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Georgia Tech 38 at North Carolina 28

UNC
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLETDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Hunter Lent punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Pregame prior−8.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:00: Tobias Oliver pass complete to Qua Searcy for 86 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +9.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:43: Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +16.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:37: Jace Ruder pass complete to Carl Tucker for 9 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK) — UNC win probability +9.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:35: Antonio Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathan Elliott pass to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for Two-Point Conversion) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined — UNC win probability +31.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:00: Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +32.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00UNC 4th & 6 at GT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18UNC 4th & 5 at UNC 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:17GT 4th & 12 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00GT 4th & 3 at UNC 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:20UNC 4th & 3 at UNC 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:14UNC 4th & 5 at GT 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:33GT 4th & 2 at UNC 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:13UNC 4th & 8 at GT 8, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−7.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00GT 4th & 1 at UNC 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.0%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:16GT 4th & 1 at UNC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%−6.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−29.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:46GT 4th & 5 at UNC 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:23GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:03GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:00GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:43GT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:37UNC Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:35UNC Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    44.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:00GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.3 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
41.7%
Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
41.7%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete, broken up by Anree Saint-AmourSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+13
41.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 13 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
41.7%
Antonio Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+15
41.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 15 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
41.7%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-6
41.7%
Michael Carter run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+8
41.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dyami Brown for 8 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
41.7%
Hunter Lent punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:3857% → 56%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
42.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+20
44.5%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds Jerry Howard fumbled, forced by Malik Carney, recovered by NCaro Malik Carney , return for 20 yds, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1356% → 57%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
44.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 44 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
43.9%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the NCaro 30Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+17
43.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 17 yds to the NCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
43.9%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCaro 11Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
42.6%
Nathan Cottrell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
43.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 3 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
43.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 2 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
43.5%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+12
43.2%
Hunter Lent punt for 52 yds , Juanyeh Thomas returns for 12 yds to the GTech 41 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Nathan Cottrell) to the GTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
43.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+6
43.7%
Nathan Cottrell run for 6 yds to the GTech 24 Nathan Cottrell fumbled, forced by Cole Holcomb,Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
43.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
43.6%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-2
43.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+11
44.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding (Trey Morrison) to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
43.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 11 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
42.9%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-2
42.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 47Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-3
43.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 12
50
0
44.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 45 yds, downed at the NCaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
45.6%
Nathan Elliott pass intercepted Tre Swilling return for no gain to the NCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 4:2357% → 63%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
43.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 15 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
43.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 3 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+1
42.9%
Jerry Howard run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+3
43.6%
Nathan Cottrell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+6
44.4%
Jerry Howard run for 6 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
43.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 8 yds to the NCaro 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+7
43.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the NCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
43.1%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the NCaro 2Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 1:4340% → 41%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.5%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Dazz NewsomeSimilar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.4%
Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 28Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
38.9%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 11 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
40.2%
Nathan Elliott pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
40.1%
Nathan Elliott run for 2 yds to the NCaro 41Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
39.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (Kyle Cerge-Henderson) to the NCaro 46Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
40.8%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Thomas Jackson for no gain to the NCaro 46Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
40.6%
Hunter Lent punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9TD
1 play · 86 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+86
31.0%
Tobias Oliver pass complete to Qua Searcy for 86 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 5:3931% → 33%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
31.4%
Jace Ruder run for 3 yds to the NCaro 34Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+6
31.7%
Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the NCaro 40Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+6
32.2%
Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
32.6%
Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the NCaro 49Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
32.7%
Jace Ruder run for 5 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
32.8%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
32.8%
Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+12
32.8%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Dyami Brown for 12 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
33.4%
Antonio Williams run for 12 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
33.4%
Antonio Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+15
33.2%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 15 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
33.4%
Antonio Williams run for 4 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
33.4%
Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
32.9%
Anthony Ratliff-Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
33.3%
Freeman Jones 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 67 yds · 3:3467% → 72%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
32.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 19 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
31.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
31.7%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
31.8%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
31.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the NCaro 37Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+23
31.5%
Nathan Cottrell run for 23 yds to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
31.5%
Tobias Oliver run for 3 yds to the NCaro 11Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
27.0%
Tobias Oliver run for 3 yds to the NCaro 8Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+2
27.2%
Nathan Cottrell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 6Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 2
OPP 6
0
27.9%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the NCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
29.6%
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the NCaro 12Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+5
30.1%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1770% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
29.7%
Jerry Howard run for 9 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
29.2%
Jerry Howard run for 11 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
28.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+11
28.3%
Nathan Cottrell run for 11 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
28.2%
Nathan Cottrell run for 8 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+6
28.1%
Jerry Howard run for 6 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
28.1%
Nathan Cottrell run for 11 yds to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
27.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the NCaro 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
27.9%
Jerry Howard run for 4 yds to the NCaro 9Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+5
28.2%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.8%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:5815% → 27%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
14.7%
Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the NCaro 23Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+14
15.2%
Michael Carter run for 14 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
15.5%
Jace Ruder pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+13
15.1%
Jace Ruder run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
50
+44
16.3%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 44 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
17.3%
Michael Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 9Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
17.3%
Michael Carter run for no gain to the GTech 9Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
26.9%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Carl Tucker for 9 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:0076% → 78%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
23.8%
Qua Searcy run for 35 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
21.7%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
21.7%
Qua Searcy run for 3 yds to the NCaro 35Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+3
21.7%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the NCaro 28 Jordan Mason fumbled, forced by Cole Holcomb, recovered by NCaro J.K. BrittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:2823% → 27%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
22.8%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Jake Bargas for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 26Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+35
22.3%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 35 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
25.5%
Jordon Brown run for 15 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+12
26.9%
Anthony Ratliff-Williams run for 12 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
26.9%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 8Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
26.9%
Nathan Elliott pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
25.3%
Nathan Elliott pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
26.9%
Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
26.6%
Freeman Jones 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:1377% → 77%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
23.4%
Tobias Oliver pass complete to Jerry Howard for 18 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
21.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
21.0%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
50
+2
21.1%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-2
22.8%
Tobias Oliver run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:2628% → 61%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
50
+3
27.6%
Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
28.2%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+46
26.8%
Michael Carter run for 46 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.0%
Elliott, N middle pass incomplete to Walston, G (Swilling, T.), PENALTY GT illegal participation 0 yards to the GT1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.1%
Antonio Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathan Elliott pass to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for Two-Point Conversion) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 67 yds · 0:0050% → 57%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
49.8%
Jerry Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+52
50.2%
Jerry Howard run for 52 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
42.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 11 yds to the NCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
42.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the NCaro 8 Tobias Oliver fumbled, forced by Cole Holcomb, recovered by NCaro Xach GillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
53.7%
Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 11Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+8
54.1%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Carl Tucker for 8 yds to the NCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
54.6%
Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the NCaro 20Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
54.4%
Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the NCaro 22Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+14
52.3%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 14 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
56.4%
Nathan Elliott pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
55.6%
Nathan Elliott run for no gain to the NCaro 36Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+6
53.3%
Nathan Elliott pass intercepted Tariq Carpenter return for 6 yds to the NCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 5:0755% → 90%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
44.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the NCaro 39Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
45.0%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the NCaro 33Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
44.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
42.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 1 yd to the NCaro 28Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+2
43.3%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NCaro 26Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+6
45.5%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the NCaro 20Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+3
47.4%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
42.5%
Nathan Cottrell run for 16 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
21.4%
Nathan Elliott pass intercepted Anree Saint-Amour return for 16 yds to the NCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23FG
11 plays · 14 yds · 1:5891% → 97%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
9.0%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the NCaro 13Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+4
9.0%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
4.8%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the NCaro 9Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
4.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the NCaro 8Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
4.5%
Tobias Oliver run for 3 yds to the NCaro 5Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
3.2%
Wesley Wells 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.0%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for 5 yds to the NCaro 30Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
3.1%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Carl TuckerSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
3.0%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 12 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
3.3%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for 4 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:00
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)
-32.8
TD · Q4 12:35
Antonio Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathan Elliott pass to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for Two-Point Conversion) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined
+31.1
TD · Q3 8:43
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)
-16.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com