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PITT

Pittsburgh 34 at Wake Forest 13

WAKE
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:39 · Dom Maggio punt for 42 yds, downed at the Pitt 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Home team on offense+1.4Pregame prior−11.3Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:03: Darrin Hall run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman PAT BLOCKED) — PITT win probability +7.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:32: Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 28 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +13.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:03: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +14.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:14: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 63 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +15.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:27: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 23 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +14.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8PITT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:50WAKE 4th & 1 at PITT 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:50PITT 4th & 2 at PITT 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:47WAKE 4th & 14 at PITT 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:44PITT 4th & 3 at WAKE 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    58.7%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00PITT 4th & 7 at WAKE 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:39WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21PITT 4th & 23 at PITT 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−2.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:20PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:27WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:01PITT 4th & 1 at WAKE 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−4.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−2.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:03WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:30WAKE 4th & 2 at PITT 2, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−10.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:22WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q2 4:03PITT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:32WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:03PITT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:14PITT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:27PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.8
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:22PITT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
34.9%
Pickett, K. deep pass incomplete to Ffrench, M. (Taylor, J), QB hurry by Yarbary, W, PENALTY UP holding (Bookser, A.) 10 yards to the UP15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
34.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
34.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
34.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+11
34.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Tre Tipton for 11 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+1
34.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 44 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 1 yd to the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:3336% → 37%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
35.6%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 29Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+3
35.5%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+30
35.5%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 30 yds to the WAKEFOREST 38 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
35.7%
Cade Carney run for 14 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
35.8%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
35.8%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+7
35.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 7 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+32
37.1%
Nick Sciba 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.0%
Darrin Hall run for no gain to the Pitt 25Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.0%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
37.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 6 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+16
37.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 41 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 16 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
38.3%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+2
38.3%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+10
38.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 10 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
38.5%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 14
OPP 49
0
38.1%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage Surratt, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 14
OPP 49
0
37.8%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage Surratt, broken up by Oluwaseun IdowuSimilar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 14
OPP 49
+1
37.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 39 yds , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for 1 yd to the Pitt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 48 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
39.3%
Rafael Araujo-Lopes run for 11 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
39.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 3 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+15
39.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 15 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
38.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+11
38.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 11 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
38.4%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
38.4%
V'Lique Carter run for no gain to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+5
38.6%
Kenny Pickett run for 5 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
38.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Justin StrnadSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
42.0%
Jamie Newman pass intercepted Damar Hamlin return for no gain to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:3160% → 58%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
40.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jim Medure for 11 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
40.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
40.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Qadree Ollison, broken up by Cameron GlennSimilar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+2
40.4%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
41.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:1242% → 43%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
42.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 25 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
43.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
42.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+5
41.8%
Newman, J deep pass incomplete to Washington, S, PENALTY UP offside (Jones, P.) 5 yards to the WF49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-6
44.2%
Jamie Newman sacked by Cam Bright for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
42.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 42 yds, downed at the Pitt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9TD
17 plays · 85 yds · 8:4956% → 65%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
44.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jim Medure for 3 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
44.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+4
44.3%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
43.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 4 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-1
43.5%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 30 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Kenny PickettSimilar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+29
44.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 29 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
42.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 5 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-5
42.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Carson Van Lynn) to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
42.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 9 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
42.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
41.5%
V'Lique Carter run for 5 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-3
41.4%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-5
42.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Rafael Araujo-Lopes) to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+31
43.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 31 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
41.5%
Kenny Pickett run for no gain to the WFrst 2Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
35.3%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:3139% → 55%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.9%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
39.2%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
39.2%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
39.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 8 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+14
40.7%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 14 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
42.1%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
41.9%
Newman, J curl pass incomplete to Chapman, B (Briggs, D.), PENALTY UP pass interference (Briggs, D.) 4 yards to the UP39, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
42.1%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
42.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 11 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
55.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 28 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 0 yds · 1:1148% → 43%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
51.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 4 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
54.4%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
54.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-10
54.4%
Pickett, K. rush quarterback scramble for 13 yards to the WF49, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UP holding (Morrissey, J.) 10 yards to the UP28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 20
OWN 28
-14
56.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jimmy Morrissey) to the Pitt 14Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 34
OWN 14
-3
56.2%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Cameron Glenn and Carlos Basham Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 11Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 37
OWN 11
+14
57.3%
Darrin Hall run for 14 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 23
OWN 25
0
57.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 71 yds, downed at the WFrst 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
52.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
52.5%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
54.2%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
52.8%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage Surratt, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
51.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 34 yds, downed at the Pitt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-9
51.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 27 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive holding (Aaron Mathews) to the Pitt 17Similar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 19
OWN 17
+8
52.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 8 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
52.1%
Kenny Pickett run for no gain to the Pitt 25Similar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
53.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q3 14:20
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
54.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
53.1%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 9Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 15
OWN 9
0
52.6%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 15
OWN 9
+3
51.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 12
OWN 12
0
50.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 54 yds, downed at the Pitt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 6:5846% → 65%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
53.7%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 33Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+13
54.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 13 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-9
51.2%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Willie Yarbary for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 37Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+7
54.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 7 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+11
54.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Tre Tipton for 11 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
52.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
50.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+31
50.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 31 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
48.9%
George Aston run for 2 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
48.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the WFrst 4Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
40.6%
Jamie Newman sacked by Patrick Jones II for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 20Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
40.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 10 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
39.7%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Jack FreudenthalSimilar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
38.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3362% → 78%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
38.1%
Darrin Hall run for 12 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.8%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 37Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
37.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+63
21.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 63 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:4421% → 29%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.0%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
21.4%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Greg Dortch, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
20.0%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 9 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
21.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 21 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
24.2%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+7
23.9%
Cade Carney run for 7 yds to the Pitt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
25.4%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 6 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+14
25.4%
Cade Carney run for 14 yds to the Pitt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
25.4%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the Pitt 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
25.4%
Cade Carney run for 7 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
23.8%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 2Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
28.9%
Nick Sciba 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 5:0377% → 95%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
23.4%
V'Lique Carter run for 9 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+9
22.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 9 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
20.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
20.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+6
21.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
20.1%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+17
19.9%
V'Lique Carter run for 2 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Carlos Basham Jr.) to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
19.4%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
19.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-9
20.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 13 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive holding (Connor Dintino) to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+23
5.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 23 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21INT
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+30
6.9%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 30 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
8.0%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Alex Bachman, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+25
8.0%
Jamie Newman pass intercepted Jason Pinnock return for 25 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22TD
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:2495% → 99%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
5.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
5.0%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+17
5.1%
V'Lique Carter run for 17 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
5.0%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the WFrst 20Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
3.5%
Kenny Pickett run for 12 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
3.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
2.9%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 6Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.6%
Stefano Millin run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 5 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+7
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 7 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+2
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+6
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 6 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
0.4%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:14
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 63 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
-15.4
TD · Q4 7:27
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 23 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q3 4:03
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com