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UVA

Virginia 27 at Georgia Tech 30

GT
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDSAFETYTDTDFGTDTDFGFGFGFGFGEnd of GameFG-14.5GT 49.7%Brian Delaney 30 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 24 · Q4 4:31
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:31 · Brian Delaney 30 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 126Pregame prior+1.6Home team on offense−4.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Time remaining−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:30: Jerry Howard run for 3 yds for a TD (C. Lynch Run For Two-point Conversion) — GT win probability +26.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 4:31: Brian Delaney 30 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +14.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 1:04: Wesley Wells 48 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +27.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:01: Brian Delaney 32 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +36.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Wesley Wells 40 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +14.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:38GT 4th & 7 at UVA 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:49GT 4th & 8 at GT 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:51GT 4th & 5 at UVA 10, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−4.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:03GT 4th & 11 at GT 39, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:48UVA 4th & 12 at UVA 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−3.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:51GT 4th & 1 at UVA 19, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.3%−3.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−13.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:59UVA 4th & 15 at UVA 38, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−4.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:13GT 4th & 3 at GT 22, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−1.6
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:31UVA 4th & 1 at GT 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.7
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−18.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:04GT 4th & 7 at UVA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−2.8
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−11.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:49UVA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:37UVA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:03UVA Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:30GT Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:2271% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
71.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
71.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
71.2%
Nathan Cottrell run for 8 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+38
71.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 38 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
71.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Virg 10Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
71.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Virg 5Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 2
OPP 5
-5
71.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Zach Quinney) to the Virg 10Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
71.2%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jalen Camp, broken up by Brenton NelsonSimilar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
71.1%
Wesley Wells 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:4229% → 32%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
70.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
70.7%
Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
70.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 1
50
+10
70.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Evan Butts for 10 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
70.4%
Bryce Perkins run for 15 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
70.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+3
70.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the GTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
67.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 13 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.4%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
68.5%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
68.3%
Nathan Cottrell run for 9 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
68.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
68.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
68.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 57 yds, downed at the Virg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:5232% → 32%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
67.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the Virg 2Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 9
OWN 2
-2
68.3%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Brant Mitchell for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3628% → 34%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 26Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
71.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
72.0%
Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
71.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
70.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+56
65.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Joe Reed for 56 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:4667% → 69%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Zach Quinney) to the GTech 20Similar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
67.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
67.2%
Clinton Lynch run for no gain to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+33
66.4%
Qua Searcy run for 33 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
68.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the Virg 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+6
68.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+5
68.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
69.3%
Jerry Howard run for 7 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+2
69.0%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+5
68.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
69.0%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds to the Virg 11Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+4
69.0%
Nathan Cottrell run for 4 yds to the Virg 7Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-3
68.1%
Tobias Oliver run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 10Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
69.2%
Wesley Wells 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 5:4432% → 49%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
67.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 5 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+22
67.3%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
50
+3
65.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+11
65.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Evan Butts for 11 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
65.6%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 4 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+8
64.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 8 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
64.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+8
64.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 8 yds to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
64.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
51.4%
Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0058% → 54%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
57.9%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Tommy Christ for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+6
55.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
55.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Zane Zandier) to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
55.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad Stewart, broken up by Bryce HallSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+1
54.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 46 yds , Chuck Davis returns for 1 yd to the Virg 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
54.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+4
53.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
54.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
52.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 3 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-5
51.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 31Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
52.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
54.0%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Evan Butts, broken up by Malik RiveraSimilar
Q3 14:48
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
55.0%
Lester Coleman punt for 43 yds, downed at the GTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
53.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+30
53.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 30 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
57.0%
Jerry Howard run for 4 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
57.0%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+7
56.7%
Jerry Howard run for 7 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
58.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the Virg 27Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+2
58.3%
Clinton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+6
56.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
55.3%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the Virg 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:0751% → 52%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
48.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
48.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+18
49.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 18 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
46.1%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
46.7%
Jordan Ellis rush for 2 yards to the VA45 (Charlie Thomas), PENALTY VA holding (Jake Fieler) 10 yards to the VA33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 20
OWN 33
-12
48.9%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Jalen Johnson for a loss of 12 yards to the Virg 21Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 32
OWN 21
+17
48.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 17 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
48.3%
Lester Coleman punt for 47 yds , Juanyeh Thomas returns for no gain to the GTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
48.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+1
48.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 19Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+3
47.5%
Jalen Camp run for 3 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
46.8%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 37 yds , Darrius Bratton returns for no gain to the Virg 41 Darrius Bratton fumbled, recovered by GTech Victor AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
11 plays · 41 yds · 5:4152% → 79%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
51.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+5
52.1%
Nathan Cottrell run for 5 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
52.0%
Jerry Howard run for 4 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
54.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
54.4%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+5
52.0%
Nathan Cottrell run for 5 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
52.0%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds to the Virg 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
52.0%
Jerry Howard run for 6 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
49.5%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds to the Virg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
52.0%
Jerry Howard run for 1 yd to the Virg 3Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.5%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds for a TD (C. Lynch Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 7:5129% → 50%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
70.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds to the Virg 26Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+5
69.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
70.0%
Lamont Atkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
66.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
67.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
68.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 12 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
65.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 12 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
64.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
64.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+7
65.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 7 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
64.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 8 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
62.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 1 yd to the GTech 13Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
64.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe ReedSimilar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+30
49.7%
Brian Delaney 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:2760% → 90%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.9%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
60.6%
Jerry Howard run for 1 yd to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+37
58.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 37 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
67.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
68.0%
Nathan Cottrell run for no gain to the Virg 31Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
62.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
90.1%
Wesley Wells 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 0:5524% → 60%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
76.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 10 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
72.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+7
77.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 7 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
82.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 15 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
78.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 10 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
77.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 12 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
77.2%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
40.5%
Brian Delaney 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19FG
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 19%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
64.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Virg 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
64.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
79.0%
Wesley Wells 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
70.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the GTech 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
70.9%
Chris Sharp run for no gain to the GTech 21Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
81.5%
Brian Delaney 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:01
Brian Delaney 32 yd FG GOOD
-36.7
FG · Q4 1:04
Wesley Wells 48 yd FG GOOD
+27.6
TD · Q4 12:30
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds for a TD (C. Lynch Run For Two-point Conversion)
+26.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com