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TEX

Texas 35 at Oklahoma State 38

OKST
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:58 · Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 10 yds to the Texas 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Home team on offense+5.9Pregame prior−2.0Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Time remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:17: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 36 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +14.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:15: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 22 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +18.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:47: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 10 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +21.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 5:44: Taylor Cornelius run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +17.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:46: Tre Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +28.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 6:43OKST 4th & 1 at TEX 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%−0.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:41TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:59OKST 4th & 3 at TEX 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.9%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:39TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:30OKST 4th & 21 at TEX 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:28TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:17OKST 4th & 17 at OKST 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−2.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:13TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:17OKST 4th & 1 at TEX 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−2.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:58TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:29OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:38TEX 4th & 20 at TEX 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−4.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:07OKST 4th & 11 at TEX 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−6.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:23OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%−3.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:58TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−3.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 13:12OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:58TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:43OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:00OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:48TEX Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:17OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:15TEX Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:47TEX Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:44OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:46TEX Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:1835% → 37%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
35.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
35.6%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+12
35.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 12 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
36.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 40 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:0264% → 64%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
36.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 11 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
36.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
36.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+15
37.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
37.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+2
37.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+14
38.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 14 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
37.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
36.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0237% → 42%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.2%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
37.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
37.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 18 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
37.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 3 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+27
38.0%
Justice Hill run for 27 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
38.8%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+6
38.9%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
38.9%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the Texas 16Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+16
41.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jelani Woods for 16 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:0259% → 57%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
41.3%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
41.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
41.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 15 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
41.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
41.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
42.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+9
42.6%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 40 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 1:3143% → 45%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
42.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 20 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
43.6%
Taylor Cornelius run for 6 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+14
43.8%
Justice Hill run for 14 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
44.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
44.3%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
44.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
44.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
44.5%
Matt Ammendola 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5656% → 54%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.5%
Lil'Jordan Humphrey run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
44.5%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
45.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
45.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 55 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 3 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:0045% → 47%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
45.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 16 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
45.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 21 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
46.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 9 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
47.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
47.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 20 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
48.2%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-1
48.8%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 9Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-15
48.4%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Gary Johnson for a loss of 15 yards to the Texas 24Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 21
OPP 24
+41
47.1%
Matt Ammendola 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4752% → 50%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
48.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
48.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
49.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
49.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:2149% → 68%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
49.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
50.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+27
49.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 27 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
51.4%
J.D. King run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+10
51.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 10 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+13
51.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 13 yds to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
52.3%
J.D. King run for no gain to the Texas 14Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
53.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 6 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q2 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.5%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5136% → 50%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
64.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 34 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
63.2%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+36
63.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 36 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:5854% → 55%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.6%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
54.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
56.1%
J.D. King run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-9
56.0%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Charles Omenihu for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+4
55.7%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+4
55.2%
Zach Sinor punt for 50 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 4 yds to the Texas 25 D'Shawn Jamison fumbled, recovered by Texas Collin JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5943% → 40%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
58.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
59.6%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 yds, downed at the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 2:4759% → 77%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
58.6%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
58.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+10
57.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 10 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
61.6%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-1
62.5%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
61.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 1
50
+5
60.9%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
65.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
65.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
64.9%
Taylor Cornelius run for no gain to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+36
76.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 36 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16END OF HALF
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:4726% → 28%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
73.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
73.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 9 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
74.4%
Devin Duvernay run for 10 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
72.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:4224% → 20%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
76.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 7 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+5
76.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Roach for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 24Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
77.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+14
79.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 14 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
77.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
78.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 2 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
79.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
80.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 3:2180% → 86%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
80.2%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-1
83.2%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+5
82.4%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
83.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for 5 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
84.2%
Taylor Cornelius run for 6 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
85.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+4
84.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 4 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
86.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 1 yd to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
86.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
86.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+16
85.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 38 yds , Brandon Jones returns for 16 yds to the Texas 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:4318% → 16%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
82.4%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 20
OWN 21
0
83.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 20
OWN 21
0
84.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 20
OWN 21
0
84.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 20
OWN 21
0
84.5%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:2287% → 88%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.1%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+49
88.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 49 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-7
89.0%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Anthony Wheeler for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 17
OPP 27
+6
89.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 6 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
89.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
88.3%
Matt Ammendola 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:4512% → 29%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
87.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 15 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
88.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+6
88.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+27
88.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 27 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
70.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 22 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:0878% → 78%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 6 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
78.9%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-15
78.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the OKSt 15Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
78.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for 9 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
78.2%
Zach Sinor punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 2:5422% → 45%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
78.1%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Texas 42Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+10
78.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
77.1%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+9
79.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 9 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+12
77.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
76.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
76.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 11 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
76.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 13 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
76.5%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 10Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
54.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 10 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0866% → 66%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.0%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
66.6%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
68.2%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-7
66.3%
Zach Sinor punt for 57 yds , Brandon Jones returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2036% → 32%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
64.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
64.9%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Texas 3Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 3
-1
67.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-1 Yards) to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
67.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+10
68.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 10 yds to the Texas 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:0774% → 91%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
74.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
74.2%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Texas 30Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+14
74.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 14 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
74.5%
Taylor Cornelius run for 15 yds to the Texas 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-7
74.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 10 Chuba Hubbard fumbled, recovered by OKSt Chuba Hubbard Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
76.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
91.4%
Taylor Cornelius run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 27TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:4410% → 38%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
88.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 5 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
89.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 6 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+9
88.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 9 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
88.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 6 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
88.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
89.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
91.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 7 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+4
90.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 4 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+24
90.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 24 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.6%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 1Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.1%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28Uncategorized
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:2588% → 93%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
88.2%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-2
88.4%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 41Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+8
89.9%
Taylor Cornelius run for 8 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
92.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:46
Tre Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-28.5
TD · Q4 11:47
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 10 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-21.6
TD · Q3 2:15
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 22 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com