
OWN 23
0
31.0%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings Jr. at the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:4470% → 76%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
30.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 9 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+14
29.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 14 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
23.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 45 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:5125% → 31%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
25.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
24.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 11 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
25.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 14 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
31.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 40 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5371% → 79%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
29.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
28.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
28.5%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
28.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 8 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+16
28.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 16 yds to the TEXASTECH 38 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Damarcus Fields) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
20.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 38 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:1722% → 25%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
22.4%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 6 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+27
22.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 12 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kenny Robinson Jr.) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
50
0
22.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
50
+6
22.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 6 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+3
22.3%
Demarcus Felton run for 3 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
21.9%
Demarcus Felton run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
22.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 21 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
21.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 2 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
21.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
21.4%
Alan Bowman run for 2 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
21.4%
Demarcus Felton run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
21.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Reese Donahue) to the WVirg 5Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
20.9%
Demarcus Felton run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
20.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Quan BowmanSimilar
Q2 9:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
24.5%
Clayton Hatfield 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:5080% → 82%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.9%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
19.7%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 18 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
18.7%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
19.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 5 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+10
19.4%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Sills V, David, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding 10 yards to the TEXASTECH38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
18.9%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
18.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+11
18.2%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 11 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 4
OPP 32
0
18.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2121% → 21%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
21.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Quan BowmanSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
21.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
20.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
20.8%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 39 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 3:5482% → 95%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
17.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+6
17.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
16.8%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
16.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 1
50
+7
16.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
16.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 11 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
15.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
13.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+12
14.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 12 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
13.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
13.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 3 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
5.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:475% → 4%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
4.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 17 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
4.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 2
50
+6
4.4%
Jett Duffey run for 6 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+57
4.1%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted Kenny Robinson Jr. return for 42 yds to the WVirg 2 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kenny Robinson Jr.) to the WVirg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
5.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:494% → 3%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.3%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
4.3%
Tre King run for 13 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
4.4%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
4.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 15 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
4.3%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Zach AustinSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-7
4.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 17
OWN 49
-8
3.4%
Jett Duffey sacked by Dylan Tonkery for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 25
OWN 41
0
2.8%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2796% → 96%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
3.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
3.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Josh Sills) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
4.0%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
4.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 54 yds , De'Quan Bowman returns for no gain to the TexTc 29 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Deamonte Lindsay) to the TexTc 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:203% → 3%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
3.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+11
3.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 11 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
2.9%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
2.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
2.7%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
2.6%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings Jr. at the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:2597% → 98%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
2.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 11 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
2.7%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 7 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
2.5%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
2.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 28 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
2.3%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
2.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
2.2%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+53
2.3%
Evan Staley 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:422% → 13%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
1.9%
Jett Duffey run for 9 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
2.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
1.8%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to High, Ja'Deion, PENALTY WESTVIR personal foul (Norwood, Josh) 15 yards to the WESTVIR38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
1.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-6
1.6%
Jett Duffey run for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+13
1.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 13 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+6
1.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 6 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
1.8%
Jett Duffey run for 12 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
1.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 5 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+8
1.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 8 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
1.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 2Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:1893% → 94%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
6.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 13 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
6.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
50
-3
6.0%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 13
OWN 47
-5
5.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Matt Jones) to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+6
5.6%
Will Grier run for 6 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
5.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
5.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:008% → 14%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
8.2%
Da'Leon Ward run for 11 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
8.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
8.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Zach AustinSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+31
8.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 31 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
9.2%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
8.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to De'Quan BowmanSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
8.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for no gain to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+27
7.1%
Jett Duffey run for 27 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
7.9%
Jett Duffey run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
7.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for 2 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
6.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q4 12:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
13.8%
Clayton Hatfield 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 2:1392% → 93%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
8.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
7.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-10
7.6%
Grier, Will pass complete to Jennings Jr., Gary for 10 yards to the WESTVIR42, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Sills, Josh) 10 yards to the WESTVIR22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-8
6.7%
Will Grier sacked by Dakota Allen and Jordyn Brooks for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
6.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds , De'Quan Bowman returns for no gain to the TexTc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:109% → 24%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
8.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+7
9.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
8.4%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+9
7.9%
Jett Duffey run for 9 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+35
7.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 35 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
24.1%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:1187% → 90%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Dominique Maiden for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
11.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-9
10.3%
Will Grier sacked by Eli Howard for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 19
OWN 29
-2
10.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 21
OWN 27
-5
11.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 26
OWN 22
+24
10.9%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 24 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
9.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 30 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26INT TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:2513% → 3%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
12.6%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the TexTc 24Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
12.1%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+17
11.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 17 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
13.9%
Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+51
3.2%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted for a TD Keith Washington return for 51 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27TD
12 plays · 42 yds · 2:123% → 11%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
3.4%
Jett Duffey run for 5 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
2.9%
Jett Duffey run for 7 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
3.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 7 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+1
3.3%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+4
2.8%
Da'Leon Ward run for 4 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
2.8%
Jett Duffey run for 5 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 5
OPP 13
-5
2.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
2.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+17
2.5%
Jett Duffey run for 17 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.3%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:50
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
+17.1
TD · Q3 3:02
Jett Duffey pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
+11.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com