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CLEM

Clemson 59 at Florida State 10

FSU
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:39 · Logan Tyler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−38.6Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:19: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 7 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:49: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 3 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:34: Christian Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +3.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:07: Garrett Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:12: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 58 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 13 of 13CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:39FSU 4th & 10 at FSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01CLEM 4th & 9 at FSU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:59FSU 4th & 28 at FSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:18CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:48FSU 4th & 14 at FSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:41CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:04FSU 4th & 6 at FSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:06FSU 4th & 9 at FSU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:48FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:34FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:08CLEM 4th & 11 at FSU 35, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:00FSU 4th & 6 at FSU 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:00CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 37, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:18CLEM 4th & 6 at FSU 6, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:59FSU 4th & 20 at FSU 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:35FSU 4th & 18 at CLEM 18, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:29FSU 4th & 19 at FSU 7, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:40FSU 4th & 21 at FSU 19, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:51CLEM 4th & 8 at FSU 28, up 56
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:46CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 31, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:22FSU 4th & 29 at FSU 11, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q2 13:19CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:49CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:34CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:07CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:12CLEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:50CLEM Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:10CLEM Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:50CLEM Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:43FSU Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1611% → 12%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
11.1%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 10
-3
11.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
11.6%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 10
OWN 7
0
11.6%
Logan Tyler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:2188% → 88%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
50
+4
11.7%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
11.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 7 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
11.9%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
12.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
12.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
12.3%
Will Spiers punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 3:5012% → 14%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
12.4%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
12.6%
Deondre Francois run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
12.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Cam Akers for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
13.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Cam Akers for no gain to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+11
13.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 11 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-23
13.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 23 yards to the FlaSt 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by FlaStSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 33
OWN 20
-10
13.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cam Akers) to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 43
OWN 10
+3
13.4%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 40
OWN 13
+12
13.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Gabe Nabers for 12 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 28
OWN 25
+40
13.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 40 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3286% → 85%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
14.1%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 35Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-5
14.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Tremayne Anchrum) to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+5
14.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
15.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
15.2%
Will Spiers punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2716% → 16%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
15.6%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
15.7%
Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the Clem 48Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 9
OPP 48
-4
15.7%
Deondre Francois sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 47 Deondre Francois fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Cole Minshew , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
15.5%
Logan Tyler punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:4984% → 83%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
15.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 4 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
16.1%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+13
16.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 13 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
16.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
16.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-4
16.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tavien Feaster for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 36Similar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
17.5%
Will Spiers punt for 49 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for no gain to the FlaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3318% → 17%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
17.6%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
17.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 4 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
17.5%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
17.3%
Logan Tyler punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:3583% → 86%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
17.3%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+41
17.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 41 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
16.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
16.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
17.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+11
17.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Asante Samuel Jr.) to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
16.9%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
17.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 3 yds to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
14.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 7 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:0415% → 15%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.3%
Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
15.5%
Patrick, Jacques rush for 1 yard to the FLORIDAST30, PENALTY FLORIDAST illegal formation 5 yards to the FLORIDAST24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
15.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 13 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
16.0%
Deondre Francois run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
16.2%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
15.9%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+29
15.4%
Logan Tyler punt for 49 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 29 yds to the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:1085% → 89%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
15.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
15.2%
Adam Choice run for 2 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+11
15.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 11 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
14.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
15.0%
Travis Etienne run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
14.9%
Travis Etienne run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
14.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 7 yds to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+10
15.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 10 yds to the FlaSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 3 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11INT
13 plays · 35 yds · 2:4912% → 12%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
11.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 16 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
12.5%
Deondre Francois run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
12.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 1
50
+3
12.6%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
12.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
12.8%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+15
12.7%
Francois, Deondre pass incomplete to Terry, Tamorrion, PENALTY CLEMSON roughing passer (Wallace, K'Von) 15 yards to the CLEMSON30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
13.1%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 35 Cam Akers fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Cam AkersSimilar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
12.9%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Cam AkersSimilar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 15
OPP 35
-5
12.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Mike Arnold) to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 20
OPP 40
+43
12.3%
Deondre Francois pass intercepted Tre Lamar return for 43 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:0789% → 93%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
11.2%
Trevor Lawrence run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+12
11.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul, Targeting (Hamsah Nasirildeen) to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST down. Nasirildeen ejected.Similar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
11.2%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete to Higgins, Tee, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Lytton, A.J.) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
11.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
11.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.3%
Christian Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:378% → 8%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.1%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
8.1%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
8.0%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
7.8%
Logan Tyler punt for 46 yds, downed at the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:2592% → 96%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
7.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trayvon Mullen for 17 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
7.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 10 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
6.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 14 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
5.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 21 yds to the FlaSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
5.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
4.0%
Garrett Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:283% → 3%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.7%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Derrick Kelly II) to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
2.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Tre' McKitty for 5 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.5%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+34
2.7%
Logan Tyler punt for 41 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 34 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:2196% → 96%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
4.0%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Bockhorst, Matt) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 20
OPP 44
0
4.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+14
3.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Diondre Overton for 14 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 6
OPP 30
-5
3.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Tremayne Anchrum) to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
3.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 11
OPP 35
0
4.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
2.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:2096% → 98%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
4.1%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+58
2.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 58 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:572% → 2%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.8%
Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
1.7%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
1.6%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Derrick Kelly II) to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+7
1.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Cam Akers for 7 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
1.5%
Logan Tyler punt for 34 yds, downed at the Clem 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5098% → 98%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.6%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
1.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
1.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
-6
1.6%
Will Spiers punt for 47 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 10 D.J. Matthews fumbled, recovered by Clem T.J. ChaseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:2799% → 98%
Q3 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
1.3%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
1.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Diondre OvertonSimilar
Q3 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
1.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
1.9%
B.T. Potter 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:021% → 1%
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+15
1.1%
Francois, Deondre pass incomplete to Terry, Tamorrion, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Mullen, Trayvon) 15 yards to the FLORIDAST21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
1.1%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+16
1.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 16 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
1.0%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Tre' McKittySimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
0.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Cole Minshew) to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
0.9%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 15
OWN 31
-5
0.9%
Deondre Francois sacked by Albert Huggins for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 20
OWN 26
0
0.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
1.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 68 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:091% → 1%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.8%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
0.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 22 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
0.7%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
0.7%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+25
0.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Gabe Nabers for 25 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
0.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 21 yds to the Clem 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
0.7%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 7 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
0.7%
Deondre Francois run for 1 yd to the Clem 6Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-12
0.6%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the Clem 3 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Nyqwan Murray) to the Clem 18Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+35
0.5%
Ricky Aguayo 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2099% → 100%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.7%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+61
0.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Diondre Overton for 61 yds to the FlaSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
0.5%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
0.5%
Chase Brice run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
0.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to T.J. Chase for 5 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
0.3%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
0.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keyshawn Helton FLORIDA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Tre' McKitty) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 12
OWN 14
-7
0.2%
Deondre Francois sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q3 0:29
4TH & 19
OWN 7
0
0.2%
Logan Tyler punt for 18 yds, downed at the FlaSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
0.4%
Derion Kendrick run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+2
0.4%
Derion Kendrick run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+13
0.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Derion Kendrick for 13 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
0.4%
Adam Choice run for 15 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
0.2%
Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+4
0.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 4 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-5
0.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Derrick Kelly II) to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+16
0.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 16 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keyshawn HeltonSimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-9
0.2%
Deondre Francois sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 19
OWN 21
-2
0.2%
James Blackman run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 21
OWN 19
+47
0.2%
Logan Tyler punt for 47 yds , Will Swinney returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 29INT
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.4%
Lyn-J Dixon run for no gain to the Clem 33Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
0.4%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+11
0.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Cannon Smith for 11 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
0.3%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 4 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
0.3%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
0.3%
Darien Rencher run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.3%
Darien Rencher run for no gain to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
0.3%
Chase Brice run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
0.3%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 8
OPP 28
0
0.4%
Chase Brice pass intercepted, touchback. A.J. Lytton return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 30TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.1%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
0.1%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-6
0.1%
James Blackman run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 32 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Zaquandre White) to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
0.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 11 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
0.1%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+73
0.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 73 yds for a TD (Ricky Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
0.2%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 1 yd to the Clem 29Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
0.2%
Ben Batson run for 2 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Will Spiers punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 32PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
0.1%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-12
0.1%
James Blackman sacked by Xavier Kelly for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 20
OWN 30
-6
0.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 10 yds to the FlaSt 30 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-16 Yards) to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 26
OWN 14
-3
0.1%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 29
OWN 11
0
0.1%
Logan Tyler punt for 54 yds , Will Swinney returns for no gain to the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 33Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:49
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 3 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)
-4
TD · Q2 3:34
Christian Wilkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)
-3.8
TD · Q2 13:19
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 7 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com