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WVU

West Virginia 42 at Texas 41

TEX
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:44 · Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 29 yds to the Texas 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Home team on offense+0.8Pregame prior+1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:40: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 32 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +7.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 9:38: Cameron Dicker 38 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +13.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:40: Martell Pettaway run for 13 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +38.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:34: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 48 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +34.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:16: Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 33 yds for a TD Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 00:16 Timeout TEXAS, clock 00:16 (W. Grier Run For Two-point Conversion) — WVU win probability +74.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:03WVU 4th & 10 at TEX 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:33TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:18WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:59TEX 4th & 3 at WVU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%−1.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:09WVU 4th & 3 at TEX 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:53TEX 4th & 1 at WVU 5, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−4.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−14.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:44WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:55TEX 4th & 5 at WVU 5, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−13.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:00WVU 4th & 1 at TEX 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−3.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−13.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:38TEX 4th & 1 at WVU 21, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%−4.8
    74% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−18.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 4:36TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:08WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:50TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:49WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:04TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:36WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:40TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:40WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:34TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−1.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:16WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 3.6 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    37.4%−3.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 3:5247% → 47%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
53.1%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 5 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
53.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 8 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
53.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+11
53.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 11 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
53.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
53.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 6 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+7
53.1%
Leddie Brown run for 17 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (David Sills V) to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
53.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 5 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-5
53.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Hardy) to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
53.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 5 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-5
53.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Trevon Wesco) to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
53.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
53.2%
Evan Staley 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:1453% → 53%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
53.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
53.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
53.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
53.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-5
53.8%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Calvin Anderson) to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+2
53.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
52.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
52.7%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 48 yds , David Sills V returns for no gain to the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0347% → 46%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
53.3%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
53.3%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 14Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
53.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Dominique MaidenSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
53.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 39 yds, downed at the Texas 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:3454% → 57%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
53.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 7
50
+7
54.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
53.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
53.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 13 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
54.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 6 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
54.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Andrew BeckSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+23
53.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 23 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:2444% → 47%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
55.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
55.6%
Martell Pettaway run for 9 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 1
50
-5
54.7%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 5 yds to the 50 yard line WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (T.J. Simmons) to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+60
52.2%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 60 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 21
OWN 20
-10
53.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Yodny Cajuste) to the WVirg 10 Cajuste EjectedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:5954% → 58%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
54.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+12
54.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 12 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
57.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 21 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:5644% → 49%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
55.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 31 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gary Jennings Jr.) to the WVirg 21Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 14
OWN 21
+9
56.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 9 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
55.9%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 1 yd to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+37
56.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 37 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
54.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
54.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-5
55.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+15
56.1%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Simms, Marcus, PENALTY TEXAS horse collar tackle (Roach, Malcolm) 15 yards to the TEXAS22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
54.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
54.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
50.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 18 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2052% → 60%
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
52.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 13 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
53.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 6 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
54.1%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
53.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
50
+5
54.3%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
54.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-15
54.2%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Lil'Jordan Humphrey) to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+17
51.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 17 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+26
53.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 26 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
55.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Tre WatsonSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+12
55.4%
Tre Watson run for 12 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
60.0%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2243% → 51%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.5%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
57.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 8 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
56.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Martell PettawaySimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
56.6%
Martell Pettaway run for 9 yds to the WVirg 49 Martell Pettaway fumbled, forced by P.J. Locke III, recovered by WVirg Colton McKivitzSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
55.6%
Will Grier run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
50
-5
55.8%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Simmons, T.J., PENALTY WESTVIR ineligible downfield on pass (Wickline, Kelby) 5 yards to the WESTVIR45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+55
49.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 55 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5051% → 62%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
50.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
49.2%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Duvernay, Devin, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Askew-Henry, Dravon) 10 yards to the TEXAS35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
50.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 6 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
52.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
52.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 6 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
53.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 6 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
53.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 19 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-9
54.5%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 19
OPP 32
+32
62.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 32 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11FG
20 plays · 48 yds · 2:3041% → 43%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
59.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
59.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 15 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
59.9%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Gerald Wilbon) to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
57.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-1
56.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 48Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
59.0%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Haskins, Jovani, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Boyd, Kris) 4 yards to the TEXAS44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
58.7%
Will Grier run for 1 yd to the Texas 43Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
58.7%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 3 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 6
OPP 40
-5
58.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+11
63.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 11 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
59.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 7 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
59.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
59.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
57.0%
Evan Staley 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0161% → 61%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Daniel YoungSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
60.8%
Daniel Young run for 4 yds to the Texas 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13FUMBLE
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:0260% → 62%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
59.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 9 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
61.5%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
60.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
60.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 11 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
62.6%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
62.5%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
62.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 3 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+28
63.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 28 yds Lil'Jordan Humphrey fumbled, forced by Toyous Avery Jr., recovered by TexasSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
64.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
64.4%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+3
63.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 3 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
61.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the WVirg 5 Turnover on downs Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:5840% → 39%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
60.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+9
60.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 9 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
59.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 14 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
58.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
57.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-3
57.1%
Tevin Bush run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+29
61.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 29 yds to the Texas 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:4664% → 69%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
63.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+15
61.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 15 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
65.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
65.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+29
64.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 29 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
66.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 8 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
66.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 5Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
64.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Keaontay IngramSimilar
Q3 2:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
68.9%
Cameron Dicker 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:3837% → 39%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
62.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 11 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
61.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+25
59.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 25 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
56.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 9 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 1
OPP 20
-1
56.8%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
58.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
60.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 5:1769% → 85%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
68.7%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+24
69.2%
Tre Watson run for 14 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
72.3%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+7
73.1%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
73.7%
Tre Watson run for 12 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
74.1%
Watson, Tre rush for 12 yards to the WESTVIR18, PENALTY TEXAS holding (Vahe, Patrick) 10 yards to the WESTVIR40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+5
72.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
72.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for no gain to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+14
71.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 14 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+38
84.7%
Cameron Dicker 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5021% → 59%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
78.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 8 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
78.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+10
77.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 10 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
76.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 8 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
77.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+19
80.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 19 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
79.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+10
79.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 10 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
79.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
40.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 13 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:4856% → 94%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
56.0%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Texas 22Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+19
55.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 19 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
60.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+2
61.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
60.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 3 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
94.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 48 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0911% → 91%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
87.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 7 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
87.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
86.4%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 6 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
86.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Dominique Maiden for 9 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+5
83.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
9.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 33 yds for a TD Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 00:16 Timeout TEXAS, clock 00:16 (W. Grier Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21Uncategorized
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
24.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:16
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 33 yds for a TD Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 00:16 Timeout TEXAS, clock 00:16 (W. Grier Run For Two-point Conversion)
-74.6
TD · Q4 5:40
Martell Pettaway run for 13 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)
-38.8
TD · Q4 2:34
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 48 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+34
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com