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SYR

Syracuse 41 at Wake Forest 24

WAKE
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:58 · Dom Maggio punt for 31 yds, downed at the Syrac 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Home team on offense−3.0Pregame prior−12.3Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:43: Chris Elmore run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +13.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:57: Sam Hartman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +10.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:49: Eric Dungey run for 26 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +12.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:38: Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +10.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 11:55: Andre Szmyt 28 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +6.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 11SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:57SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:25WAKE 4th & 6 at SYR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    35.4%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:42SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 10:43WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 9:05SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 6:12WAKE 4th & 4 at SYR 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q1 4:17WAKE 4th & 15 at WAKE 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  9. Q1 3:14SYR 4th & 3 at WAKE 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q1 0:52SYR 4th & 1 at WAKE 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 9:41SYR 4th & 1 at WAKE 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−1.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−4.9
    average punt
  13. Q2 9:37WAKE 4th & 13 at WAKE 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  14. Q2 8:38SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  15. Q2 6:58WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  16. Q2 4:51SYR 4th & 1 at WAKE 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−1.8
    79% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−6.7
    average punt
  17. Q2 0:34WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:38SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 46, up 11
    Close callPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:55SYR 4th & 10 at WAKE 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−1.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−6.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:55WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 31, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:01SYR 4th & 12 at WAKE 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−4.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:26SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:16WAKE 4th & 8 at SYR 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:42WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:17SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:52SYR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:58SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:43SYR Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:57WAKE Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:49SYR Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:38WAKE Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.9%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
30.9%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
30.9%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
30.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 42 yds , Sean Riley returns for no gain to the Syrac 33 SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Syrac 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
31.4%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
31.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
31.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
31.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 1:4332% → 34%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
31.8%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+10
31.8%
Sam Hartman run for 10 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
31.9%
Sam Hartman sacked by Ryan Guthrie for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
31.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+7
31.7%
Cade Carney run for 7 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+24
31.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 24 yds to the Syrac 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 0
OPP 5
+3
31.9%
Hartman, S slant pass incomplete to Bachman, A, PENALTY SU pass interference (Bradshaw, S.) 3 yards to the SU2, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.9%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
33.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 11 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
33.3%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
33.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
33.5%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
33.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds, downed at the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
34.3%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 16Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+20
34.3%
Sam Hartman run for 20 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
34.5%
Matt Colburn run for 15 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
34.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Matt ColburnSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
34.6%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
34.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
34.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 47 yds, downed at the Syrac 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
35.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 6Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
35.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 8
OWN 6
-2
35.9%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 4Similar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 10
OWN 4
+29
36.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 42 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 29 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:3537% → 38%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
37.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+3
37.4%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+10
37.4%
Hartman, S sacked for loss of 4 yards to the SU23 (Slayton, C.), PENALTY SU face mask (Robinson, A.) 10 yards to the SU9, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
37.4%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the Syrac 9Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
37.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 5 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
37.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
38.3%
Nick Sciba 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5562% → 65%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
37.9%
Moe Neal run for 10 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
37.7%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
37.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean Riley, broken up by Nasir GreerSimilar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+33
37.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 33 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
36.7%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+18
36.7%
Moe Neal run for 18 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
35.4%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.6%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
36.6%
Sam Hartman sacked by Kenneth Ruff for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
36.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Alex Bachman, broken up by Andre CiscoSimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+15
35.8%
Dom Maggio punt for 45 yds , Sean Riley returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
50
+4
36.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 4 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
36.4%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
36.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal Custis, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+12
37.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 31 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 12 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
37.5%
Sam Hartman sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 10 Sam Hartman fumbled, recovered by Syrac McKinley Williams , return for 0 yards , return for 7 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12TD
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:1664% → 65%
Q1 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
36.0%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the WFrst 4Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
36.0%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the WFrst 2Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
36.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the WFrst 1Similar
Q1 0:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
34.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tyler Williams) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:5235% → 35%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
34.6%
Sam Hartman sacked by Evan Foster for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
34.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 6 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+17
33.9%
Sam Hartman run for 17 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
36.0%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
36.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
35.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
34.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 33 yds, downed at the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14DOWNS
14 plays · 51 yds · 4:4365% → 66%
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
35.0%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
34.8%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+13
35.4%
Eric Dungey run for 13 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
34.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
34.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 4 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
34.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
33.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 6 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
33.6%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+5
33.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
33.7%
Eric Dungey sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 16
OPP 44
-1
34.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+16
34.8%
Eric Dungey run for 16 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
33.9%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
35.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 7 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-5
37.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
35.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
34.9%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 8
OWN 31
-5
34.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 13
OWN 26
0
34.0%
Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
34.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+2
34.7%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-2
35.2%
Eric Dungey sacked by Manny Walker for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+2
36.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 2 yds to the WFrst 34 WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal block (Nasir Greer) to the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
34.9%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 7Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+7
34.2%
Sam Hartman run for 7 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+9
33.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 9 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-11
35.1%
Sam Hartman sacked by Ryan Guthrie for a loss of 11 yards to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 21
OWN 12
+14
34.7%
Cade Carney run for 14 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
34.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
33.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 31 yds, downed at the Syrac 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
15 plays · 57 yds · 3:5367% → 78%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
32.9%
Dungey, E. deep pass incomplete to Harris, T., PENALTY WF pass interference (Henderson, A) 15 yards to the WF42, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
32.5%
Dungey, E. sideline pass incomplete to Custis, J., PENALTY WF roughing passer (Masterson, L) 15 yards to the WF27, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
31.5%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
31.5%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-5
32.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Evan Adams) to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+10
33.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 10 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+2
33.5%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the WFrst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
31.5%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+6
31.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 6 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+3
32.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the WFrst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
31.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 2 yds to the WFrst 3Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
29.6%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the WFrst 1Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.3%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:2424% → 25%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
24.0%
Sam Hartman sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
24.2%
Matt Colburn run for 9 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
24.8%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
24.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 41 yds , Sean Riley returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
23.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:1775% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
24.6%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-1
23.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 9 yds to the WAKEFOREST 49 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamal Custis) to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
23.8%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
23.8%
Eric Dungey run for 14 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
23.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 8 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+7
23.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 7 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
23.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
23.7%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+13
24.0%
Eric Dungey run for 13 yds to the WFrst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
10.6%
Chris Elmore run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4614% → 26%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.6%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
13.7%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
13.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 14 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
14.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 27 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
15.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 6 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+4
15.6%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
25.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0878% → 92%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.9%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
22.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 14 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
20.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 4 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
20.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 7 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
20.5%
Eric Dungey run for 19 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
20.3%
Chris Elmore run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+3
20.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 3 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+26
8.2%
Eric Dungey run for 26 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1112% → 24%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
11.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 11 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
12.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 10 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
12.8%
Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+26
13.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 11 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Scoop Bradshaw) to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
13.8%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
13.8%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
13.5%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Syrac 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
24.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
20.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 13 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
18.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 3 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
18.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 5 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
18.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal Custis, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+47
20.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 47 yds , Greg Dortch returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26FUMBLE
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
18.8%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+4
19.0%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
19.2%
Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
19.8%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
19.5%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
19.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 6 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-3
19.8%
Sam Hartman run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 34 Sam Hartman fumbled, recovered by Syrac Evan FosterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:0985% → 91%
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
15.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
15.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 12 yds to the WFrst 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
15.3%
Dungey, E. deep pass incomplete to Pierce, R., PENALTY WF offside (Calhoun, C) 5 yards to the WF17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 17
0
15.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin C. ButlerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+1
15.3%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+8
15.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 8 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
15.1%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the WFrst 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
15.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
15.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q4 11:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
8.7%
Andre Szmyt 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
11.7%
Sam Hartman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
11.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
11.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg Dortch, broken up by Antwan CordySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 29FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:4893% → 98%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
6.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+6
6.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+10
4.9%
Dungey, E. slant pass incomplete to Custis, J., PENALTY WF pass interference (Glenn, C) 10 yards to the WF14, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
4.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 3 yds to the WFrst 11Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+1
4.7%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the WFrst 10Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-6
4.8%
Eric Dungey sacked by Tyler Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+34
2.3%
Andre Szmyt 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 30INT
7 plays · 60 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
5.2%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
5.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 23 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
5.6%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+15
6.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 15 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
6.3%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted, touchback. Christopher Fredrick return for no gain SYRACUSE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Christopher Fredrick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 31PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 3:0298% → 99%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
2.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 15 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
1.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
1.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 11 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
1.4%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-5
1.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Airon Servais) to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+5
1.4%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+1
1.4%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+9
1.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 40 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 9 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 32DOWNS
9 plays · 68 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+28
1.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 28 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
1.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 17 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
1.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 13 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
1.4%
Hartman, S sideline pass incomplete to Bachman, A, PENALTY SU roughing passer (Richards, T.) 9 yards to the SU9, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
1.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 0
OPP 9
-10
1.4%
Hartman, S deep pass incomplete to Freudenthal, J, PENALTY WF holding (Gilliam, N) 10 yards to the SU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 0
OPP 19
0
1.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 0
OPP 19
+11
1.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 11 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 7Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 11
OWN 7
-1
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:43
Chris Elmore run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-13.5
TD · Q3 5:49
Eric Dungey run for 26 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q3 3:38
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
+10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com