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PITT

Pittsburgh 23 at Virginia 13

UVA
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2018 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:50 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:54: Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 42 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +4.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:21: Darrin Hall run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +25.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 9:51: Brian Delaney 42 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +5.4 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:40: Darrin Hall run for 75 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman PAT MISSED) — PITT win probability +25.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:20: Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Virg 45 — PITT win probability +6.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7PITT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:30UVA 4th & 22 at UVA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:23PITT 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:39PITT 4th & 20 at PITT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55UVA 4th & 4 at PITT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    67.2%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:23PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:30UVA 4th & 3 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:24PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.4%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:15PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:48PITT 4th & 12 at PITT 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−2.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:01UVA 4th & 12 at UVA 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−2.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:51UVA 4th & 12 at PITT 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−4.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−12.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:32UVA 4th & 16 at UVA 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−3.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:25PITT 4th & 6 at UVA 35, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:49UVA 4th & 17 at UVA 15, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:50PITT 4th & 6 at UVA 11, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−4.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:09PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:54UVA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:21PITT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:40PITT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 10 yds · 4:0268% → 67%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
68.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
68.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
68.0%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 27Similar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 15
OWN 27
-6
68.0%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 21Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 21
OWN 21
+2
67.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 19
OWN 23
+20
67.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 20 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
68.0%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 33Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 20
OWN 33
-5
67.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 28Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 25
OWN 28
0
67.7%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe ReedSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 25
OWN 28
0
67.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Tavares KellySimilar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 25
OWN 28
+3
67.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 22
OWN 31
0
67.3%
Lester Coleman punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 4:2133% → 37%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
67.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 11Similar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 15
OWN 11
-1
67.5%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 10Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+31
67.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 31 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
67.1%
V'Lique Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
67.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+11
67.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 1
50
+2
66.8%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
66.3%
V'Lique Carter run for 7 yds to the Virg 41Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+41
63.0%
Darrin Hall run for 41 yds for a TD VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the Virg 2 (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
68.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 42 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:4134% → 33%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
66.1%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Virg 44 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
65.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+3
65.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 3 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-5
65.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 41Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-10
65.7%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Matt Gahm for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 20
OWN 49
0
66.7%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:2767% → 68%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
67.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 40 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
68.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 45Similar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+6
67.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 6 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+1
68.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 38Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+3
68.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 34 Jordan Ellis fumbled, recovered by Virg Evan ButtsSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+3
67.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Evan Butts for 3 yds Evan Butts fumbled, recovered by Pitt Dane JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:3135% → 35%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
65.4%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 21Similar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+13
65.6%
Darrin Hall run for 13 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+10
65.0%
Darrin Hall run for 10 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
63.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to George AstonSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
64.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 1 yd to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-4
64.4%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 41Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 13
OWN 41
+4
65.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 47 yds , Chuck Davis returns for 4 yds to the Virg 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:4167% → 65%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
66.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 21Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+2
66.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+6
66.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
66.7%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 5 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
67.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+7
65.7%
Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
66.7%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Shane Roy and Dewayne Hendrix for a loss of 15 yards to the Virg 28Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 25
OWN 28
+9
64.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 9 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+13
64.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 3
50
0
65.4%
Lester Coleman punt for 49 yds, downed at the Pitt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 4:0338% → 38%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
62.0%
Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd to the Pitt 2Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+6
62.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 6 yds to the Pitt 8Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+2
62.9%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q2 3:24
4TH & 1
OWN 10
+2
63.2%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
60.8%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 13Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+5
61.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 5 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
61.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+8
62.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 47 yds , Tavares Kelly returns for 8 yds to the Virg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:5866% → 71%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
65.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 3
50
+11
66.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 11 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
66.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 18 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
67.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-3
67.6%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 24Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+12
64.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+29
71.3%
Brian Delaney 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 3:0833% → 31%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
66.9%
Maurice Ffrench run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 23Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
68.1%
Kenny Pickett run for 12 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
65.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 25Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+4
66.7%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 16
OWN 29
0
67.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+4
68.0%
Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+7
68.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 42 yds , Tavares Kelly returns for 7 yds to the Virg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 2:4268% → 66%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
67.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
67.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 5 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+5
67.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
69.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-5
70.1%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 40Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
68.4%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Chris SharpSimilar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
66.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe ReedSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
65.7%
Lester Coleman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 8:3234% → 67%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
65.7%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 17Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-2
65.9%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Bryce Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 15 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Jimmy Morrissey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+12
67.3%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
64.9%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+7
64.8%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+12
63.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 12 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
60.7%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
60.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+9
61.8%
Darrin Hall run for 9 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
61.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+2
59.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+4
61.3%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
59.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 4 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+18
59.0%
Darrin Hall run for 18 yds to the Virg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.3%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:0943% → 49%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 5 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
44.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
44.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 22 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
46.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
45.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly for 4 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+14
45.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 14 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
47.2%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Dewayne Hendrix for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 25Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+3
45.7%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 3 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-2
43.9%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 24Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
49.3%
Brian Delaney 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
21.8%
Darrin Hall run for 75 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:0827% → 23%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 20Similar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
26.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Chris Sharp for no gain to the Virg 20Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
26.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 8 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
25.4%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Dewayne Hendrix for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 19Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
23.2%
Lester Coleman punt for 33 yds, downed at the Pitt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:5583% → 90%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
16.9%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
15.2%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
13.2%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Virg 38Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
11.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
11.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+53
10.5%
Alex Kessman 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:158% → 5%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
7.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 5 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
8.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-16
5.8%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Elijah Zeise for a loss of 16 yards to the Virg 15Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 17
OWN 15
0
4.7%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5195% → 96%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 25
OPP 30
+1
5.2%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Virg 29Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 24
OPP 29
+20
5.3%
Darrin Hall run for 20 yds to the Virg 9Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-2
3.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 11Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 6
OPP 11
-1
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:21
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
-25.7
TD · Q4 9:40
Darrin Hall run for 75 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman PAT MISSED)
-25.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:20
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Virg 45
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com