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TTU

Texas Tech 41 at Oklahoma State 17

OKST
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-7.8OKST 9.6%Clayton Hatfield 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 34 - HOME 17 · Q3 1:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:25 · Clayton Hatfield 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+10.9Home team on offense−35.8Score differential−14.3Garbage-time factor−8.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:15: SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +9.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:40: Clayton Hatfield 31 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +9.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:57: Demarcus Felton run for 27 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +18.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:25: Clayton Hatfield 32 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +7.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:29: Demarcus Felton run for 17 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +4.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:58TTU 4th & 4 at OKST 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:00OKST 4th & 5 at TTU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:48OKST 4th & 1 at TTU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−1.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:15OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:40TTU 4th & 9 at OKST 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−6.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:59OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:29OKST 4th & 8 at TTU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−7.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:29TTU 4th & 20 at TTU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−5.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:25TTU 4th & 14 at OKST 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−4.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−12.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:31TTU 4th & 1 at OKST 14, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%−1.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−7.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:29OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 7:35OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:50TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:40OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:15TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:57TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:29TTU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
85.1%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
85.1%
J.D. King run for no gain to the OKSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
85.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+2
85.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 67 yds , De'Quan Bowman returns for 2 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
84.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
84.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 6 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+8
84.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 8 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
84.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+10
84.8%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to High, Ja'Deion, QB hurry by Phillips,Justin, PENALTY OSU holding (Green, A.J.) 10 yards to the TTU38, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
84.8%
KeSean Carter run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+6
84.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 6 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
84.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
84.8%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-15
84.8%
Bowman, Alan pass complete to Wesley, Antoine for 9 yards to the OSU37, out-of-bounds (Williams, R.), PENALTY TTU pass interference (Austin, Zach) 15 yards to the TTU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 19
OWN 39
+15
84.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 15 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
84.8%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 45 yds, downed at the OKSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 1:4784% → 85%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
83.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
83.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start ( Yards) to the OKSt 1Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+11
83.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
83.5%
Taylor Cornelius run for 14 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
83.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+35
83.5%
Justice Hill run for 35 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
83.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 11 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
84.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 5 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+23
84.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to J.D. King for 23 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:4516% → 19%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
84.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
84.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 3 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
84.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Quan Bowman, broken up by Rodarius WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+15
84.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 15 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
84.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 6 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+13
84.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Zach Austin for 13 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+26
84.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 26 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
83.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
81.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 12 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 2:5082% → 83%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
82.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jelani Woods for 19 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
82.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
82.5%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+26
82.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 26 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
83.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 9 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+14
82.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 14 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-5
83.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 23 Taylor Cornelius fumbled, recovered by OKSt Taylor CorneliusSimilar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+39
82.5%
Matt Ammendola 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0417% → 22%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.7%
Demarcus Felton run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+32
82.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 32 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
81.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 9 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+20
81.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Zach Austin for 20 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
81.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 7 yds to the OKSt 2Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:0879% → 78%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
78.8%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
78.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+22
78.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 22 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+31
79.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 31 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
80.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
80.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
80.0%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 1
OPP 21
-2
78.4%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
76.9%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Carter, KeSean, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Mwaniki, Thabo) 15 yards to the TTU38, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
75.9%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Jarrick Bernard return for 15 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:4778% → 82%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
78.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 22 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
79.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
79.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+18
78.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 18 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
82.2%
Justice Hill run for 13 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2519% → 31%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
81.3%
Demarcus Felton run for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+31
80.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Seth Collins for 31 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
79.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Zach Austin for 4 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-3
79.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Demarcus Felton for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
79.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
79.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 3 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+8
80.0%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Thompson, S., PENALTY OSU holding (Bundage, Calvin) 8 yards to the OSU8, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
79.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 1Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
73.9%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-8
75.0%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Jah'Shawn Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
73.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 8 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
73.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:2429% → 41%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
71.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+2
71.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+15
71.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 15 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
69.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Zach Austin for 14 yds to the OKLAST 44 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
69.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
68.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 7 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
68.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 16 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
68.5%
Alan Bowman run for 1 yd to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
68.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
69.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
59.1%
Clayton Hatfield 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
63.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 10 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
63.6%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
65.7%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
64.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-8
63.5%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Eli Howard for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14INT
10 plays · 70 yds · 0:0041% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
58.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 22 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
56.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 14 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
56.3%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+14
55.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 14 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
55.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Zach Austin for 3 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
55.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ja'Deion HighSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+8
56.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Seth Collins for 8 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
55.9%
Demarcus Felton run for 4 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
55.9%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted, touchback. A.J. Green return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0057% → 52%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
57.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron Johnson, broken up by John BonneySimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
55.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for no gain to the OKSt 20Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
52.2%
Zach Sinor punt for 42 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:5449% → 70%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
50.8%
Antoine Wesley run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+9
53.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Zach Austin for 9 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+8
50.7%
Demarcus Felton run for 8 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
49.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Zach AustinSimilar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+20
49.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Seth Collins for 20 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
48.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
30.2%
Demarcus Felton run for 27 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 1:2836% → 35%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
35.6%
Justice Hill run for 37 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
39.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 17 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
40.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskey, broken up by Vaughnte DorseySimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
40.3%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
39.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to J.D. King, broken up by Riko JeffersSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
35.1%
Matt Ammendola 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
29.9%
Demarcus Felton run for 9 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
29.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 5 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
29.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 32Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 12
OWN 32
0
30.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 12
OWN 32
-8
30.7%
Alan Bowman sacked by Mike Scott for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 20
OWN 24
0
31.5%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 37 yds , Tylan Wallace returns for no gain to the OKSt 41 Tylan Wallace fumbled, recovered by TexTc Riko JeffersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:2677% → 90%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
22.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 13 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
22.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Demarcus Felton for 9 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+10
22.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 10 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
22.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 8Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
22.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 6Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
17.4%
Alan Bowman sacked by Mike Scott for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 14Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
9.6%
Clayton Hatfield 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2523% → 19%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
22.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 14 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
23.2%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 29Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-2
22.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
22.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron Johnson, broken up by Adrian FryeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
18.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 46 yds, downed at the TexTc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21MISSED FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:1792% → 93%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
8.1%
Demarcus Felton run for no gain to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+21
8.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 21 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
7.4%
Demarcus Felton run for 4 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
7.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+24
7.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 24 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
6.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-11
6.4%
Alan Bowman sacked by Darrion Daniels for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 30 TEXAS TECH Penalty, intentional grounding (Alan Bowman) to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 17
OPP 30
+16
7.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 16 yds to the OKSt 14Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+37
6.6%
Clayton Hatfield 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
11.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
10.9%
Justice Hill run for 14 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
11.2%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 36 Team fumbled, recovered by OKSt Taylor Cornelius , return for 6 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
11.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron Johnson, broken up by Adrian FryeSimilar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
11.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted Adrian Frye return for no gain to the TexTc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 6:0193% → 99%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
6.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
6.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 7 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
6.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Zach Austin for 6 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
6.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 1
50
+3
5.4%
Demarcus Felton run for 3 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
5.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 18 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
5.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
5.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+7
5.4%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
0.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 17 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
1.1%
Hubbard, Chuba rush for 10 yards to the OSU45, out-of-bounds (Frye, Adrian), PENALTY OSU holding (Keyes, Marcus) 10 yards to the OSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+7
1.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
1.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
1.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
1.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 48 yds, downed at the TexTc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
0.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+14
1.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 14 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-2
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:57
Demarcus Felton run for 27 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
-18.3
FG · Q2 1:40
Clayton Hatfield 31 yd FG GOOD
-9.9
TD · Q2 7:15
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com