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CLEM

Clemson 27 at Boston College 7

BC
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Pregame prior−26.3Home team on offense−7.5Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:22: Michael Walker 74 Yd Punt Return (Colton Lichtenberg Kick) — BC win probability +1.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:56: Trevor Lawrence 6 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +6.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:12: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 14 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST down — CLEM win probability +3.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:00: EJ Perry pass incomplete to CJ Lewis — BC win probability +3.7 pts (now 12%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:39: Amari Rodgers 58 Yd Punt Return (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +9.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 9 of 11CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 10
  1. Q1 12:12CLEM 4th & 4 at BC 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:45BC 4th & 9 at BC 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:22CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:28CLEM 4th & 2 at BC 2, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53BC 4th & 1 at BC 19, down 3
    Close callPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:45CLEM 4th & 4 at BC 6, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.2%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:21CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 37, up 6
    Close callPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:31BC 4th & 15 at CLEM 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00CLEM 4th & 11 at BC 42, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.0%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    77.7%−1.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    78.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:13BC 4th & 12 at BC 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:06BC 4th & 9 at BC 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:59CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 14, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:12BC 4th & 4 at CLEM 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:25CLEM 4th & 1 at BC 49, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:51BC 4th & 17 at BC 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:00CLEM 4th & 18 at CLEM 44, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−3.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:39BC 4th & 4 at BC 18, down 13
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:20BC 4th & 11 at midfield, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:43CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 28, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:03BC 4th & 11 at BC 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:36BC 4th & 15 at BC 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:22BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:28CLEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:56CLEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:39CLEM Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:4190% → 89%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
10.0%
Trevor Lawrence run for 4 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
10.2%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+41
10.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 41 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
10.5%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
10.6%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
10.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
10.9%
Greg Huegel 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:2711% → 12%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.0%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
11.1%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
11.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 6 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
11.5%
Kobay White run for 1 yd to the BC 39Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
11.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for no gain to the BC 39Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
11.9%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 9
OWN 39
-4
11.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 44 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT TD
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:2388% → 85%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
12.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 13 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
12.2%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
12.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for no gain to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+5
12.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Zach Allen) to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 2
OWN 34
-5
12.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+2
13.3%
Trevor Lawrence run for 2 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+74
15.1%
Michael Walker 74 Yd Punt Return (Colton Lichtenberg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:4885% → 85%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
14.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 7 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+5
14.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
15.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 2 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+35
15.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 35 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
15.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 14 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
15.8%
Trevor Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 8Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
16.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 4 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
16.8%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the BC 2Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.4%
Milan Richard 2 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2816% → 16%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
15.7%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 10Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
15.9%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
16.1%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 19Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
16.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:0884% → 85%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
15.7%
Trevor Lawrence run for 2 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
15.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+32
16.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Derion Kendrick for 32 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
15.7%
Travis Etienne run for 16 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
15.9%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
16.2%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
16.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:45
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
15.4%
Greg Huegel 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2217% → 17%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
16.6%
EJ Perry run for 6 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 4
OWN 22
-7
17.0%
Jeff Smith sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 22 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jeff Smith) to the BC 22Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+8
17.0%
EJ Perry run for 8 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
17.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 42 yds, downed at the Clem 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5784% → 83%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
16.4%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+7
16.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 7 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
16.2%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
16.9%
Will Spiers punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · -11 yds · 3:4118% → 18%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
18.1%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+6
17.7%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
18.4%
EJ Perry run for 3 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
18.9%
EJ Perry pass complete to Kobay White for 17 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-32
19.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 32 yards to the BC 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BC EJ PerrySimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 42
OWN 26
-5
18.1%
EJ Perry run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 21Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 47
OWN 21
-2
17.9%
EJ Perry pass complete to Travis Levy for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 19Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 49
OWN 19
-2
18.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 37 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 42 Amari Rodgers fumbled, recovered by BC Taj-Amir TorresSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:0521% → 19%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
20.8%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Clem 39 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ben Petrula) to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 17
OPP 49
+2
20.0%
EJ Perry pass complete to CJ Lewis for 2 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
20.2%
EJ Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 15
OPP 47
0
19.6%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
19.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11DOWNS
14 plays · 48 yds · 3:3182% → 82%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
18.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 8 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 2
OWN 18
0
18.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+9
18.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 9 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
18.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
18.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 13 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
17.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
17.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 4 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+15
17.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 15 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
16.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-6
15.0%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Isaiah McDuffie for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 42Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
15.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
17.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3920% → 19%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
20.0%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-4
20.3%
Kobay White run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 22Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 11
OWN 22
-1
19.4%
EJ Perry pass complete to AJ Dillon for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 21Similar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+8
19.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 51 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 8 yds to the Clem 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:1782% → 90%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
18.0%
Travis Etienne run for 25 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+33
17.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 33 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
10.5%
Trevor Lawrence 6 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5014% → 13%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.5%
EJ Perry pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 6 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
13.9%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
14.0%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 38Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
14.1%
EJ Perry run for 1 yd to the BC 39Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
13.7%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
13.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:0788% → 88%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
11.7%
Trevor Lawrence run for 3 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 20
-12
11.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevor Lawrence for a loss of 12 yards to the Clem 8Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 19
OWN 8
+6
12.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 6 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
11.9%
Will Spiers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the Clem 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:4715% → 14%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
14.6%
EJ Perry run for 2 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
14.6%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
14.4%
EJ Perry pass complete to Ben Glines for 8 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
15.6%
EJ Perry sacked by Isaiah Simmons and Austin Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+6
14.1%
EJ Perry run for 6 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+5
14.3%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+1
13.5%
EJ Perry pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 1 yd to the Clem 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:4790% → 91%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
9.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 14 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
9.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 2
50
-3
8.2%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
8.6%
Trevor Lawrence run for 4 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
9.4%
Will Spiers punt for 28 yds, downed at the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3413% → 11%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
12.6%
EJ Perry pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 12 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
12.7%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 32Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
12.2%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-6
11.7%
EJ Perry sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 26Similar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 17
OWN 26
0
11.4%
Grant Carlson punt for 35 yds, downed at the Clem 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:5192% → 92%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
8.3%
Adam Choice run for no gain to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
8.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 8 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+5
8.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
8.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 6 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-10
8.1%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete to Higgins, Tee, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Simpson, John) 10 yards to the CLEMSON48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 14
OWN 48
-4
8.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 18
OWN 44
0
7.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
8.1%
Will Spiers punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2112% → 2%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
11.8%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
11.7%
EJ Perry run for 5 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+1
11.3%
EJ Perry pass complete to Kobay White for 1 yd to the BC 18Similar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+58
2.1%
Amari Rodgers 58 Yd Punt Return (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:132% → 2%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
2.2%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+22
2.1%
EJ Perry pass complete to Kobay White for 22 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
2.3%
EJ Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
2.3%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 49Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+1
2.1%
EJ Perry run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 11
50
0
2.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3798% → 99%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
1.7%
Trevor Lawrence run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
1.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to T.J. ChaseSimilar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+13
1.7%
Travis Etienne run for 13 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 2
OWN 28
-4
1.3%
Will Spiers punt for 42 yds , Michael Walker returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:402% → 1%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-9
1.9%
EJ Perry sacked by Kendall Joseph for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 19
OWN 17
+1
1.8%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 18 AJ Dillon fumbled, recovered by BCSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 18
OWN 18
+7
1.5%
EJ Perry pass complete to Travis Levy for 7 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:2799% → 99%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
1.1%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
0.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for no gain to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+12
0.9%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete, PENALTY BOSTCOLL pass interference (Cheevers, Hamp) 12 yards to the CLEMSON39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
0.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 7 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
0.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+16
0.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Diondre Overton for 16 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
0.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass intercepted Hamp Cheevers return for no gain to the BC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:001% → 1%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+25
1.0%
EJ Perry pass complete to Kobay White for 25 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
1.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Aaron Monteiro) to the BC 29Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 15
OWN 29
0
1.1%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to Travis LevySimilar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 15
OWN 29
0
1.0%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to Patrick BrownSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 15
OWN 29
0
1.0%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 15
OWN 29
+2
1.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 49 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 2 yds to the Clem 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:3699% → 100%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
0.7%
Adam Choice run for 12 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.5%
Adam Choice run for 4 yds to the Clem 40 Adam Choice fumbled, forced by Lukas Denis, recovered by Clem Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+20
0.5%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 20 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
0.4%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
0.4%
Lyn-J Dixon run for no gain to the BC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:39
Amari Rodgers 58 Yd Punt Return (Greg Huegel Kick)
-9.2
TD · Q3 11:56
Trevor Lawrence 6 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)
-6.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:00
EJ Perry pass incomplete to CJ Lewis
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com