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WAKE

Wake Forest 59 at Duke 7

DUKE
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:31 · Dom Maggio punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Home team on offense−10.1Pregame prior+19.5Score differential−4.9Garbage-time factor−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:29: Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 9 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +12.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:10: Daniel Jones pass intercepted for a TD Nasir Greer return for 20 yds for a TD WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-89 Yards) to the WFrst 8 (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +13.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:10: WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 8 — WAKE win probability +7.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:54: Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +6.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:24: Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 9 yds for a TD DUKE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +5.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 10WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:04DUKE 4th & 13 at DUKE 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14WAKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:54DUKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00DUKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−1.0
    86% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:42WAKE 4th & 16 at WAKE 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:11DUKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:31WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:41DUKE 4th & 16 at DUKE 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:07WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 44, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:00DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:18WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:06DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00DUKE 4th & 15 at DUKE 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:48DUKE 4th & 8 at midfield, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00DUKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 46, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:49WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 25, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:11WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:02WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:29WAKE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:48DUKE Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:10WAKE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:24WAKE Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:15WAKE Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:20WAKE Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:4922% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
78.1%
Jamie Newman run for 4 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+10
78.1%
Cade Carney run for 10 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
78.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 27 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
78.1%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the Duke 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
78.1%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the Duke 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+9
78.1%
Cade Carney run for 9 yds to the Duke 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
78.1%
Greg Dortch run for 11 yds to the Duke 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
78.1%
Jamie Newman run for 7 yds to the Duke 5Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
76.4%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
76.6%
T.J. Rahming run for 8 yds to the Duke 35Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
76.7%
Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 38 Deon Jackson fumbled, forced by Cameron Glenn, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.6%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-3
76.6%
Daniel Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 35Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
76.5%
Daniel Jones run for no gain to the Duke 35 DUKE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+6
76.4%
Austin Parker punt for 45 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 6 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+34
75.5%
Cade Carney run for 34 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
75.2%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the Duke 39Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
75.2%
Jamie Newman run for no gain to the Duke 39Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-1
75.2%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 40Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
75.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 29 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
74.3%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 17 Deon Jackson fumbled, forced by Demetrius Kemp, recovered by WFrst Willie YarbarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:5827% → 30%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
73.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the Duke 16Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+1
73.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the Duke 15Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+15
70.3%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 15 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
71.4%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
71.4%
T.J. Rahming run for 2 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+9
71.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 9 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
71.9%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
71.8%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the Duke 41Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
71.6%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
71.4%
Austin Parker punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:5331% → 44%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
69.0%
Cade Carney run for 15 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.8%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
68.9%
Cade Carney run for 12 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
68.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 2 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
68.5%
Jamie Newman run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 7
50
+14
68.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 14 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
68.5%
Newman, J pass incomplete to Dortch, G, PENALTY DU holding (Carter II, M) 10 yards to the DU26, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
68.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the Duke 23Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
68.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 4 yds to the Duke 19Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+5
68.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 5 yds to the Duke 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
68.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the Duke 14Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
68.5%
Jamie Newman run for 5 yds to the Duke 9Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
55.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 9 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
15 plays · 83 yds · 3:3558% → 63%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
57.8%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 15 yds to the Duke 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
58.0%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
57.8%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Noah Gray for 14 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
59.0%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
58.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 8 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+11
59.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 11 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
56.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 14 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
57.1%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Noah Gray for 8 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
57.1%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Deon JacksonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
56.8%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+1
56.8%
Daniel Jones run for 1 yd to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
57.1%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel Helm, broken up by Justin StrnadSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
57.1%
Daniel Jones run for 5 yds to the WFrst 6Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
62.6%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 6 yds for a TD (Collin Wareham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
59.6%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
59.8%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 11
OWN 27
-5
60.2%
Jamie Newman sacked by Tre Hornbuckle for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 16
OWN 22
+15
60.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , T.J. Rahming returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
50
+5
60.0%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 5 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
60.1%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
59.9%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel Helm, broken up by DJ TaylorSimilar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
59.6%
Austin Parker punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
56.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 10Similar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+2
56.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+9
56.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 9 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-4
57.0%
Jamie Newman sacked by Tahj Rice for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 17Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
57.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
55.3%
DUKE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 26Similar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
54.9%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 15
OWN 26
-6
54.8%
Daniel Jones sacked by Willie Yarbary for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 20Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 21
OWN 20
+5
54.4%
Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
54.4%
Austin Parker punt for 40 yds, downed at the WFrst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3547% → 49%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
52.6%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
51.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 2 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
51.9%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
51.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 34 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
51.6%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 5 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
52.0%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
51.7%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
51.2%
Austin Parker punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
50.0%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
50.0%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
50.2%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
50.8%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for no gain to the Duke 35 DUKE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Duke 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+20
37.2%
Daniel Jones pass intercepted for a TD Nasir Greer return for 20 yds for a TD WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-89 Yards) to the WFrst 8 (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
30.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0043% → 38%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
42.5%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 27Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
41.5%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
37.9%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel HelmSimilar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
37.6%
Austin Parker punt for 43 yds, downed at the WFrst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 2:5270% → 85%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
29.6%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+1
29.7%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+11
30.4%
Jamie Newman run for 11 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
28.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 21 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
28.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 3 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
27.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 6 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
28.4%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the Duke 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
27.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 4 yds to the Duke 20Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+17
27.7%
Cade Carney run for 17 yds to the Duke 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
15.3%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the Duke 2Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
15.1%
Nick Sciba 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
17.0%
Jones, D pass incomplete to Rahming, T.J., PENALTY WF personal foul (Yarbary, W) 15 yards to the DU41, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
17.7%
Daniel Jones sacked by Willie Yarbary for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+1
16.5%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Duke 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 36
0
16.4%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
16.7%
Austin Parker punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:4885% → 92%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
15.0%
Cade Carney run for 10 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
14.5%
Jamie Newman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
14.6%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+30
15.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 30 yds to the Duke 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
13.9%
Jamie Newman run for no gain to the Duke 28Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
14.2%
Cade Carney run for 11 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
13.9%
Greg Dortch run for 4 yds to the Duke 13Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+7
13.9%
Cade Carney run for 7 yds to the Duke 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
7.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
11.8%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 5 yds to the Duke 19Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+2
11.8%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 2 yds to the Duke 21Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+7
12.0%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 7 yds to the Duke 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
11.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Jake Bobo for 20 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
12.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for no gain to the Duke 48Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
12.3%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 8
50
0
12.3%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 8
50
0
12.2%
Austin Parker punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:2892% → 99%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.2%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 20Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
8.3%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 6 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
8.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 5 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
8.3%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
8.1%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+48
7.1%
Cade Carney run for 48 yds to the Duke 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
7.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Duke 17Similar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+1
7.2%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the Duke 16Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+7
7.2%
Jamie Newman run for 7 yds to the Duke 9Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
1.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 9 yds for a TD DUKE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
1.0%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 11 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
1.0%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 5 yds to the Duke 41Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
0.9%
Deon Jackson run for 10 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
1.1%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete, broken up by Luke MastersonSimilar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
1.0%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
0.8%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
0.8%
Austin Parker punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
1.1%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
1.2%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-1
1.2%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
1.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 39 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.5%
T.J. Rahming run for no gain to the Duke 36Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
0.5%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 33 Brittain Brown fumbled, recovered by WFrst Mike AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 1:3599% → 100%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
0.6%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Duke 31Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+19
0.6%
Jamie Newman run for 19 yds to the Duke 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.4%
Cade Carney run for 12 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 28FUMBLE
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the Duke 26Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
0.3%
Mataeo Durant run for 9 yds to the Duke 35Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
0.4%
Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
0.4%
Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
0.3%
Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-4
0.4%
Quentin Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 45 Quentin Harris fumbled, recovered by WFrst Jake SimpsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 3:56100% → 100%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
0.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 12 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
0.3%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 4 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+1
0.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the Duke 28Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+12
0.3%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 12 yds to the Duke 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
0.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 5 yds to the Duke 11Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
0.2%
Kendall Hinton run for 11 yds for a TD (Zach Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 30Uncategorized
8 plays · 53 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
0.1%
Nicodem Pierre run for 3 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+34
0.1%
Nicodem Pierre run for 34 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
0.1%
Griffin Carter run for 7 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
0.1%
Griffin Carter run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+1
0.1%
Griffin Carter run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
0.1%
Griffin Carter run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+3
0.1%
Griffin Carter run for 3 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:10
Daniel Jones pass intercepted for a TD Nasir Greer return for 20 yds for a TD WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-89 Yards) to the WFrst 8 (Nick Sciba KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q1 1:29
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 9 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q2 4:10
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 8
-7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com