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UNC

North Carolina 37 at Syracuse 40

SYR
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadUNC aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreUNC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:01 · Andre Szmyt 44 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 20Pregame prior+18.6Home team on offense−1.0Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:52: Antonio Williams run for 12 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK) — UNC win probability +16.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 1:39: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 42 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +46.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jamal Custis for 25 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +21.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds for a TD Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds for a TD Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK) — UNC win probability +39.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 4 yds for a TD — SYR win probability +43.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 11UNC made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00UNC 4th & 1 at SYR 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01SYR 4th & 4 at UNC 26, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:01UNC 4th & 6 at UNC 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:49SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:08UNC 4th & 1 at SYR 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.5%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:18UNC 4th & 15 at SYR 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:58SYR 4th & 5 at UNC 7, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:58UNC 4th & 1 at SYR 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−1.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:44SYR 4th & 20 at SYR 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−3.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:26UNC 4th & 8 at UNC 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:56UNC 4th & 4 at UNC 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:06UNC 4th & 4 at UNC 29, down 13
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:44SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:52SYR 4th & 21 at SYR 14, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−4.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:02SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:02SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−2.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:06UNC 4th & 6 at SYR 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−1.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−15.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00SYR 4th & 20 at SYR 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−5.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:15UNC 4th & 8 at SYR 8, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−17.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:15SYR 4th & 21 at SYR 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−5.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:07UNC 4th & 3 at SYR 28, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%−1.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−9.0
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:07SYR 4th & 9 at UNC 10, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.5 ptsWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%−4.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−13.8
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:17UNC 4th & 4 at UNC 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:14UNC 4th & 5 at UNC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−3.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:54UNC 4th & 10 at SYR 39, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.3%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%
    36% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−6.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:07UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:56SYR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:06SYR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:52UNC Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:39SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5329% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.0%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 5 yds to the NCaro 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
71.0%
Michael Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
71.0%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dyami Brown for 16 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
71.0%
Antonio Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
71.0%
Nathan Elliott pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+9
71.0%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Antonio Williams for 9 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+1
71.0%
Nathan Elliott run for 1 yd to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
71.0%
Michael Carter run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+19
71.0%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 19 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
71.0%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 15 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
68.1%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 6 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:0669% → 68%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
68.6%
Moe Neal run for 10 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
68.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 3 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+34
68.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 34 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
69.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
69.3%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the NCaro 26Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
69.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Moe NealSimilar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
67.8%
Andre Szmyt 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
67.2%
Antonio Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 30Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
67.1%
Antonio Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 30Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+10
67.3%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Carl Tucker for 10 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
66.8%
Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the NCaro 41Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-5
66.9%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 36Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 14
OWN 36
0
67.3%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Beau CorralesSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+8
67.4%
Antonio Williams run for 8 yds to the NCaro 44Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
67.2%
Hunter Lent punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
65.5%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
65.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
65.2%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
65.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 23 yds · 4:5036% → 38%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
64.2%
Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
64.2%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 7 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
64.1%
Antonio Williams run for no gain to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+6
64.6%
Dazz Newsome run for 6 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
64.0%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 7 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
63.9%
Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
64.1%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 5 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
63.9%
Nathan Elliott pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-10
64.0%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 38
+5
61.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 5 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 15
OPP 33
+50
62.1%
Freeman Jones 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:2062% → 65%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
62.3%
Moe Neal run for 24 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
63.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 6 yds to the NCaro 37Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+15
63.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 15 yds to the NCaro 22 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
64.5%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the NCaro 16Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+4
64.5%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (4 Yards) to the NCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
64.5%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the NCaro 8Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-2
64.5%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 10 Eric Dungey fumbled, recovered by Syrac Eric DungeySimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+3
63.7%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the NCaro 7Similar
Q2 10:58
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
65.0%
Andre Szmyt 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 7DOWNS
12 plays · 53 yds · 0:0036% → 37%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 6 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
62.9%
Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the NCaro 32Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
63.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 4 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
63.1%
Antonio Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 36Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
63.4%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Antoine Green for 9 yds to the NCaro 45Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
62.6%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
62.4%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Antoine Green for 23 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
61.6%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+1
61.4%
Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+6
62.4%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for 6 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 10:58
4TH & 1
OPP 21
-1
63.1%
Nathan Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
60.4%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-12
60.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-12 Yards) to the Syrac 12Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 20
OWN 12
0
60.2%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 20
OWN 12
0
59.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 20
OWN 12
0
58.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 58 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for no gain to the NCaro 12 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the NCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2840% → 40%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
59.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 19Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
60.1%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for 3 yds to the NCaro 22Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
60.8%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Antonio Williams for no gain to the NCaro 22Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
60.3%
Hunter Lent punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:2563% → 72%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
63.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+12
63.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 12 yds to the NCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
63.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the NCaro 10Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+9
63.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 9 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.7%
Chris Elmore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.5%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Antonio Williams for 6 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
66.4%
Nathan Elliott pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
67.5%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Dazz NewsomeSimilar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+55
68.7%
Hunter Lent punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the SYRACUSE 28 SYRACUSE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (14 Yards) to the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 1:3568% → 76%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
67.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 7 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+4
67.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 4 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
67.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
66.7%
Eric Dungey run for 11 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
68.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 22 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
71.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 15 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
72.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal Custis, broken up by Patrice ReneSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
71.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+46
75.9%
Andre Szmyt 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
5 plays · 94 yds · 0:5474% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+68
74.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 68 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
76.8%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the NCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
76.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Moe NealSimilar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
85.2%
Eric Dungey run for 16 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
82.9%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 6 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
82.4%
Michael Carter run for no gain to the NCaro 29Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
82.7%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Dazz NewsomeSimilar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 4
OWN 29
-2
83.4%
Hunter Lent punt for 48 yds , Sean Riley returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
85.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
85.1%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 15
OWN 16
0
85.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+17
84.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 17 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
85.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen DaltonSimilar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
85.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 2 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
84.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal Custis, broken up by Greg RossSimilar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
84.1%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:2516% → 32%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+55
84.4%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 55 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
67.6%
Antonio Williams run for 12 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.4%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
73.3%
Eric Dungey sacked by Allen Cater for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-5
72.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
72.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18INT
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:0030% → 33%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
69.9%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
70.7%
Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+18
69.4%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 18 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
67.5%
Beau Corrales pass intercepted Evan Foster return for 3 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0275% → 56%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
74.8%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the Syrac 14 Jarveon Howard fumbled, recovered by Syrac Aaron RobertsSimilar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+2
74.6%
Shyheim Cullen run for 2 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+1
73.8%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 17Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+75
55.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 58 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 9 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
61.3%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
61.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+2
59.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 2 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
58.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ravian Pierce, broken up by Trey MorrisonSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
56.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 21FG
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:1744% → 59%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
56.2%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 14 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
55.5%
Antonio Williams run for 8 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
53.5%
Antonio Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 31Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+19
54.9%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dyami Brown for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
50
0
51.7%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Antoine Green, broken up by Ifeatu MelifonwuSimilar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
50
+15
52.1%
Jordon Brown run for 15 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
50.4%
Anthony Ratliff-Williams run for 14 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
49.9%
Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 3
OPP 14
0
49.9%
Michael Carter run for no gain to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 3
OPP 14
-3
51.6%
Nathan Elliott run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q3 0:06
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
40.9%
Freeman Jones 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0646% → 42%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
45.6%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-2
45.7%
Eric Dungey sacked by Jason Strowbridge for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-10
43.1%
Eric Dungey sacked by Allen Artis for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 20
0
41.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds, downed at the NCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 23FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
39.1%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for no gain Michael Carter fumbled, forced by Andre Cisco, recovered by Syrac Ryan GuthrieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
49.7%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the NCaro 34Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+22
51.8%
Eric Dungey run for 22 yds to the NCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
51.8%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds Moe Neal fumbled, forced by J.K. Britt, recovered by NCaro Patrice ReneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 25FG
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:3860% → 75%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
39.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 9 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
37.8%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 5 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+56
38.6%
Antonio Williams run for 56 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
34.0%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
34.0%
Jordon Brown run for no gain to the Syrac 8Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
35.8%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
25.0%
Freeman Jones 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0030% → 26%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
29.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 9 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
32.6%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
31.3%
Nykeim Johnson sacked by Tyler Powell for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 16
OWN 32
0
29.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 16
OWN 32
-5
27.8%
Eric Dungey sacked by Tyler Powell for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 21
OWN 27
0
26.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 27MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:1877% → 84%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
22.6%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Antonio Williams for 11 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
20.7%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 6 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+6
20.3%
Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
17.9%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Thomas JacksonSimilar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
17.9%
Nathan Elliott run for 11 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
17.4%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams, broken up by Ifeatu MelifonwuSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
16.8%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Antonio Williams for 7 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
17.2%
Antonio Williams run for no gain to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
15.6%
Freeman Jones 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28DOWNS
8 plays · 62 yds · 0:0024% → 26%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+50
23.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jamal Custis for 50 yds to the NCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
32.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jamal Custis for 5 yds to the NCaro 17Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+6
32.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 6 yds to the NCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
32.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 3 yds to the NCaro 8Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-10
32.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCaro 18Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 17
OPP 18
0
29.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 17
OPP 18
+8
25.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 8 yds to the NCaro 10Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 9
OPP 10
0
25.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Nykeim Johnson, broken up by Trey MorrisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:1287% → 86%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
12.7%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 15Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+1
12.6%
Nathan Elliott run for 1 yd to the NCaro 16Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
12.6%
Anthony Ratliff-Williams pass incomplete to Carl TuckerSimilar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
14.0%
Hunter Lent punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the Syrac 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 30TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:2817% → 63%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
17.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+16
16.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 16 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
63.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 42 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:2550% → 46%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.0%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Antonio Williams for 5 yds to the NCaro 30Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
48.2%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
49.9%
Nathan Elliott pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
54.1%
Hunter Lent punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 32INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0057% → 60%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+13
55.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 13 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
60.4%
Tommy DeVito pass intercepted Patrice Rene return for 2 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 33DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 52%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
40.1%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete, broken up by Ifeatu MelifonwuSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
40.9%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
43.3%
Nathan Elliott run for no gain to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
48.0%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete, broken up by Ifeatu MelifonwuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 34END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
60.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete, broken up by D.J. FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 35TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jamal Custis for 25 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 36TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
80.4%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Jordon Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 30Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+18
84.4%
Antonio Williams run for 18 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
80.4%
Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
40.5%
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds for a TD Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds for a TD Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 37FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0060% → 71%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-WilliamsSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Beau Corrales, broken up by Kielan WhitnerSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-6
43.7%
Nathan Elliott sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+48
28.9%
Freeman Jones 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 38TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 85%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
41.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 9 yds to the NCaro 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
41.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+10
37.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 10 yds to the NCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
41.3%
Tommy DeVito run for 2 yds to the NCaro 4Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 4 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:39
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 42 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+46.9
TD · OT 0:00
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 4 yds for a TD
+43.3
TD · OT 0:00
Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds for a TD Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds for a TD Nathan Elliott pass complete to Beau Corrales for 9 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)
-39.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com