Try the model
LAM

Lamar 0 at Texas Tech 77

TTU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Jones AT&T Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:09 · Dominic Panazzolo punt for 47 yds, downed at the Lamar 2 TEXAS TECH Penalty, kick catching interference (De'Quan Bowman) to the Lamar 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+37.6Home team on offense+27.3Score differential+24.0Blowout margin+11.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.1Garbage-time factor+8.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:22: Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 11 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — LAM win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:07: SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:48: Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6LAM made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:50LAM 4th & 11 at LAM 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:22LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:16TTU 4th & 17 at TTU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:54LAM 4th & 23 at LAM 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:42LAM 4th & 14 at LAM 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:07LAM 4th & 2 at TTU 44, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:48LAM 4th & 8 at LAM 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:04LAM 4th & 12 at LAM 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:17TTU 4th & 1 at LAM 1, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00LAM 4th & 1 at LAM 45, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:09TTU 4th & 11 at LAM 49, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:21LAM 4th & 5 at LAM 37, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:03LAM 4th & 11 at TTU 37, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00LAM 4th & 1 at midfield, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:47LAM 4th & 8 at TTU 48, down 77
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:57TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 21, up 77
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 10:22TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:42TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:07TTU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:48TTU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:17TTU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:17TTU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:43TTU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:53TTU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:30TTU Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:43TTU Touchdown, up 69 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:47TTU Touchdown, up 76 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
99.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 2 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+3
99.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 3 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 44 yds, downed at the Lamar 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.6%
Myles Wanza run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 13Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
99.6%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
99.6%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
99.6%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.5%
Demarcus Felton run for 8 yds to the Lamar 43Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
99.5%
Demarcus Felton run for 4 yds to the Lamar 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 6 yds to the Lamar 33Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
99.5%
Demarcus Felton run for 3 yds to the Lamar 30Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+18
99.5%
Demarcus Felton run for 18 yds to the Lamar 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.5%
Demarcus Felton run for 1 yd to the Lamar 11Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
99.5%
Demarcus Felton run for no gain to the Lamar 11Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
99.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 11 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.4%
Myles Wanza run for 3 yds to the Lamar 24Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 44 yds, downed at the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 9 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 1
OWN 41
-10
99.4%
Felton, Dem. rush for 3 yards to the TTU44 (Randle, Rodney), PENALTY TTU holding (Steele, Terence) 10 yards to the TTU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+9
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
99.4%
Demarcus Felton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Quan BowmanSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Zach Austin for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 2
50
-15
99.4%
Bowman, Alan pass complete to Henry, Ta'Zhawn for 12 yards to the LU38 (Rios, Tyler), PENALTY TTU pass interference 15 yards to the TTU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 17
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ja'Deion HighSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 17
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lamar 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Myles Wanza for 11 yds to the Lamar 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Myles WanzaSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 24Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 12
OWN 24
-11
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. sacked by Tony Jones for a loss of 11 yards to the Lamar 13Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 23
OWN 13
+49
99.3%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 42 yds , De'Quan Bowman returns for 49 yds to the Lamar 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.4%
Demarcus Felton run for 6 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Myles Wanza run for 3 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Myles Wanza for 12 yds to the Lamar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Howard for 9 yds to the Lamar 49Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.3%
Derrion Randle run for 2 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
99.3%
Derrion Randle run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 11
50
-3
99.3%
Kirkland Banks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lamar 47Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Isaiah HowardSimilar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 14
OWN 47
+33
99.3%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 33 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TEXASTECH 20 TEXAS TECH Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:0099% → 99%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.2%
Demarcus Felton run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
99.2%
Demarcus Felton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.2%
Demarcus Felton run for 9 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.1%
Alan Bowman run for 2 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.1%
Demarcus Felton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+10
99.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Seth Collins for 10 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.2%
Alan Bowman run for no gain to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
99.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 10 yds to the Lamar 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+9
99.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds to the Lamar 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
99.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 22 yds to the Lamar 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Myles Wanza run for no gain to the Lamar 25Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete, broken up by Justus ParkerSimilar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.4%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 12 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.4%
Dewan Thompson run for 1 yd to the Lamar 38Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Isaiah Howard, broken up by Adrian FryeSimilar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+10
99.4%
Colbert, Darrel pass incomplete to Howard, Isaiah, PENALTY TTU holding (Frye, Adrian) 10 yards to the LU48, 1ST DOWN LU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.4%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Chaston Brooks, broken up by Desmon SmithSimilar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
99.4%
LAMAR Penalty, delay of game (Darrel Colbert Jr.) to the Lamar 43Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 15
OWN 43
-1
99.4%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Kirkland Banks for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 42Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 16
OWN 42
+14
99.4%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Derrion Randle for 14 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 31 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 3:5399% → 100%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
99.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+37
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 37 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
99.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+4
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 4 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+15
99.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 15 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 1 yd to the Lamar 36Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+12
99.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 12 yds to the Lamar 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
99.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 10 yds to the Lamar 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
99.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 12 yds to the Lamar 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 9 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lamar 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
A.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the Lamar 40Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 31 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Zach Austin for 5 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+66
99.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 66 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:130% → 0%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lamar 31 LAMAR Penalty, illegal forward pass (Darrel Colbert Jr.) to the Lamar 26Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Derrion Randle run for 2 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.8%
LAMAR Penalty, false start (Derrion Randle) to the Lamar 23Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lamar 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 3 yds to the Lamar 35Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+14
99.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 14 yds to the Lamar 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 9 yds to the Lamar 12Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+7
99.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 7 yds to the Lamar 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 1 yd to the Lamar 4Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 3 yds to the Lamar 1Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Alan Bowman run for no gain to the Lamar 1Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Demarcus Felton run for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
A.J. Walker run for no gain to the Lamar 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Derrion Randle run for 1 yd to the Lamar 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for 10 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.8%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Derrion Randle run for no gain to the Lamar 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+10
99.9%
Dewan Thompson run for 10 yds to the Lamar 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 45 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+25
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for 25 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 17 yds to the Lamar 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Lamar 47Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete, PENALTY TTU illegal touching (Rigdon, Dalton) 0 yards to the LU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-2
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 49Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 11
OPP 49
+32
99.9%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 47 yds, downed at the Lamar 2 TEXAS TECH Penalty, kick catching interference (De'Quan Bowman) to the Lamar 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Howard for 8 yds to the Lamar 25Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Dewan Thompson for 7 yds to the Lamar 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. sacked by Eli Howard for a loss of 4 yards to the Lamar 28Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to A.J. Walker for 9 yds to the Lamar 37Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 43 yds , De'Quan Bowman returns for 8 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted Garrison Mitchell return for 2 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Derrion Randle run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-3
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Dorian GastonSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass incomplete to Isaiah Howard, broken up by Damarcus FieldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 23 yds to the TEXASTECH 40 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (De'Quan Bowman) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
50
+13
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 13 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
99.9%
Duffey, Jett pass complete to Carter, KeSean for 37 yards to the LU0, PENALTY TTU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the LU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+17
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 17 yds to the Lamar 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 11 yds to the Lamar 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds to the Lamar 11Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
99.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the Lamar 11Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for 11 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 23INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
A.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the Lamar 27Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
99.9%
Kirkland Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 25Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass intercepted Vaughnte Dorsey return for no gain to the TexTc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 40Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+22
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 22 yds to the Lamar 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 10 yds to the Lamar 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 15 yds to the Lamar 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 11 yds to the Lamar 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the Lamar 2Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Lamar 1Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Henry, Ta'Zhawn rush for no gain to the LU1, PENALTY LU offside defense 0 yards to the LU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
A.J. Walker run for 3 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
100.0%
Dewan Thompson run for 13 yds to the Lamar 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
A.J. Walker run for 4 yds to the Lamar 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
A.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the Lamar 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Darrel Colbert Jr. pass complete to Dewan Thompson for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
50
0
100.0%
A.J. Walker run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for 5 yds to the Lamar 45Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+37
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for 37 yds to the Lamar 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-13
99.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 43 TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
100.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 21 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 27INT TD
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jordan Hoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Jordan Hoy run for 1 yd to the Lamar 26Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
100.0%
Hoy, Jordan pass incomplete to Banks, Kirkland, PENALTY TTU holding (Davis Jr., John) 10 yards to the LU36, 1ST DOWN LU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
Jordan Hoy run for 4 yds to the Lamar 40Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+48
100.0%
Jordan Hoy pass intercepted for a TD Adrian Frye return for 48 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 28FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Jordan Hoy run for 6 yds to the Lamar 31 Jordan Hoy fumbled, forced by Riko Jeffers, recovered by TexTc Nelson MbanasorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
100.0%
Colt Garrett run for 6 yds to the Lamar 25Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-13
100.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Lamar 23 TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Lamar 38Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 19
OPP 38
-10
100.0%
Garrett, Colt pass complete to Henry, Ta'Zhawn for no gain to the LU38, PENALTY TTU illegal block (Martin, Xavier) 10 yards to the LU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 29
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Lamar 44Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 25
OPP 44
+44
100.0%
Colt Garrett pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 44 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
50
+2
100.0%
A.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete, broken up by Tony JonesSimilar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Dewan ThompsonSimilar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Tyler Slaydon punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dalton Rigdon at the TexTc 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 31PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
100.0%
Mason Reed run for 5 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+3
100.0%
Mason Reed run for 3 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+3
100.0%
Colt Garrett run for 3 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
Mason Reed run for 5 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
Mason Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Mason Reed run for no gain to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rodney Randle Jr. at the Lamar 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 32INT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
100.0%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Dewan Thompson for 8 yds to the Lamar 42Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Derrion Randle run for 3 yds to the Lamar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
100.0%
Derrion Randle run for 6 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
100.0%
Derrion Randle run for 5 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
100.0%
Jordan Hoy run for 13 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
100.0%
A.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-3
100.0%
A.J. Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+9
100.0%
Jordan Hoy pass intercepted Adrian Frye return for 5 yds to the TexTc 27 TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal block (Kolin Hill) to the TexTc 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 33END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:07
SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 4:48
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 10:22
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 11 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com