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PITT

Pittsburgh 3 at Miami 24

MIA
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:52 · Kirk Christodoulou punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+9.0Home team on offense+10.0Score differential+3.4Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. PUNT · Q2 9:08: Kirk Christodoulou punt for 50 yds , DeeJay Dallas returns for 65 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK) — MIA win probability +7.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:27: Alex Kessman 40 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +4.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:49: Travis Homer run for 64 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK) — MIA win probability +10.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:22: Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 48 — PITT win probability +4.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:58: DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK) — MIA win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10PITT made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 14:06MIA 4th & 3 at MIA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:26PITT 4th & 13 at MIA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:17MIA 4th & 10 at PITT 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:38PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:36MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:35MIA 4th & 8 at PITT 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:32PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:54MIA 4th & 10 at PITT 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:08PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:21PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:44MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:06PITT 4th & 18 at PITT 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−2.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:44PITT 4th & 15 at MIA 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:18PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:17MIA 4th & 7 at MIA 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:52PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 35, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:29MIA 4th & 8 at MIA 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:27PITT 4th & 12 at MIA 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−7.1
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:21PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:10PITT 4th & 20 at PITT 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−2.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:35MIA 4th & 2 at PITT 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−1.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    91.9%−2.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:26PITT 4th & 3 at MIA 30, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.5
    average punt
  23. Q4 4:26MIA 4th & 1 at PITT 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.8
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:12PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 2:49MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:58MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5173% → 73%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
73.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 7 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q1 14:06
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
72.9%
Jack Spicer punt for 36 yds, downed at the Pitt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:1427% → 28%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+31
72.8%
Maurice Ffrench run for 31 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
72.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 3 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
72.4%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-6
72.3%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Joe Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 13
OPP 40
+22
72.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 37 yds, fair catch by DeeJay Dallas at the MiaFl 3 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Phil Campbell III) to the MiaFl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:0773% → 73%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
72.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jason Pinnock) to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
72.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+47
72.3%
Travis Homer run for 47 yds to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
72.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
72.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
72.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
72.6%
Bubba Baxa 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1828% → 28%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
72.5%
Darrin Hall run for 11 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
72.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 6 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
71.9%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-2
71.9%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 43Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
72.2%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 32 yds, fair catch by DeeJay Dallas at the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4472% → 71%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.0%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
72.0%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-4
71.6%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Oluwaseun Idowu for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
71.1%
Zach Feagles punt for 56 yds, downed at the Pitt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:2528% → 30%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
72.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 9 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+3
71.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
71.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 21 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
70.7%
V'Lique Carter run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+1
70.5%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 46 Darrin Hall fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Trajan BandySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:5372% → 71%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
72.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 11 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
72.3%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
72.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
72.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
71.0%
Zach Feagles punt for 36 yds, downed at the Pitt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:4728% → 28%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
71.7%
George Aston run for 5 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 5
OWN 10
0
71.7%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 10Similar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+12
72.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 12 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
71.3%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-9
70.8%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Shaquille Quarterman and Joe Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 19Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 13
OWN 19
0
71.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for no gain to the Pitt 19Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 13
OWN 19
0
72.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:2071% → 70%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
70.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Evidence Njoku for 11 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
71.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
71.1%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+9
70.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dane Jackson) to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
72.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
71.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
70.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
69.9%
Zach Feagles punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2729% → 22%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
71.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
70.6%
Kenny Pickett run for no gain to the Pitt 15Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
71.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 4
OWN 15
+65
78.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 50 yds , DeeJay Dallas returns for 65 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:3923% → 21%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
77.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
77.6%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Alex Bookser) to the Pitt 8Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 15
OWN 8
-4
78.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the Pitt 4Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 19
OWN 4
-1
78.1%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 3Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 20
OWN 3
+12
78.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 12 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
78.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 73 yds, downed at the MiaFl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3277% → 76%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
76.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
76.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+8
75.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 8 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.6%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
77.0%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
76.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
76.1%
Zach Feagles punt for 44 yds , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for 3 yds to the Pitt 28 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block (Colin Jonov) to the Pitt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:3422% → 20%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
77.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-11
78.5%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Gerald Willis III for a loss of 11 yards to the Pitt 10Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
78.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 18
OWN 10
+4
79.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 40 yds , DeeJay Dallas returns for 4 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
79.5%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the Pitt 44 Travis Homer fumbled, forced by Elias Reynolds, recovered by Pitt Damar HamlinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:5923% → 20%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
77.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 16 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
76.7%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-8
76.4%
Taysir Mack run for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 15
OPP 45
0
78.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
79.7%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 41 yds, downed at the MiaFl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
78.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the MiaFl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17FUMBLE
9 plays · 11 yds · 4:0721% → 18%
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
78.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-7
78.3%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 31 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Maurice Ffrench) to the Pitt 21Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+15
80.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 15 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
79.7%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-7
80.5%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Michael Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 19
OWN 27
-5
81.6%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 22Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 24
OWN 22
+13
81.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 13 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+2
82.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 33 yds , DeeJay Dallas returns for 2 yds to the MiaFl 34 DeeJay Dallas fumbled, recovered by MiaFl DeeJay DallasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3782% → 81%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
81.8%
Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
82.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
81.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 7
OWN 37
-2
80.8%
Jack Spicer punt for 35 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1919% → 18%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
81.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
81.6%
Kenny Pickett run for 9 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
81.0%
George Aston run for no gain to the Pitt 35Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
82.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0482% → 81%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
81.9%
Cam'Ron Davis run for no gain to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
82.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
82.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
81.3%
Zach Feagles punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:1819% → 22%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
81.2%
Darrin Hall run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+19
79.7%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the MIAMI 46 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Shaquille Quarterman) to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
79.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+10
79.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Sheldrick Redwine) to the MiaFl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
79.2%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
79.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 12
OPP 22
0
81.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+40
77.6%
Alex Kessman 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2181% → 91%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Travis Homer for 11 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
91.2%
Travis Homer run for 64 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2310% → 10%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.8%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
89.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
90.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0894% → 94%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
93.7%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
93.7%
Cam'Ron Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 45 Cam'Ron Davis fumbled, recovered by Pitt Shane RoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:1211% → 8%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
89.1%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-9
90.1%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Michael Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 16
OWN 39
-4
91.3%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Joe Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
91.7%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 46 yds, fair catch by DeeJay Dallas at the MiaFl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 26TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:5694% → 99%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+41
93.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for 41 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
94.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Darrell Langham for 4 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+2
94.4%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+2
94.5%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+28
94.2%
DeeJay Dallas run for 28 yds to the Pitt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
95.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd to the Pitt 3Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:081% → 1%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 21Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+42
98.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 42 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 1 yd to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+6
98.6%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
98.6%
Darrin Hall run for no gain to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+1
98.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 1 yd to the MiaFl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:3799% → 100%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.3%
Travis Homer run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+37
99.4%
Travis Homer run for 37 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.4%
Travis Homer run for 6 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+3
99.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for 3 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
99.5%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the Pitt 18Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
99.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Darrell LanghamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.3%
Jeff George pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 1 yd to the Pitt 19Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 19
-1
99.4%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 18Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Jeff George pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 49 yds, fair catch by DeeJay Dallas at the MiaFl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 30Uncategorized
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.7%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
Trayone Gray run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+20
99.8%
Trayone Gray run for 20 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
99.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
99.8%
TEAM run for no gain to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:49
Travis Homer run for 64 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)
+10.7
PUNT · Q2 9:08
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 50 yds , DeeJay Dallas returns for 65 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)
+7.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:22
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 48
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com