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MIA

Miami 21 at Georgia Tech 27

GT
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Jack Spicer punt for 35 yds, downed at the GTech 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense+2.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin+0.3Pregame prior−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:10: TaQuon Marshall run for 28 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +4.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:50: Cam'Ron Davis run for 22 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK) — MIA win probability +11.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 49%).
  3. FG · Q3 11:08: Wesley Wells 23 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +4.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:27: TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 31 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +15.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:53: Travis Homer run for 2 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK) — MIA win probability +20.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:25GT 4th & 2 at MIA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.0%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00MIA 4th & 8 at MIA 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:24GT 4th & 1 at GT 28, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:55GT 4th & 7 at MIA 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:26MIA 4th & 21 at MIA 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−1.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:44GT 4th & 9 at GT 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:08GT 4th & 5 at MIA 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−8.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:02MIA 4th & 6 at MIA 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:20MIA 4th & 4 at GT 47, down 13
    Close callPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00GT 4th & 23 at MIA 41, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:25MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:10GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:24GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:50MIA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:27GT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:53MIA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2851% → 53%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
48.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 27 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
48.8%
Travis Homer run for no gain to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
48.8%
Travis Homer run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 12
50
+19
48.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 19 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
48.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 14 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
48.8%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
48.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+8
48.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 8 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
48.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
48.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1548% → 53%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.8%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
47.9%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
47.9%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
48.0%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
48.2%
Nathan Cottrell run for 2 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+20
48.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 20 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
48.5%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-2
48.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+1
48.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+5
48.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, offside defense (Gerald Willis III) to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
48.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28 TaQuon Marshall fumbled, forced by Jaquan Johnson, recovered by GTech TaQuon Marshall for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
52.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 28 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:3653% → 57%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
52.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
53.1%
Nathan Cottrell run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 8Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
57.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 8 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 1:1845% → 44%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
55.1%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-5
54.4%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+7
55.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 7 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
55.0%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+3
56.0%
Trayone Gray run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
55.1%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
54.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 5 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-5
54.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Tyler Gauthier) to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
55.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Jeff Thomas, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
56.4%
Jack Spicer punt for 35 yds, downed at the GTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5658% → 57%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
58.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
58.3%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
57.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
57.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jeff Thomas at the MiaFl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0042% → 43%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
58.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 19Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+12
58.6%
Travis Homer run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
57.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Will Mallory for 7 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
56.5%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-1
56.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 39 N'Kosi Perry fumbled, recovered by GTech Charlie ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 4:1162% → 69%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
62.3%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
62.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+10
66.2%
Jordan Mason run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
67.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+1
67.0%
Qua Searcy run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+4
66.4%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
69.3%
Wesley Wells 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · -11 yds · 1:2038% → 31%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
62.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Lawrence Cager, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-5
62.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 15
OPP 48
-14
64.1%
MIAMI FL Penalty, illegal block (-14 Yards) to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 29
OWN 38
-3
65.0%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 21
OWN 46
+1
67.6%
Jack Spicer punt for 25 yds , Nathan Cottrell returns for 1 yd to the GTech 30 Nathan Cottrell fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Shaquille QuartermanSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 32
OWN 35
+11
69.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 11 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:4336% → 46%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
64.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 8 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
63.8%
DeeJay Dallas run for no gain to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+22
54.2%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 22 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
58.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
59.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+2
58.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 2 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 14:44
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
57.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:44
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
56.7%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 54 yds , Jeff Thomas returns for no gain to the MiaFl 10 Jeff Thomas fumbled, recovered by GTech Juanyeh ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1163% → 67%
Q3 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
63.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 9Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
63.1%
Nathan Cottrell run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 5Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
61.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the MiaFl 5Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
66.5%
Wesley Wells 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Lawrence CagerSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
63.3%
Charles Perry rush for 7 yards to the UM32, PENALTY UM holding (Venzell Boulware) 10 yards to the UM15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+8
63.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Travis Homer for 8 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
64.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
64.9%
Jack Spicer punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:3768% → 86%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
68.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 11 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
69.5%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
69.7%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+13
68.7%
Jerry Howard run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
70.2%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-1
70.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+31
85.6%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 31 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0018% → 20%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
81.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Tyree St. Louis) to the MiaFl 19Similar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+2
81.9%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+3
82.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Cam'Ron Davis for 3 yds to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+23
82.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 23 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
79.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Travis Homer for 4 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
78.5%
Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-1
78.6%
Travis Homer run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
79.7%
Jack Spicer punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 1:4388% → 90%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
87.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 12 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
87.7%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
87.7%
Nathan Cottrell run for 6 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
91.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+34
91.6%
Nathan Cottrell run for 34 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
91.9%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-3
91.9%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-8
91.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaFl 36 TaQuon Marshall fumbled, forced by Scott Patchan, recovered by GTech Qua SearcySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OPP 36
-5
90.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 23
OPP 41
0
90.1%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 36 yds, downed at the MiaFl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
15 plays · 95 yds · 4:3310% → 35%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+17
89.7%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
89.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Lawrence CagerSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
89.5%
Cam'Ron Davis run for no gain to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+13
89.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Jeff ThomasSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
88.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+24
89.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 24 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
87.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+15
87.5%
N'Kosi Perry run for 15 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
85.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mark Pope, broken up by Tariq CarpenterSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
86.4%
Travis Homer run for 7 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+14
86.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Travis Homer for 14 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
85.8%
Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the GTech 2Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.2%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19END OF GAME
18 plays · 61 yds · 5:5885% → 97%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
84.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
84.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 35Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+22
83.9%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 22 yds to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
87.3%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
87.2%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+4
86.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
93.2%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
94.6%
Nathan Cottrell run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+11
94.1%
Jerry Howard run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
94.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 12Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+2
95.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 10Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+2
96.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:53
Travis Homer run for 2 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)
-20.7
TD · Q3 5:27
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 31 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q2 0:50
Cam'Ron Davis run for 22 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)
-11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com