Try the model
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2018 · Lane Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:44 · Oscar Bradburn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Juanyeh Thomas at the GTech 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Home team on offense−17.1Score differential−9.0Garbage-time factor−6.1Pregame prior+3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:15: Tobias Oliver 1 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick) — GT win probability +6.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:57: Jordan Mason 5 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick) — GT win probability +11.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:27: Tobias Oliver 5 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick) — GT win probability +11.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:14: Tobias Oliver 11 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick) — GT win probability +14.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:02: Jordan Mason 14 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick) — GT win probability +11.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:41GT 4th & 1 at GT 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.3%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:15GT 4th & 15 at GT 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:35VT 4th & 2 at VT 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:46VT 4th & 12 at VT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:44VT 4th & 6 at VT 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 0:17VT 4th & 14 at VT 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:29GT 4th & 13 at GT 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:03VT 4th & 3 at VT 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:27VT 4th & 1 at GT 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:26VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:56GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:52VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:15GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:30VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:57GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:27GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:14GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:02GT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:23GT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:48VT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:2160% → 61%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
59.7%
Steven Peoples run for 17 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
59.8%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
59.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+10
59.7%
Ryan Willis run for 10 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
60.5%
Tre Turner 46 Yd pass from Ryan Willis (Brian Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1940% → 42%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
60.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
60.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Andrew Marshall) to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+10
60.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 10 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+6
60.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
60.7%
Jerry Howard run for 1 yd to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
60.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 8
50
+15
61.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 15 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
61.1%
Jerry Howard run for 1 yd to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+6
61.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+5
61.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
61.3%
Jerry Howard run for 15 yds to the VTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
58.3%
Jerry Howard 8 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:5060% → 64%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
59.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 5 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+24
60.1%
Steven Peoples run for 24 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
64.0%
Damon Hazelton 41 Yd pass from Ryan Willis (Brian Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3037% → 43%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.0%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
63.3%
Nathan Cottrell run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
63.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+9
64.0%
Qua Searcy run for 9 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
63.4%
Nathan Cottrell run for 10 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
62.8%
Jordan Mason run for 14 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
62.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 9 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Dax Hollifield) to the VTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
62.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the VTech 8Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
62.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the VTech 4Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
63.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 3 yds to the VTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.2%
Tobias Oliver 1 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:3261% → 69%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
60.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+9
61.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 9 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
61.6%
Damon Hazelton run for 4 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-5
62.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Christian Darrisaw) to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+28
61.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Peoples for 13 yds to the VATECH 46 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Charlie Thomas) to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
62.9%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+6
63.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 6 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
63.0%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+11
63.2%
Ryan Willis run for 11 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
63.2%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 6 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.3%
Ryan Willis run for no gain to the GTech 1Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.5%
Ryan Willis 1 Yd Run (Brian Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6FUMBLE
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:0833% → 31%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
66.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 3 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ricky Walker) to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
66.0%
Jerry Howard run for 6 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
65.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
65.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-6
66.4%
Tobias Oliver run for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 49 Tobias Oliver fumbled, recovered by GTech Jerry HowardSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 15
OWN 49
0
68.4%
Tobias Oliver pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 15
OWN 49
+5
69.3%
Harvin III, Pressley punt 41 yards to the VATECH10, Savoy, Sean return 21 yards to the VATECH31, PENALTY VATECH running into kicker (Conner, Chamarri) 5 yards to the VATECH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 10
OPP 46
-5
69.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Christian Campbell) to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 15
OWN 49
+3
69.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 42 yds , Sean Savoy returns for 3 yds to the VTech 12 Sean Savoy fumbled, recovered by GTech Jalen JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:1335% → 46%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
65.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the VTech 5Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
54.2%
Jordan Mason 5 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0561% → 60%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
61.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 5 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
61.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Sean Savoy for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+1
60.6%
Ryan Willis run for 1 yd to the VTech 34 Ryan Willis fumbled, recovered by VTech Ryan WillisSimilar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
59.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Juanyeh Thomas at the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:0243% → 60%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
57.1%
Jerry Howard run for 10 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
55.9%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+19
55.1%
Nathan Cottrell run for 4 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Bryce Watts) to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
54.4%
Jerry Howard run for 7 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+6
53.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
53.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+6
52.9%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
52.8%
Jordan Mason run for 11 yds to the VTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
40.0%
Tobias Oliver 5 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:2647% → 45%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
46.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 12 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
48.1%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
47.0%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
45.6%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
45.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:2056% → 57%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
44.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 11 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:4058% → 79%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.1%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
41.5%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
40.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
39.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 3 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
38.5%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-9
38.1%
Jerry Howard run for 6 yds to the GTech 49 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Qua Searcy) to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+28
39.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 13 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Khalil Ladler) to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down. Khalil Lander ejected for Targeting.Similar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
36.8%
Jerry Howard run for 15 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
35.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 12 yds to the VTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
21.2%
Tobias Oliver 11 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2125% → 23%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.4%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
25.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 5 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-4
24.8%
Ryan Willis run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
23.1%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Juanyeh Thomas at the GTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 4:3379% → 96%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
20.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+16
19.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 16 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
18.2%
Qua Searcy run for 6 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
17.4%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
17.1%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+9
16.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 9 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
15.6%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
4.1%
Jordan Mason 14 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:307% → 5%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
6.9%
Ryan Willis run for 12 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
6.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 6 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-1
6.7%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-15
6.1%
Willis, Ryan pass complete to Kumah, Eric for 15 yards to the GATECH48, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Kumah, Eric) 15 yards to the VATECH22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 20
OWN 22
-5
5.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Zachariah Hoyt) to the VTech 17Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 25
OWN 17
+11
5.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 11 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
5.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:4396% → 97%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
3.6%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
3.5%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
3.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
2.9%
Clinton Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+3
2.8%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-5
2.5%
Tobias Oliver sacked by Rayshard Ashby for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
2.6%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 43 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for no gain to the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:223% → 3%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
3.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-9
3.2%
Ryan Willis sacked by Anree Saint-Amour for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 12Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 19
OWN 12
+16
3.0%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 16 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
2.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 3:3098% → 100%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
1.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
1.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the VTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
1.6%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the VTech 8Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+4
1.5%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
1.3%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the VTech 1Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Jordan Mason 1 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 2:270% → 3%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.2%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
0.2%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 7 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 14 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
0.2%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Ricky WalkerSimilar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+5
0.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kelton Dawson) to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+10
0.2%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 10 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
0.2%
Jalen Holston run for 18 yds to the GTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.2%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.7%
Jalen Holston 1 Yd Run (Brian Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:2999% → 100%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.9%
Christian Malloy run for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
0.8%
Christian Malloy run for 7 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
0.7%
James Graham run for 13 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
0.6%
Christian Malloy run for 6 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+10
0.5%
Christian Malloy run for 10 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
0.5%
Xavier Gantt run for 1 yd to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+11
0.4%
James Graham run for 11 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:14
Tobias Oliver 11 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)
-14.6
TD · Q3 3:02
Jordan Mason 14 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)
-11.4
TD · Q2 6:57
Jordan Mason 5 Yd Run (Wesley Wells Kick)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com