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DUKE

Duke 6 at Clemson 35

CLEM
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreDUKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:19 · Will Spiers punt for 50 yds, downed at the Duke 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+31.4Home team on offense+7.8Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:44: Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:16: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 19 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +3.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:25: Travis Etienne run for 27 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:00: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 4 yds to the Clem 29 — CLEM win probability +1.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:20: Travis Etienne run for 29 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8DUKE made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 13:25CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:35DUKE 4th & 6 at DUKE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:07DUKE 4th & 2 at CLEM 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.2%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:39CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:22DUKE 4th & 6 at CLEM 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:24DUKE 4th & 16 at DUKE 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:24CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:17DUKE 4th & 19 at DUKE 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:51CLEM 4th & 15 at CLEM 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:29DUKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:41CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 36, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:17DUKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 29, down 1
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:50DUKE 4th & 9 at DUKE 23, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:19CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 43, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 14:06DUKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:08DUKE 4th & 7 at CLEM 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−2.4
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:08DUKE 4th & 13 at DUKE 32, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:33CLEM 4th & 1 at DUKE 27, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:21DUKE 4th & 9 at DUKE 37, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:06CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 24, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:28DUKE 4th & 3 at CLEM 49, down 29
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 12:44CLEM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:16CLEM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:25CLEM Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:20CLEM Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:21CLEM Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2097% → 96%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
96.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 11 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
96.5%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+7
96.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 7 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
96.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+1
96.4%
Will Spiers punt for 51 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for 1 yd to the Duke 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:354% → 4%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
96.3%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 6 yds to the Duke 15Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+2
96.3%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 2 yds to the Duke 17Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+4
96.1%
Daniel Jones run for 4 yds to the Duke 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
96.1%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
96.0%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 23Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+2
95.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 2 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Austin Parker punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:5296% → 96%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
95.8%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
95.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 6 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
95.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4FG
14 plays · 83 yds · 4:545% → 6%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
95.5%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+8
95.5%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 8 yds to the Duke 10Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+5
95.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 5 yds to the Duke 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
95.3%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 17Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+37
95.1%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 37 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.9%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Jarett GarnerSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
94.7%
Deon Jackson run for 12 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
94.6%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+10
94.5%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 10 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
94.4%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Robert Kraeling) to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+8
94.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 8 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
94.2%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+5
94.1%
Daniel Jones run for 5 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+34
94.0%
Collin Wareham 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1494% → 93%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-4
93.9%
Travis Etienne run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 7Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 14
OWN 7
+8
93.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Milan Richard for 8 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
93.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
93.3%
Will Spiers punt for 36 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:087% → 8%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
93.2%
Deon Jackson run for 22 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.0%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-3
92.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 32Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+14
93.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (A.J. Terrell) to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
92.6%
Daniel Jones run for 6 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
-2
92.4%
Daniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 14Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
92.4%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
91.9%
Collin Wareham 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2392% → 93%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
92.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
91.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 10 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
91.9%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+12
91.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 12 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+41
91.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 41 yds to the Duke 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:107% → 8%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 7 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
92.3%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Davis KoppenhaverSimilar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
92.5%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 8 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
92.1%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
92.1%
Daniel Jones run for no gain to the Duke 40Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-6
92.1%
Daniel Jones sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 34Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 16
OWN 34
+14
92.4%
Austin Parker punt for 54 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 14 yds to the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5792% → 91%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
92.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
91.9%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
91.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
91.2%
Will Spiers punt for 35 yds, downed at the Duke 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 2:589% → 9%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
91.1%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Noah Gray for 5 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
90.8%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+5
90.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Clelin Ferrell) to the Duke 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
90.5%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Damond Philyaw-Johnson for 7 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
90.2%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 2 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+1
90.3%
Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
90.1%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 48Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 16
OPP 48
0
90.4%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+12
90.5%
Daniel Jones run for 12 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 4
OPP 36
-15
90.1%
DUKE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Johnathan Lloyd) to the Duke 49Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
90.7%
Austin Parker punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2191% → 90%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
90.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
90.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Travis Etienne) to the Clem 15Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
90.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q2 5:51
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
90.0%
Will Spiers punt for 45 yds, downed at the Duke 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1810% → 10%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
89.7%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris TaylorSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
89.8%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
90.1%
Daniel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
90.5%
Austin Parker punt for 40 yds for a 1ST down , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the Clem 40 for a 1ST down DUKE Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Hill) to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3491% → 90%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
90.6%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
90.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Milan RichardSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
90.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Derion KendrickSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
89.6%
Will Spiers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1310% → 10%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
89.7%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+3
89.3%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Duke 31Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-2
89.2%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 29Similar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
89.8%
Austin Parker punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:5190% → 93%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Travis EtienneSimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
89.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 14 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
90.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 9 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+3
90.3%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
90.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 11 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
90.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
90.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 12 yds to the Duke 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
93.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 19 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:168% → 7%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
92.3%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
92.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 6 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-5
92.4%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Christian Harris) to the Duke 23Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
92.7%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Deon JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+52
92.9%
Austin Parker punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the CLEMSON 35 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kendall Joseph) to the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:2593% → 92%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
92.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 14 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Derion Kendrick for 4 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
92.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
92.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
91.8%
Will Spiers punt for 50 yds, downed at the Duke 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
92.1%
Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:448% → 7%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.1%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris TaylorSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
92.1%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 20Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
92.5%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris TaylorSimilar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 10
OWN 20
-3
92.7%
Austin Parker punt for 38 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:3093% → 96%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
93.0%
Travis Etienne run for 20 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
93.2%
Trevor Lawrence run for 7 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
93.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+7
92.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 7 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
95.5%
Travis Etienne run for 27 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 21MISSED FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 5:075% → 6%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.7%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 5 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
94.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 4 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
94.4%
Daniel Jones run for 1 yd to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.4%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+13
94.3%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
50
+8
93.9%
Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
93.7%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
93.9%
Daniel Jones sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+14
94.3%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Damond Philyaw-Johnson for 14 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
93.6%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
93.3%
Daniel Jones sacked by Tanner Muse for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+5
93.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Albert Huggins) to the Clem 25Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
93.2%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
93.9%
Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Johnathan LloydSimilar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
94.2%
Collin Wareham 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4095% → 99%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
95.4%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+33
95.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Derion Kendrick for 33 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
96.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to T.J. Chase for 9 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 1
OPP 28
-1
96.6%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 29Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+29
98.7%
Travis Etienne run for 29 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:052% → 1%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.5%
Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 8 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
98.4%
Daniel Jones run for 2 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.4%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 4 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
98.5%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 40Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-8
98.6%
Daniel Jones sacked by Christian Wilkins for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 32Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+6
98.8%
Austin Parker punt for 53 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 6 yds to the Clem 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 5:3599% → 100%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+9
99.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 9 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
99.0%
Trevor Lawrence run for 19 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 1 yd to the Duke 48Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+12
99.1%
Adam Choice run for 12 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.2%
Adam Choice run for 7 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
99.2%
Trevor Lawrence run for no gain to the Duke 29Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
99.2%
Adam Choice run for 2 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+4
99.2%
Adam Choice run for 4 yds to the Duke 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.3%
Derion Kendrick run for 3 yds to the Duke 20Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
99.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+10
99.3%
DUKE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Leonard Johnson) to the Duke 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to T.J. Chase for 10 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 8 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 37Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-2
99.9%
Daniel Jones pass complete to Jake Bobo for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 35Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Austin Parker punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:04100% → 100%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 29Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 7
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Carson King punt for 48 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:320% → 0%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+12
99.9%
Quentin Harris run for 12 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the Duke 45Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Trevon LeeSimilar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Quentin Harris run for 6 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Austin Parker punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28Uncategorized
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:45100% → 100%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
99.9%
Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+9
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 9 yds to the Clem 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 10 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+13
100.0%
Chase Brice run for no gain to the Clem 48 Chase Brice fumbled, recovered by Clem Chase Brice for a 1ST down Chase Brice run for 13 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
100.0%
Darien Rencher run for 3 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+7
100.0%
Ty Thomason run for 7 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
100.0%
Ryan Mac Lain run for 1 yd to the Duke 41Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
100.0%
Ryan Mac Lain run for 3 yds to the Duke 38Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Darien Rencher run for no gain to the Duke 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:16
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 19 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q3 12:25
Travis Etienne run for 27 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q3 4:20
Travis Etienne run for 29 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com