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LOU

Louisville 23 at Syracuse 54

SYR
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2018 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:16 · Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 188Pregame prior+3.9Home team on offense+35.3Score differential+29.5Blowout margin+17.1Garbage-time factor+10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:43: Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 13 yds for a TD (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +5.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:05: Moe Neal run for 67 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +3.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 8:06: Andre Szmyt 39 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +2.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:58: Eric Dungey run for 2 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +4.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:28: Moe Neal run for 2 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8LOU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 14:03LOU 4th & 9 at LOU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:49LOU 4th & 9 at SYR 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:03SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:27LOU 4th & 11 at SYR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:26LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:56SYR 4th & 3 at LOU 13, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:06SYR 4th & 7 at LOU 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:53SYR 4th & 16 at LOU 17, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:20LOU 4th & 4 at LOU 45, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:28LOU 4th & 11 at LOU 16, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:45SYR 4th & 3 at LOU 18, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:38LOU 4th & 13 at LOU 17, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:13SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 40, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:54SYR 4th & 19 at LOU 20, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:18LOU 4th & 9 at SYR 14, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:16LOU 4th & 1 at SYR 25, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:36SYR 4th & 1 at LOU 46, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:45SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:43LOU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:05SYR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:58SYR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:28SYR Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:34SYR Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:06LOU Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:44SYR Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:19LOU Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:429% → 9%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
91.1%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 9Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
91.0%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
90.9%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 9
OWN 9
+10
90.9%
Mason King punt for 40 yds , Sean Riley returns for 10 yds to the Lvile 39 Sean Riley fumbled, forced by Jaylen Smith, recovered by Lvile London IakopoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:479% → 10%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
90.7%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Micky Crum for 18 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
90.5%
Colin Wilson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 49Similar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 18
OWN 49
+11
90.3%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 11 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
90.2%
Colin Wilson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-5
90.2%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+2
89.9%
Jawon Pass run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 10:49
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
90.0%
Mason King punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:1990% → 89%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
89.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 9 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 1
OWN 18
0
89.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+5
89.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
89.6%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
89.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+5
89.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
89.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
89.4%
Eric Dungey sacked by Tabarius Peterson for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+10
89.2%
Eric Dungey run for 10 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+2
89.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
88.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 37 yds, downed at the Lvile 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:1812% → 12%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+46
88.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 61 yds to the SYRACUSE 17 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-3
88.0%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
87.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-3
87.5%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Chris Slayton and Kingsley Jonathan for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+50
87.9%
Blanton Creque 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Josh Black Antwan Cordy return for 31 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:1588% → 90%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+37
88.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 37 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
88.4%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Lvile 1Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0911% → 11%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
89.3%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
89.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
89.3%
Mason King punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:2089% → 89%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
89.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
50
+4
89.5%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+8
89.5%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
89.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 4 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
89.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
89.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Lvile 29Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+9
89.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 9 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
89.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 5 yds to the Lvile 15Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
89.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+2
89.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
89.1%
Andre Szmyt 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:0711% → 17%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+22
89.4%
Colin Wilson run for 22 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
88.6%
Colin Wilson run for 6 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
88.3%
Jawon Pass run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
88.3%
Colin Wilson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
88.2%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Jordan Davis for 6 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
88.0%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
87.7%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-3
87.6%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 13
OPP 34
-5
88.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Mekhi Becton) to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 18
OPP 39
+26
88.5%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 26 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
83.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 13 yds for a TD (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:2085% → 89%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
85.0%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+67
88.7%
Moe Neal run for 67 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0411% → 11%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.6%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Micky CrumSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.6%
Jawon Pass run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 24 Jawon Pass fumbled, recovered by Syrac Alton RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4389% → 91%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
89.1%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
89.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
88.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
91.1%
Andre Szmyt 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:209% → 9%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+39
90.6%
Jawon Pass pass intercepted Andre Cisco return for 39 yds to the Lvile 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3592% → 96%
Q2 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
91.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cody Conway) to the Lvile 12Similar
Q2 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
91.8%
Dungey, Eric pass incomplete, PENALTY LOUISVILLE offside 5 yards to the LOUISVILLE7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
91.8%
Dungey, Eric pass incomplete, PENALTY LOUISVILLE offside (Dumervil-Jean, Dejmi) 4 yards to the LOUISVILLE3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
91.8%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 4Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
91.9%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Lvile 2Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.0%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:295% → 4%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
95.5%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
95.6%
Jawon Pass run for 1 yd to the Lvile 22 Jawon Pass fumbled, recovered by Syrac Kingsley JonathanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FG
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:0796% → 96%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
96.2%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Lvile 18Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+5
96.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 5 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
96.2%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
96.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 12Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
96.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 11
OPP 12
-5
96.2%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 17Similar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+35
96.4%
Andre Szmyt 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Sean McCormack pass intercepted Kielan Whitner return for no gain to the Lvile 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:0997% → 99%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
96.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 16 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
96.8%
Eric Dungey run for 13 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
97.1%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the Lvile 2Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Sean McCormack pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 20Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+14
98.9%
Sean McCormack pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 14 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
98.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
98.9%
Sean McCormack run for 6 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Sean McCormack pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Sean McCormack pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Mason King punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19END OF HALF
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:1299% → 99%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+8
99.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 8 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+6
99.1%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+68
99.2%
Moe Neal run for 68 yds to the Lvile 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.2%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Lvile 6Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.3%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the Lvile 1 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 11Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
99.3%
Dungey, Eric pass incomplete to Custis, Jamal, PENALTY LOUISVILLE pass interference 9 yards to the LOUISVILLE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
Q3 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the Lvile 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.4%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-3
99.5%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 20Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-4
99.5%
Jawon Pass sacked by Chris Slayton for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 16 Jawon Pass fumbled, forced by Chris Slayton, recovered by Lvile , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
99.5%
Mason King punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22INT
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:10100% → 100%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 8 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
99.6%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
99.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+15
99.6%
Dungey, Eric pass incomplete to Custis, Jamal, PENALTY LOUISVILLE pass interference (Jones, Chandler) 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 5 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
99.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the Lvile 19Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+1
99.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the Lvile 18Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+9
99.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 9 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 5 yds to the Lvile 4Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted, touchback. P.J. Mbanasor return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Colin Wilson run for no gain to the Lvile 20Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.7%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Colin Wilson for 9 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
99.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Lukayus McNeil) to the Lvile 24Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-7
99.8%
Jawon Pass sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 17Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Mason King punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-1
99.8%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+55
99.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Dez Fitzpatrick at the SYRACUSE 9 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (4 Yards) to the Lvile 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
99.8%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Hassan Hall for 3 yds to the Lvile 8Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+13
99.8%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 13 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+22
99.8%
Jawon Pass run for 22 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+43
99.8%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 43 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.8%
Jawon Pass run for 7 yds to the Syrac 7 Jawon Pass fumbled, recovered by Lvile Linwood FoySimilar
Q3 0:06
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds for a TD (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
99.8%
Jarveon Howard run for 13 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
99.8%
Jarveon Howard run for 7 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+7
99.8%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.8%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+65
99.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 65 yds for a TD Timeout SYRACUSE, clock 13:44 (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Devante Peete for 18 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 22 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-16
99.9%
Jawon Pass sacked by Shyheim Cullen for a loss of 16 yards to the SYRACUSE 49 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Lvile 49Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 26
OWN 49
-8
99.9%
Jawon Pass sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 41Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 34
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Hassan HallSimilar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 34
OWN 41
+40
99.9%
Mason King punt for 49 yds , Sean Riley returns for 40 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 5 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+26
99.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 26 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 0
-4
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the Lvile 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by E. Dungey. LOU Penalty, Personal Foul and Unsportsmanlike Conduct (P.J. Blue) to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 6 yds to the Lvile 5Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 4
OPP 5
-10
99.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 15Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 14
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the Lvile 15Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 14
OPP 15
-5
99.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 20Similar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 19
OPP 20
+38
99.9%
Andre Szmyt 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 29FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 5 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Colin Wilson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+49
99.9%
Jawon Pass run for 49 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jordan DavisSimilar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Pass, Jawon pass incomplete to Peete, Devante, PENALTY LOUISVILLE illegal touching 0 yards to the SYRACUSE14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Blanton Creque 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 30FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 9 yds to the Syrac 34 Jarveon Howard fumbled, recovered by Lvile C.J. AverySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Colin Wilson for 9 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Colin Wilson run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Colin Wilson run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-4
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 32DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Otto Zaccardo run for 1 yd to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+15
99.9%
Otto Zaccardo run for 15 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Otto Zaccardo run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
Otto Zaccardo run for 5 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Otto Zaccardo run for 1 yd to the Lvile 46Similar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-3
100.0%
Otto Zaccardo run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 33TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:170% → 0%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
100.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+32
100.0%
Jawon Pass run for 32 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Colin Wilson run for 4 yds for a TD (Blanton Creque PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:43
Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 13 yds for a TD (Blanton Creque KICK)
-5.1
TD · Q2 5:58
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q2 9:05
Moe Neal run for 67 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com