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BC

Boston College 31 at Virginia Tech 21

VT
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:01 · Grant Carlson punt for 52 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for 13 yds to the VTech 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Home team on offense+5.5Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Pregame prior−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:44: Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 4 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +6.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:37: Travis Levy run for 29 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +19.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:58: Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 22 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +17.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:51: Travis Levy run for 1 yd for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +15.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:58: Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 14 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +21.5 pts (now 29%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 14:20BC 4th & 9 at BC 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:41VT 4th & 6 at VT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:11BC 4th & 2 at BC 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:30VT 4th & 16 at VT 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00BC 4th & 3 at BC 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:24BC 4th & 3 at BC 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:56VT 4th & 1 at BC 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−1.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:15VT 4th & 20 at BC 31, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%−2.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:01BC 4th & 15 at BC 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:56VT 4th & 7 at VT 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:53VT 4th & 5 at VT 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:48VT 4th & 9 at VT 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−3.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:35BC 4th & 15 at VT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:51VT 4th & 13 at VT 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−3.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:45BC 4th & 1 at BC 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.0%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:43VT 4th & 10 at BC 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−9.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:08BC 4th & 8 at BC 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:56VT 4th & 2 at VT 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.9%−3.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:31BC 4th & 2 at VT 11, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%−1.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−6.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:54VT 4th & 20 at VT 19, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:40BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:11VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:44VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:37BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:58BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:51BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:58VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:4052% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.1%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
48.1%
AJ Dillon run for 17 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
48.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
48.2%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+1
48.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 1 yd to the BC 46Similar
Q1 14:20
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
48.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:5949% → 49%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
48.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Peoples for 3 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+6
48.5%
Steven Peoples run for 6 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
48.4%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
48.5%
Ryan Willis run for 1 yd to the VTech 36Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
48.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Sean Savoy for 3 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
49.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+5
48.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 41 yds , Michael Walker returns for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5351% → 55%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.0%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
48.9%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
48.8%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
48.8%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete, broken up by Caleb FarleySimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
48.9%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+5
48.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 5 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+27
48.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 27 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
48.3%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+6
48.3%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the VTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
48.4%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the VTech 15Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
48.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+12
48.7%
Anthony Brown run for 12 yds to the VTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
45.4%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2947% → 52%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
46.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 24 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
47.5%
Ryan Willis run for 1 yd to the BC 40Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+1
47.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 1 yd to the BC 39Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+11
47.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 11 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
47.9%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+26
51.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 26 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.9%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
49.6%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
49.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 2 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+51
50.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Damon Hazelton at the VATECH 26 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Jovonn Quillen) to the VTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:0051% → 50%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
50.6%
Ryan Willis run for 10 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
50.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Christian Darrisaw) to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+5
50.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
50.6%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
50.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete, broken up by Taj-Amir TorresSimilar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 11
OWN 25
-5
49.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
49.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 72 yds, downed at the BC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:1750% → 49%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
50.3%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
50.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+5
50.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 5 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
51.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for no gain to the VTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:2352% → 60%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
52.0%
Ryan Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+27
51.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Peoples for 27 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
53.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 15 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
53.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 14 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
53.5%
Terius Wheatley run for no gain to the BC 7Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
53.5%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
60.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 4 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:1542% → 41%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
58.2%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 27Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
58.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete, broken up by Ricky WalkerSimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+12
59.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 12 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
58.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
58.4%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
58.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 5 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
59.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Damon Hazelton at the VTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10DOWNS
16 plays · 56 yds · 5:4161% → 63%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
61.3%
Ryan Willis run for 7 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+20
61.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 20 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
62.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+27
62.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 27 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
63.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+2
63.4%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+5
62.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 5 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
61.8%
Ryan Willis run for 2 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-15
63.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the BC 36Similar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 25
OPP 36
+3
62.6%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 22
OPP 33
+5
62.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, offside defense (Tanner Karafa) to the BC 28Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 17
OPP 28
0
62.7%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the BC 28Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 17
OPP 28
+1
61.6%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 1 yd to the BC 27Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 16
OPP 27
-4
60.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the BC 31Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 20
OPP 31
0
62.6%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:0738% → 34%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
62.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 2 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
62.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay White, broken up by Caleb FarleySimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-7
65.4%
Anthony Brown sacked by Emmanuel Belmar for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 26Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+13
66.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 52 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for 13 yds to the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:3364% → 68%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
64.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 5 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
66.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Peoples for 6 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
66.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 21 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-12
67.5%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 12 yards to the BC 45 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by BC Zach AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
62.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
63.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete, broken up by Divine DeabloSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton, broken up by Zach AllenSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.6%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 26Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
64.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 2 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
63.5%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15FUMBLE
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0035% → 37%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
65.1%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
63.6%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-2
63.9%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 35Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+5
66.0%
Grant Carlson punt 52 yards to the VT13, fair catch by Damon Hazelton, PENALTY VT roughing the kicker (Houshun Gaines) 5 yards to the BC40, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
63.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 21 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
62.4%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
60.4%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
62.7%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the VTech 35 Anthony Brown fumbled, recovered by VTech Divine DeabloSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
68.2%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
68.8%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+3
67.7%
Ryan Willis run for 3 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
67.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:4433% → 55%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
67.1%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
66.0%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
65.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 17 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
64.6%
AJ Dillon run for 13 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
45.5%
Travis Levy run for 29 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4354% → 52%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
54.4%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
54.3%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
52.7%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven PeoplesSimilar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+28
51.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 43 , Michael Walker returns for 28 yds to the VTech 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0053% → 48%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
47.0%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the VTech 42Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-14
47.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the BC 44 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 23
OWN 44
+8
51.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Chris Garrison for 8 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 15
OPP 48
+3
52.4%
Grant Carlson punt for 40 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for 3 yds to the VTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
54.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for no gain to the VTech 11Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
54.0%
Ryan Willis pass intercepted Brandon Sebastian return for 1 yd to the VTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:1155% → 72%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
44.7%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the VTech 12 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding (Michael Walker) to the VTech 22Similar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 13
OPP 22
+22
27.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 22 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:0734% → 31%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
34.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 13 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
35.5%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-3
35.1%
Steven Peoples run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
32.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
31.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
29.0%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
29.1%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
28.1%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 41Similar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
29.4%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the BC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24MISSED FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:4438% → 34%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
38.0%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
37.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 13 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
39.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Dalton KeeneSimilar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
39.6%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
37.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
33.6%
Brian Johnson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3571% → 73%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
28.7%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 27Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+17
29.8%
Jeff Smith run for 17 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
26.0%
Michael Walker run for 9 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-9
24.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding (Jake Burt) to the BC 44Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
25.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 2 yds to the BC 46 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
25.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
26.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Damon Hazelton at the VTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:0530% → 32%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
30.4%
Steven Peoples run for 12 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
31.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 14 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
33.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
31.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Phil Patterson for 5 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+3
32.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Peoples for 3 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
32.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Hezekiah Grimsley, broken up by Taj-Amir TorresSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:5678% → 95%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
21.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 11 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
21.7%
Ben Glines run for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+24
20.9%
Anthony Brown run for 24 yds to the VTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
20.9%
Travis Levy run for 9 yds to the VTech 1Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.1%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:448% → 29%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
7.8%
Ryan Willis run for 11 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (Ray Smith) to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
9.2%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 7 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
9.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
9.4%
Quincy Patterson II run for 7 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
10.5%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 2 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
10.2%
Quincy Patterson II run for 3 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
10.5%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
7.9%
Quincy Patterson II pass incomplete to Hezekiah Grimsley, broken up by Zach AllenSimilar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+8
7.6%
Steven Peoples run for 8 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
29.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 14 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 2:2785% → 95%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
14.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 37 yds to the VATECH 38 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
12.5%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+15
12.1%
Travis Levy run for 15 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
12.1%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the VTech 15Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
8.2%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the VTech 10Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 1
OPP 10
-1
7.5%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 11Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+28
5.4%
Colton Lichtenberg 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 30DOWNS
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:314% → 3%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
4.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+5
4.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 5 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-10
4.0%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven Peoples, PENALTY VT holding (Braxton Pfaff) 10 yards to the VT19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 20
OWN 19
0
3.4%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 20
OWN 19
0
3.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Sean Savoy, broken up by Max RichardsonSimilar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 20
OWN 19
+16
3.2%
Ryan Willis run for 16 yds to the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
3.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-2
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 14
OPP 39
-1
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:58
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 14 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+21.5
TD · Q3 7:37
Travis Levy run for 29 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
-19.1
TD · Q3 3:58
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 22 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
-17
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com