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TEX

Texas 41 at Texas Tech 34

TTU
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-32.8TTU 8.0%Sam Ehlinger pass complete toLil'Jordan Humphrey for 29 yds for aTD (Cameron Dicker KICK)AWAY 41 - HOME 34 · Q4 0:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:21 · Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 29 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 197Home team on offense−33.0Pregame prior−0.1Score differential−3.2Garbage-time factor−13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:26: Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 57 yds for a TD TEXAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +11.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:26: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 39 yds for a TD TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +13.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:47: Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +18.2 pts (now 26%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:45: Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +37.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:21: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 29 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +32.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TTU 4th & 5 at TEX 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    46.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:48TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:40TEX 4th & 21 at TTU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:40TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:56TEX 4th & 4 at TTU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    47.5%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:46TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.6%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:17TEX 4th & 1 at TTU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    62.8%−3.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−12.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:57TEX 4th & 14 at TTU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−2.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−7.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:23TTU 4th & 18 at TEX 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:47TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:48TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:46TEX Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:16TEX Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:17TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:26TTU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:26TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:47TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−0.8
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:45TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−1.8
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:21TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:1233% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
33.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 17 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
33.0%
Da'Leon Ward run for 2 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
33.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 3 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
33.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+6
33.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 6 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
33.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 7 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
33.0%
Jett Duffey run for 6 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
33.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 12 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
33.0%
Duffey, Jett rush for no gain to the UT13 (Anthon Wheeler;Caden Sterns), PENALTY TTU holding (Steele, Terence) 10 yards to the UT23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+18
33.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 18 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
36.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 5 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
36.1%
TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the Texas 13Similar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
36.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+3
36.2%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+19
36.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 19 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Andrew BeckSimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
36.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for no gain to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
36.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
36.3%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 38 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3INT
13 plays · 72 yds · 5:1438% → 44%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.4%
Jett Duffey run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
38.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 7 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
38.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+6
38.3%
Da'Leon Ward run for 6 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+29
38.4%
Jett Duffey run for 29 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
39.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 9 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+4
39.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 4 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
39.0%
Da'Leon Ward run for 3 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
39.0%
Jett Duffey run for 6 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+8
38.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Mason Reed for 8 yds to the Texas 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
39.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 3Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
44.4%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted Davante Davis return for 3 yds to the Texas 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:1457% → 56%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
42.9%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+10
42.6%
Tre Watson run for 10 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
42.5%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Texas 21Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
42.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+40
43.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 40 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
41.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey, broken up by Adrian FryeSimilar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
41.2%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+15
41.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 15 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
40.6%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Broderick Washington Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 34
-10
43.6%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Nick McCann for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 30
OPP 44
+9
45.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 9 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 21
OPP 35
+52
43.7%
Cameron Dicker 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
42.6%
Seth Collins run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 21Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
42.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 6 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
41.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 22Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
41.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Seth Collins, broken up by Caden SternsSimilar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
41.4%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
19 plays · 60 yds · 8:1057% → 64%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
42.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
42.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
42.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
42.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+3
42.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
42.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey, broken up by Damarcus FieldsSimilar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+5
43.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 5 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
42.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
41.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
42.4%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
41.5%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+10
41.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+9
41.5%
Tre Watson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-15
41.5%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Jordyn Brooks for a loss of 15 yards to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 25
OPP 26
-8
42.3%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Kolin Hill for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 33
OPP 34
+21
43.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 7 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
41.5%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
41.5%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
36.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 9 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
40.0%
Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
40.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
39.0%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the TexTc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:5964% → 73%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
35.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 19 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
35.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+9
35.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 1:0928% → 37%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
28.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 13 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
28.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 6 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+8
29.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 8 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
30.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Seth Collins, broken up by Caden SternsSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
29.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 14 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
31.7%
Jett Duffey run for 9 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
31.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
30.3%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+41
36.8%
Clayton Hatfield 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
29.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
29.7%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Texas 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4371% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
29.4%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+21
29.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 21 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
27.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 17 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
27.2%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
27.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 12 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
27.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 9 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+7
27.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
27.1%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 1Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
27.1%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the TexTc 1Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
27.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the TexTc 1Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12FUMBLE
10 plays · 66 yds · 0:0019% → 22%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-6
19.0%
Jett Duffey sacked by Ta'Quon Graham and P.J. Locke III for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 9Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+15
18.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 15 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+4
19.1%
Tre King run for 4 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
19.3%
Tre King run for 6 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
19.8%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+1
19.8%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
20.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
50
+19
21.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 19 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
21.7%
Jett Duffey run for 12 yds to the Texas 19 Jett Duffey fumbled, forced by Davante Davis, recovered by Texas Davante DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:5986% → 91%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
14.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+12
14.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 12 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
13.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+18
13.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 18 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
13.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 3
OPP 37
-1
13.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+13
13.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 13 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
12.9%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Lonzell Gilmore and Jordyn Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 12
OPP 27
-10
13.2%
Sam Ehlinger rush for 11 yards to the TTU16 (Dorsey, V.), PENALTY UT holding (Calvin Anderson) 10 yards to the TTU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 22
OPP 37
+8
13.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 8 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 14
OPP 29
0
13.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod Heard, broken up by Douglas Coleman IIISimilar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+46
9.3%
Cameron Dicker 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:0013% → 15%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
12.8%
Da'Leon Ward run for 16 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
13.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 1 yd to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+13
13.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Tre King for 13 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
14.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 11 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
14.8%
Jett Duffey run for 7 yds to the Texas 16 Jett Duffey fumbled, forced by Kris Boyd, recovered by Texas Kris BoydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:2292% → 92%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
8.1%
TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kris Boyd) to the Texas 8Similar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+2
8.2%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+15
8.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jah'Shawn Johnson) to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
7.9%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
8.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Andrew BeckSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
8.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:339% → 20%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
8.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 7 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
9.1%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+57
20.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 57 yds for a TD TEXAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 3:0078% → 95%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
21.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+38
21.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 23 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Joseph Wallace) to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
19.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+7
18.7%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
5.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 39 yds for a TD TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:036% → 6%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
5.9%
Jett Duffey run for 5 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
5.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 18 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
6.3%
Jett Duffey run for 8 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+10
7.0%
Seth Collins run for 10 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
7.0%
Duffey, Jett rush for 7 yards to the UT18 (Anthon Wheeler), PENALTY TTU holding (Bruffy, Travis) 10 yards to the UT35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+14
6.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 14 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
7.0%
Jett Duffey run for 4 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+9
6.8%
Da'Leon Ward run for 9 yds to the Texas 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-9
7.0%
Jett Duffey sacked by Breckyn Hager and B.J. Foster for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
-1
6.6%
Jett Duffey sacked by Gary Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 18Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
0
6.1%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete Jett Duffey fumbled,Similar
Q4 6:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+36
6.2%
Clayton Hatfield 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 1:366% → 26%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
6.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
6.0%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
5.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 10
OWN 0
+15
5.2%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY UT pass interference (Anthony Cook) 15 yards to the UT46, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY, PENALTY UT offside defense declined.Similar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
6.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 14 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+24
7.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 24 yds to the Texas 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
7.6%
Jett Duffey run for 5 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
7.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
25.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.6%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
13.4%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
13.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+6
14.7%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 51 yds , De'Quan Bowman returns for 6 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:2421% → 62%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+47
20.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 47 yds to the TEXASTECH 30 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
28.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 12 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
28.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 15
OPP 23
0
26.3%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+14
24.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 14 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
61.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:2451% → 92%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
48.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 18 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
43.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 2 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+11
43.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 11 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
42.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
42.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 12 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
8.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 29 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:1312% → 11%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
11.8%
Jett Duffey sacked by Gary Johnson and Charles Omenihu for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 24Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
11.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 2 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
10.6%
McLane Carter pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 10 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:45
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
+37.4
TD · Q4 0:21
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 29 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-32.8
TD · Q4 4:47
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
+18.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com