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PITT

Pittsburgh 14 at Notre Dame 19

ND
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playND scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:32 · Kirk Christodoulou punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior+28.5Home team on offense−2.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:46: Maurice Ffrench 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Alex Kessman Kick) — PITT win probability +7.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:09: Chase Claypool 16 Yd pass from Ian Book (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ND win probability +23.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:22: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 8 yds to the Pitt 28 — PITT win probability +9.9 pts (now 47%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:26: Book, Ian pass incomplete to Claypool, Chase, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Jackson, Dane) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME. — ND win probability +8.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 5:43: Miles Boykin 35 Yd pass from Ian Book (Justin Yoon Kick) — ND win probability +30.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 6PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:09ND 4th & 15 at ND 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:28PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:04ND 4th & 9 at ND 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:08PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:34ND 4th & 4 at PITT 5, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%−0.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:32PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:05ND 4th & 1 at PITT 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−1.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:00PITT 4th & 9 at ND 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:06PITT 4th & 5 at ND 18, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−18.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:31ND 4th & 2 at PITT 49, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%−3.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:26PITT 4th & 5 at midfield, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:34PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 45, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.3%−5.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:35ND 4th & 1 at PITT 36, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%−4.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−5.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:38PITT 4th & 28 at PITT 20, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:38PITT 4th & 29 at PITT 19, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 1 of 2PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:26PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:46PITT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:09ND Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:43ND Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:3193% → 92%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 6 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
92.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Dexter Williams for 5 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
92.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 6 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-1
92.5%
Dexter Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 41Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
92.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 7 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-16
92.3%
Ian Book sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 16 yards to the NDame 32Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 26
OWN 32
+12
92.1%
Ian Book run for 12 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 14
OWN 44
-1
91.9%
Ian Book run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 43 Ian Book fumbled, forced by Dane Jackson, recovered by NDameSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 15
OWN 43
-2
91.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 43 yds , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2TD
18 plays · 88 yds · 9:298% → 15%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
91.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+8
91.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 8 yds to the Pitt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
91.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 24Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
91.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
91.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+5
91.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Nicco Fertitta) to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for no gain to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
90.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 2 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+15
90.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 15 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.1%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the NDame 49Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
89.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 9 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+8
89.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
89.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+7
88.8%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
88.6%
Darrin Hall run for 9 yds to the NDame 12Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+6
88.1%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the NDame 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
87.9%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 9Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
85.4%
Qadree Ollison 9 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:1086% → 86%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.1%
Dexter Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 23Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
85.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+22
85.5%
Ian Book run for 22 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
86.1%
Ian Book pass intercepted Jason Pinnock return for 9 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1716% → 17%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
84.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 1 yd to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+5
83.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Daelin Hayes) to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
83.1%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+7
83.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 37 yds , Chris Finke returns for 7 yds to the NDame 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0683% → 81%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
83.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 8 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
83.7%
Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.1%
Ian Book run for no gain to the NDame 36Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
82.6%
Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 37Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
82.1%
Ian Book run for no gain to the NDame 37Similar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
81.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3719% → 20%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
81.1%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-10
80.4%
Hall, Darrin rush for 1 yard to the PITTSBURGH22, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Van Lynn, Carson) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+3
80.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 3 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
80.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 11
OWN 14
+5
79.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 40 yds , Chris Finke returns for 5 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 3:2181% → 82%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
80.6%
Chris Finke run for 2 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
80.3%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 7 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
79.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
80.0%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Boykin, Miles (TEAM), PENALTY PITTSBURGH roughing passer (Hendrix, Dewayne) 15 yards to the PITTSBURGH23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.Similar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
80.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 8 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
80.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+4
79.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 4 yds to the Pitt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
80.5%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the Pitt 10Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
80.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+5
79.3%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
81.7%
Justin Yoon 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4820% → 20%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.9%
Maurice Ffrench run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
78.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
79.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 4
OWN 30
-4
80.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Jazzee Stocker) to the Pitt 26Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
80.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9DOWNS
16 plays · 42 yds · 3:2280% → 78%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
80.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
80.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 13 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
81.2%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+30
80.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 30 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
82.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
82.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 5 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+4
80.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 4 yds to the Pitt 12Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+3
79.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Young for 3 yds to the Pitt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-8
81.0%
Ian Book sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 17Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+1
78.3%
Ian Book run for 1 yd to the Pitt 16Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
-8
75.4%
Ian Book sacked by Dennis Briggs for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 24Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 0
OPP 24
+41
77.6%
Justin Yoon 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12INT
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:5867% → 67%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
67.0%
Ian Book run for 15 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
68.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 9 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+3
69.0%
Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
68.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 8 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+4
68.0%
Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
67.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 7 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
68.1%
Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
66.5%
Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
67.4%
Ian Book pass intercepted Jazzee Stocker return for 15 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13MISSED FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 6:3039% → 51%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
61.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+14
60.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 14 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
57.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
55.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 4 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+11
54.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 11 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
52.5%
Darrin Hall run for no gain to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
51.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Alex Bookser) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 15
50
+4
52.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 4 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+16
50.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 16 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
48.3%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
47.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 1 yd to the NDame 29Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
47.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
49.0%
Alex Kessman 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:4649% → 72%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
49.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
50
-3
52.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Dexter Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 47Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 13
OWN 49
-8
49.4%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 49 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trevor Ruhland) to the NDame 39Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 21
OWN 39
+26
47.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 26 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
53.2%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
52.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 2 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+15
48.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 15 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
72.1%
Chase Claypool 16 Yd pass from Ian Book (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:5537% → 46%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 9 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
58.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
50
+7
56.1%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
54.6%
George Aston run for 4 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
55.2%
Qadree Ollison pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
54.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the NDame 38Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+15
55.3%
Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Wardlow, Kofi) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
51.8%
Ollison, Qadree rush for 1 yard to the NOTREDAME22, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Bookser, Alex) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+9
51.4%
Kenny Pickett run for 9 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 11
OPP 24
-1
49.7%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 25Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+7
51.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 7 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
53.8%
Alex Kessman 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:1960% → 63%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
60.3%
Chris Finke run for 8 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Oluwaseun Idowu) to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
63.9%
Dexter Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+9
60.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 3
50
+1
63.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 1 yd to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
63.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:5647% → 52%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
53.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 8 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+17
50.7%
Darrin Hall run for 17 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
48.2%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
46.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 4 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-3
46.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 5
50
0
48.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:4357% → 90%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
57.1%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Claypool, Chase, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Jackson, Dane) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
57.1%
Dexter Williams run for 13 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
61.1%
Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
61.3%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+12
60.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 12 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
90.4%
Miles Boykin 35 Yd pass from Ian Book (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5616% → 16%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 26Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
83.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 13 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
81.7%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
80.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
81.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Will GraggSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
83.7%
Jeff George pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4391% → 91%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
91.0%
Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
92.4%
Dexter Williams run for no gain to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+5
91.7%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-2
91.4%
Ian Book run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · -19 yds · 0:429% → 9%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-14
91.0%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Khalid Kareem for a loss of 14 yards to the Pitt 24Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 24
OWN 24
0
90.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 24
OWN 24
-5
90.5%
Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete, PENALTY PITTSBURGH illegal forward pass (Pickett, Kenny) 5 yards to the PITTSBURGH19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 28
OWN 20
0
90.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 29
OWN 19
0
90.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22Uncategorized
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:0996% → 96%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Pitt 20Similar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 19Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-2
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 22Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 12
OPP 22
-1
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 23Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-3
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 22Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 13
OPP 22
-1
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:43
Miles Boykin 35 Yd pass from Ian Book (Justin Yoon Kick)
+30
TD · Q3 2:09
Chase Claypool 16 Yd pass from Ian Book (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+23.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:22
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 8 yds to the Pitt 28
-9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com